Realized P&L
+$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$199
Hit rate
44.0%
Resolved
5,202
Trades
14,213
lifetime
Volume
$8.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$261
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 10:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
52% 5% +$1,436
Crypto
40% 2% -$53
Politics
6% 5% +$348
Sports
1% 5% -$22
Tech
1% 0% -$48
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $2 94¢ $94 +$92 08-19 21:48
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes +100 $2 48¢ $48 +$46 05-19 14:21
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +100 $1 34¢ $34 +$32 05-19 14:21
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $14 9¢ $18 +$4 07-20 07:27
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +100 $2 10¢ $10 +$8 08-04 10:10
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $4 5¢ $9 +$5 09-21 01:27
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $5 6¢ $6 +$0 08-10 17:30
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +100 $2 6¢ $6 +$4 10-25 02:27
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +100 $1 5¢ $5 +$4 09-18 09:12
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +100 $1 4¢ $4 +$4 05-13 17:17
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 3¢ $3 -$1 08-10 14:58
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 07-19 10:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 3¢ $3 +$2 10-08 04:29
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 3¢ $3 -$1 07-07 07:36
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? Yes +100 $1 3¢ $3 +$2 07-14 20:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 10-08 04:29
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 10-16 14:34
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 $0 06-02 11:30
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 06-25 11:56
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-24 08:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-02 09:46
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-31 22:49
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-21 10:23
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-21 10:23
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-09 00:05
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 $0 09-15 01:46
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-23 00:50
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +100 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 07-01 20:37
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-19 02:10
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-04 21:50