Mortified-Autoimmunity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$525

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

730

lifetime

Volume

$39.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-04 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

43% 0% $-525

Crypto

13% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	35	$5.2K	4,731	4,401	+330	open	—	01-29 09:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	21	$2.7K	1,942	2,016	-75	open	—	02-06 03:18
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	5	$2.2K	1,755	1,755	+0	open	—	01-08 21:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	10	$1.9K	1,719	2,674	-955	Yes	$-524	02-22 14:30
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	35	$1.6K	1,487	1,714	-227	open	—	01-15 11:12
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	33	$1.4K	2,632	2,962	-330	open	—	01-29 01:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	8	$1.3K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	01-15 17:35
will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	9	$1.1K	420	842	-421	open	—	02-20 10:36
will trump meet with keir starmer in january 2026	16	$1.0K	802	802	+0	open	—	01-22 18:23
will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	10	$835	471	471	+0	open	—	01-15 01:14
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	18	$834	847	1,041	-193	open	—	01-23 01:50
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	8	$826	1,988	1,977	+11	open	—	02-06 03:15
will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	6	$788	174	1,151	-977	open	—	03-03 00:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	12	$771	2,279	2,279	+0	open	—	02-06 07:17
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	23	$729	1,820	360	+1,460	open	—	02-13 18:55
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	6	$658	508	508	+0	open	—	01-09 08:08
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	6	$649	604	704	-100	open	—	01-07 00:37
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$627	936	936	+0	open	—	01-30 18:26
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$618	508	347	+160	open	—	02-01 03:39
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	14	$613	820	820	+0	open	—	02-08 03:02
msft above 405 on february 27 2026	4	$609	361	361	+0	open	—	02-01 02:56
will ciena cien be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	10	$589	630	259	+371	open	—	01-08 23:17
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	6	$581	621	621	+0	open	—	01-13 12:48
amzn above 270 on february 27 2026	3	$547	300	300	+0	open	—	02-17 18:41
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	7	$536	752	752	+0	open	—	02-09 12:31
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	6	$533	758	758	+0	open	—	02-05 09:49
will trump meet with ursula von der leyen in january 2026	13	$436	1,206	1,206	+0	open	—	01-19 11:27
nvda above 190 on february 27 2026	2	$388	354	88	+266	open	—	02-06 04:09
grok 5 released by march 31 2026	16	$344	829	952	-123	open	—	01-13 05:29
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	7	$333	217	247	-30	open	—	01-07 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 20:53:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xbbe00c…
04-27 10:37:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$2	0x3d7a82…
04-27 10:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$1	0x860c55…
04-27 09:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0xd84751…
04-27 09:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 27?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xbbf3b7…
04-26 15:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xa1daf7…
04-26 15:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x3e4afd…
04-26 15:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xa973d1…
04-25 20:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 25?	Yes	BUY	84	3¢	$3	0x9461c2…
04-21 14:39:06	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x024275…
04-21 14:39:02	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xea4257…
04-21 14:39:00	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xb0e81b…
04-21 13:47:34	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x0a6459…
04-21 13:41:08	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xb3a4d4…
04-18 12:04:50	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 20c	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xed9ec6…
04-18 11:19:12	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 20c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x51aca8…
04-18 11:19:00	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb9e37d…
04-18 11:18:44	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 20c	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0aa0c2…
04-18 11:18:38	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x455921…
04-17 16:38:04	highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	Yes	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x6c44a5…
04-17 16:36:58	highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe68815…
04-17 16:36:22	highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xed43b0…
04-17 16:36:08	highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7edcd1…
04-14 15:49:47	highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0xa791cf…
04-14 15:41:17	highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xba4447…
04-14 15:17:05	highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1f1dd0…
04-14 15:16:53	highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb725b0…
04-13 16:42:47	highest temperature in panama city on april 14 2026 33corhigher	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6393e2…
04-13 16:42:17	highest temperature in panama city on april 14 2026 32c	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd39419…
03-29 00:45:06	highest temperature in milan on march 29 2026 17c	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0eea98…
03-29 00:42:14	highest temperature in milan on march 29 2026 16c	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x810767…
03-29 00:41:46	highest temperature in milan on march 29 2026 15c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x523162…
03-29 00:41:38	highest temperature in milan on march 29 2026 14c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa6b2f1…
03-29 00:33:32	highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 21c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x91cc8a…
