Familiar-Mini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$104.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

50,490

Trades

373,867

lifetime

Volume

$8.46M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-27 10:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% +$104,638

Other

0% 30% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 1375 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	—	+6	$5	99¢	$6	+$1	10-27 11:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 6pm et	64	$4.1K	3,698	1,681	+2,017	Up	+$241	06-07 22:34
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 8am et	22	$4.1K	2,408	2,399	+9	Up	+$578	04-18 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	16	$4.0K	2,700	1,350	+1,350	Down	+$42	05-28 03:23
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 11am et	74	$3.9K	3,265	3,147	+118	Down	-$27	04-19 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	40	$3.8K	3,114	2,212	+902	Up	-$197	05-30 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET	35	$3.7K	3,151	1,349	+1,802	Up	-$98	05-29 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	25	$3.7K	3,002	1,498	+1,504	Down	+$145	05-04 10:21
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 6pm et	37	$3.6K	2,536	1,899	+637	Up	+$109	04-15 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	24	$3.5K	2,251	1,799	+452	Down	+$30	05-27 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	17	$3.3K	2,467	2,121	+346	Up	-$156	06-02 16:55
ethereum up or down april 21 2026 4pm et	44	$3.3K	1,899	1,591	+308	Up	+$37	04-21 20:54
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 9am et	70	$3.2K	2,531	2,184	+347	Up	+$86	04-17 13:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 11:15 UTC	47	$3.2K	1,780	1,650	+130	Down	+$74	06-21 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	22	$3.2K	2,038	1,498	+540	Down	-$45	04-26 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	43	$3.2K	3,172	2,000	+1,172	Down	-$357	05-01 16:57
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 6am et	39	$3.2K	2,659	2,618	+41	Down	+$196	04-17 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11AM ET	38	$3.1K	2,893	2,589	+304	Up	-$387	05-01 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET	24	$3.1K	2,410	1,058	+1,352	Up	+$83	05-28 16:50
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 10am et	61	$3.1K	2,349	1,946	+403	Up	-$59	04-16 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 15:30 UTC	54	$3.1K	2,118	1,619	+499	Up	+$377	04-16 15:43
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10pm et	42	$3.1K	1,738	1,433	+305	Up	+$61	04-22 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET	15	$3.0K	2,700	450	+2,250	Up	+$157	06-03 04:44
ethereum up or down april 20 2026 3am et	39	$2.9K	2,395	1,828	+566	Up	-$22	04-20 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	36	$2.9K	3,150	2,246	+904	Down	-$456	06-03 13:42
ethereum up or down april 20 2026 9am et	42	$2.9K	1,843	1,806	+37	Down	+$168	04-20 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	42	$2.9K	1,480	1,479	+1	Down	+$34	05-01 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	25	$2.9K	2,710	2,250	+460	Down	-$1,359	05-26 14:40
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 10am et	46	$2.9K	2,251	1,799	+452	Down	-$331	06-16 14:51
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 9am et	32	$2.8K	3,051	1,774	+1,277	Down	+$92	04-15 13:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	8	$2.8K	2,250	616	+1,634	Down	+$31	05-27 21:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x29d81c…
10-27 11:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4d1d01…
10-27 11:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x69b0a9…
10-27 10:46:57	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbf2996…
10-27 10:46:32	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8760aa…
10-27 10:46:32	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1133b0…
10-27 10:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x35fb92…
10-27 10:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xfa1323…
10-27 10:45:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xecf3fe…
10-27 10:44:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xbae3a2…
10-27 10:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x678d80…
10-27 10:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x76b927…
10-27 10:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcc1541…
10-27 10:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xc3b0d9…
10-27 10:20:50	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x23b432…
10-27 10:14:57	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3b3812…
10-27 10:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x84c419…
10-27 10:14:45	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf26dbe…
10-27 10:14:45	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1aaf3b…
10-27 10:14:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x2f0c5c…
10-27 10:10:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x0ae90d…
10-27 10:10:38	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x3ecedc…
10-27 10:10:36	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x9b0350…
10-27 10:10:24	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x31be81…
10-27 10:10:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xe83c2e…
10-27 10:10:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0xd54a32…
10-27 10:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xd548d9…
10-27 10:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x4650eb…
10-27 10:10:18	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x2f04b3…
10-27 10:09:51	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5c5340…
10-27 10:07:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x958001…
10-27 10:07:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x39043a…
10-27 10:07:09	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x42eeeb…
10-27 10:06:54	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb84e89…
10-27 10:06:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xe38fae…
10-27 10:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcff5fa…
10-27 09:57:21	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x354ea7…
10-27 09:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8b074e…
10-27 09:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x428676…
10-27 09:56:56	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x5c393a…
10-27 09:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xd0aaa1…
10-27 09:51:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xb47443…
10-27 09:47:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xd6f597…
10-27 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe63c6c…
10-27 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x196f8d…
10-27 09:27:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc2820b…
10-27 09:16:44	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4d9034…
10-27 09:11:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x26f20a…
10-27 09:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcf6885…
10-27 09:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x846851…
10-27 08:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xa7c324…
10-27 08:17:14	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x69f1a7…
10-27 08:08:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xda94f0…
10-27 08:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2a06b6…
10-27 07:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa3ce23…
10-27 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xaf0d22…
10-27 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x520cdf…
10-27 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x4bf3b6…
10-27 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x24236d…
10-27 07:51:56	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x143f27…
10-27 07:51:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc15491…
10-27 07:51:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x95c84f…
10-27 07:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe1c171…
10-27 07:50:41	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x92ec8a…
10-27 07:50:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x085eb4…
10-27 07:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe28391…
10-27 07:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc8da9e…
10-27 07:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3af6bb…
10-27 07:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xbbed6e…
10-27 07:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x845811…
10-27 07:32:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1ad508…
10-27 07:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8003b9…
10-27 07:02:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa88ab5…
10-27 06:51:36	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xae1815…
10-27 06:51:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xe26ca2…
10-27 06:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xd79399…
10-27 06:51:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x2b7889…
10-27 06:51:00	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7601c2…
10-27 06:50:50	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x8245a7…
10-27 06:46:38	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xf5e4f1…
10-27 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x5fe4f4…
10-27 06:43:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xcc41fc…
10-27 06:22:36	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x96c170…
10-27 06:22:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6dcc2b…
10-27 06:22:36	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4a0a57…
10-27 06:16:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x187a76…
10-27 06:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe2ff69…
10-27 06:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x9e7f8c…
10-27 06:02:02	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x6ef07e…
10-27 05:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6cfe5b…
10-27 05:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2251b7…
10-27 05:33:09	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x554f7e…
10-27 05:33:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x91ec22…
10-27 05:32:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb43618…
10-27 05:30:21	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x70774c…
10-27 05:30:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3ac0fb…
10-27 05:30:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2ca2b5…
10-27 05:25:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc72784…
10-27 05:13:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xdef88d…
10-27 04:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe10dbe…