Realized P&L
-$1.89K
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
479
Trades
1,686
lifetime
Volume
$47.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$561
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-08 06:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
50% 28% -$1,539
Politics
35% 44% -$427
Crypto
12% 43% +$5
Sports
2% 35% +$57
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$7
Tech
0% 50% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -329 -$299 96¢ $-316 -$17 08-31 19:58
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$96 97¢ $-97 -$1 07-11 11:33
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -82 -$77 97¢ $-80 -$3 08-04 12:06
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No -53 -$49 94¢ $-50 -$1 09-13 15:06
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -532 -$11 3¢ $-14 -$3 10-08 06:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +56 $15 3¢ $2 -$13 09-14 22:03
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -31 -$4 4¢ $-1 +$3 10-01 11:29
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 05-05 20:10
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? No -1 -$1 95¢ $-1 +$0 09-13 15:06
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -114 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 07-05 02:28