03-29 00:33:20	highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 22c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xec4c4d…
03-24 20:37:41	highest temperature in wellington on march 26 2026 13c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x761cc9…
03-24 20:25:25	highest temperature in wellington on march 26 2026 19c	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe897d9…
03-24 20:20:01	highest temperature in wellington on march 26 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x24e816…
03-14 22:05:25	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	91	90¢	$82	0x7aeede…
03-09 14:03:53	highest temperature in nyc on march 9 2026 66forhigher	Yes	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x63aee6…
03-09 07:53:27	highest temperature in nyc on march 9 2026 66forhigher	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xf58b2e…
03-07 00:57:17	Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0xdb1e27…
03-03 00:44:57	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	127	14¢	$18	0x0fd307…
02-24 19:30:00	highest temperature in toronto on february 24 2026 neg 4c	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xc3a061…
02-24 16:20:44	highest temperature in sao paulo on february 24 2026 28corhigher	No	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0xef70f4…
02-24 16:20:20	highest temperature in sao paulo on february 24 2026 28corhigher	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x352413…
02-24 15:59:08	highest temperature in sao paulo on february 24 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xc2efff…
02-23 01:30:42	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x2dc908…
02-23 01:26:52	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xc7e4ed…
02-23 01:24:20	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	274	5¢	$13	0x712824…
02-22 16:02:18	will vertiv holdings vrt be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	99	16¢	$16	0xc64b2c…
02-22 14:30:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	717	38¢	$273	0xca97ca…
02-20 10:36:38	will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	No	SELL	87	92¢	$80	0xe2cefa…
02-19 18:57:44	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	130	41¢	$53	0x5c1661…
02-17 18:41:01	amzn above 270 on february 27 2026	No	SELL	275	97¢	$266	0x7f887d…
02-13 18:55:37	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x91c8b5…
02-13 18:55:27	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	10¢	$15	0x0a0c93…
02-12 13:33:55	will the milwaukee bucks make the nba playoffs 572	No	BUY	79	87¢	$69	0x9abffe…
02-12 11:06:11	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xd310ca…
02-09 12:31:53	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	186	34¢	$63	0x111d8e…
02-09 12:15:19	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	25	69¢	$18	0xc0d3c8…
02-09 09:23:59	will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	No	SELL	247	91¢	$224	0x572c74…
02-08 07:59:05	will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x90d5d8…
02-08 05:49:05	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0xf98ffe…
02-08 05:46:25	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0x6841fb…
02-08 04:37:39	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	18¢	$25	0xad564c…
02-08 03:16:57	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x0ad1ae…
02-08 03:02:07	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	No	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xff7300…
02-08 02:59:53	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xc3e8d0…
02-08 02:58:07	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x81874e…
02-07 10:14:21	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	466	35¢	$163	0xabb1c6…
02-07 02:18:07	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	109	4¢	$4	0x56ff85…
02-07 02:10:29	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x2ca745…
02-06 07:42:01	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	30¢	$36	0xca1820…
02-06 07:18:57	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	26¢	$47	0x3a18a6…
02-06 07:18:45	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x339cef…
02-06 07:17:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,453	4¢	$62	0xb3b951…
02-06 06:35:57	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x3a9760…
02-06 06:16:01	Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	7¢	$5	0x1d8be1…
02-06 04:09:35	nvda above 190 on february 27 2026	No	SELL	88	83¢	$73	0xc3cc47…
02-06 04:03:05	nvda above 190 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	354	89¢	$315	0xbd607d…
02-06 03:19:27	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	32	36¢	$11	0x84af41…
02-06 03:18:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x6bbb9f…
02-06 03:17:51	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x13e3d6…
02-06 03:15:33	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	390	0¢	$2	0xdc4ac9…
02-06 03:14:31	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	68	36¢	$25	0x379327…
02-06 02:30:57	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0xb309f0…
02-06 02:29:03	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x0b0618…
02-06 02:01:31	btc updown 15m 1770343200	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x8965b0…
02-06 01:46:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	43¢	$27	0x941e01…
02-06 01:41:31	btc updown 15m 1770342300	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x26fecb…
02-06 01:40:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	655	43¢	$282	0x5954ad…
02-05 21:59:47	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	130	5¢	$7	0x2a3578…
02-05 21:57:55	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	130	6¢	$8	0xddc453…
02-05 13:05:53	amzn above 270 on february 27 2026	No	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0xc15dfc…
02-05 09:57:21	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0x0c3876…
02-05 09:54:43	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x576bc5…
02-05 09:49:31	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xcd617d…
02-05 09:49:13	will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	No	SELL	450	14¢	$63	0x2bda42…
02-05 05:26:51	will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	No	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x33ea31…