Moral-Range — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$577

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$182

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-16 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

56% 64% -$599

Other

22% 40% +$9

Tech

12% 100% +$19

Crypto

8% 40% -$7

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$5.0K	2,982	2,982	+0	No	+$247	05-27 03:56
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	2	$1.8K	907	907	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$5	06-03 11:27
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	5	$1.7K	877	877	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$10	06-01 11:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$1.4K	720	720	+0	Yes	+$15	05-24 12:09
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 15?	6	$1.2K	620	620	+0	Yes	+$2	05-15 15:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	12	$1.1K	2,661	1,661	+1,000	Yes	-$606	06-16 02:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$653	345	345	+0	No	+$11	06-03 10:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$623	330	330	+0	No	+$23	05-31 07:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$580	315	315	+0	No	+$12	05-27 14:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$369	406	406	+0	Yes	-$313	06-15 01:56
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	3	$352	179	179	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 02:17
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$306	356	0	+356	No	+$50	05-15 04:20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$300	301	0	+301	Hurricanes	+$1	05-28 02:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$230	150	150	+0	Yes	+$4	05-15 03:53
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$193	242	0	+242	No	+$49	05-15 04:20
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$83	171	171	+0	No	-$73	05-15 07:34
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	05-15 04:20
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?	3	$10	30	30	+0	No	-$5	05-15 15:55
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	3	$6	101	17	+83	Diana Shnaider	-$6	06-03 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Down	-$2	05-24 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$2	05-07 12:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	01-18 12:32
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	01-18 12:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$1	125	0	+125	No	-$1	05-26 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 02:11:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	333	2¢	$7	0x7e7e3e…
06-15 07:25:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	667	13¢	$90	0x4b1624…
06-15 06:50:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	656	15¢	$96	0xf0e265…
06-15 04:23:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	211	18¢	$38	0x8317e7…
06-15 04:23:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x8aef96…
06-15 04:23:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x85ec7a…
06-15 04:08:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	357	17¢	$61	0xfa4b4b…
06-15 03:26:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xbc6304…
06-15 03:25:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	615	13¢	$81	0x0fc53d…
06-15 02:32:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0x1e3d07…
06-15 02:26:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0x246a08…
06-15 01:56:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	406	7¢	$28	0x1f74e2…
06-07 07:59:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	615	94¢	$578	0x8b3c01…
06-07 07:59:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	406	84¢	$341	0xebfaa2…
06-03 13:41:47	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xaeaa87…
06-03 13:41:17	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xc06aed…
06-03 13:31:33	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x3f8d75…
06-03 11:27:06	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	907	100¢	$905	0x5c486d…
06-03 10:50:21	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	907	99¢	$900	0x253d2a…
06-03 10:15:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	345	96¢	$332	0xf833b9…
06-01 11:54:41	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	554	99¢	$549	0xddbbaa…
06-01 11:20:16	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x3588d9…
06-01 11:17:14	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x23aec2…
06-01 10:19:32	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	323	90¢	$290	0x968e08…
06-01 09:37:03	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0xb52376…
06-01 03:04:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	345	93¢	$321	0x91c1b5…
05-31 07:27:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	330	98¢	$323	0x6352f7…
05-29 05:06:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x4c608e…
05-28 02:36:11	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x204620…
05-27 14:53:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	315	94¢	$296	0x29e644…
05-27 12:43:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	315	90¢	$284	0xc5163d…
05-27 03:56:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	851	100¢	$849	0x85143e…
05-26 14:57:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xe4b09e…
05-26 03:07:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	851	94¢	$800	0x1382c7…
05-25 15:09:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	930	87¢	$810	0x2fbb06…
05-25 15:03:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	930	86¢	$800	0xe0f296…
05-25 14:53:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	248	84¢	$208	0x646184…
05-25 14:42:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	203	85¢	$172	0xd9af96…
05-25 14:40:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x0dc71b…
05-24 15:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb0ada6…
05-24 15:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8e6019…
05-24 14:51:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	750	81¢	$608	0x93805b…
05-24 13:49:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	968	62¢	$600	0x98d6d8…
05-24 12:09:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	620	99¢	$614	0x4665dc…
05-20 06:40:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	620	97¢	$600	0x622ee5…
05-15 15:55:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x130123…
05-15 15:47:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x910ae4…
05-15 15:46:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4e90f7…
05-15 15:45:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xe165bc…
05-15 15:38:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd78c4c…
05-15 15:37:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	613	97¢	$595	0x03d84d…
05-15 14:14:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x65c7b0…
05-15 14:07:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xba6b83…
05-15 13:17:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	620	97¢	$600	0xa7c043…
05-15 07:34:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0x553598…
05-15 07:24:36	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x58d4f3…
05-15 04:20:40	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x782884…
05-15 04:20:21	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0xe1d3dd…
05-15 04:20:05	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xff2d43…
05-15 04:20:02	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	92	88¢	$82	0x491ca9…
05-15 04:11:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6fc494…
05-15 04:08:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x03a0eb…
05-15 04:07:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x556808…
05-15 04:07:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	87	1¢	$1	0x6c0782…
05-15 03:55:05	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xbeb8e6…
05-15 03:54:48	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0x2ec40a…
05-15 03:54:36	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x2606c5…
05-15 03:54:25	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x6edb7a…
05-15 03:53:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	78¢	$117	0xa2c5df…
05-15 01:22:08	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0x6c5644…
05-14 14:02:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x6b48d4…
05-14 12:00:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x956a78…
05-14 11:23:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x20f9b0…
05-14 11:23:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	87	55¢	$48	0xa0d6f3…
05-14 08:33:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x14f9b5…
05-14 03:19:21	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x21f8ad…
05-14 03:18:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x5496c0…
05-14 03:18:00	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x69c744…
05-14 02:17:53	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	98¢	$176	0x70d334…
05-07 12:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x917977…
05-07 12:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0d5f7c…
05-06 05:02:44	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xddfbf2…
05-06 04:55:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0xa911e2…
05-06 04:48:34	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	98¢	$147	0xada690…
01-18 12:33:08	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3091d3…
01-18 12:32:58	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf93970…
01-18 11:40:54	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x387510…
01-18 11:16:42	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41d2ae…