Appropriate-Odyssey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$344

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

Trades

80,038

lifetime

Volume

$2.10M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$327

10 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-03 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 58% +$344

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 3910 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+147	$102	90¢	$133	+$31	06-03 10:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-92	$-55	62¢	$-58	$-2	06-01 02:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+509	$66	11¢	$53	$-12	06-02 12:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	-85	$-31	62¢	$-52	$-21	06-03 11:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-49	$-13	38¢	$-19	$-6	06-03 11:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+61	$-1	10¢	$6	+$7	06-03 10:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+13	$1	38¢	$5	+$3	06-01 22:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	+1	$-4	90¢	$1	+$5	06-01 18:35
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+10	$2	4¢	$0	$-2	05-30 19:16
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+0	$-3	96¢	$0	+$4	05-30 19:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	844	$43.6K	40,784	40,551	+233	open	—	04-18 15:49
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	889	$43.5K	42,882	40,729	+2,153	open	—	04-17 14:27
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	833	$38.9K	40,571	39,963	+608	open	—	04-13 15:57
bitcoin above 74k on april 15	821	$37.3K	38,664	37,101	+1,563	open	—	04-15 15:57
bitcoin above 74k on april 16	701	$37.0K	37,188	35,932	+1,257	open	—	04-16 15:44
bitcoin above 78k on april 23	586	$31.0K	31,755	30,721	+1,034	open	—	04-23 15:49
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	648	$30.2K	29,892	29,527	+365	open	—	04-19 15:33
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	805	$29.0K	28,130	27,622	+508	open	—	04-09 15:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	670	$26.1K	27,830	27,337	+492	open	—	04-06 15:57
bitcoin above 72k on april 10	736	$25.2K	24,442	23,828	+615	open	—	04-10 15:42
bitcoin above 72k on april 12	491	$24.4K	22,332	21,607	+725	open	—	04-12 14:20
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	350	$23.4K	24,734	24,347	+387	open	—	04-17 15:54
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	292	$23.2K	22,294	21,227	+1,067	open	—	04-14 15:47
bitcoin above 76k on april 21	605	$23.2K	25,713	24,935	+778	open	—	04-21 15:50
bitcoin above 74k on april 10	477	$22.6K	22,275	21,455	+820	open	—	04-10 15:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	366	$21.4K	21,553	20,489	+1,064	open	—	04-18 11:17
bitcoin above 70k on april 13	593	$21.3K	19,385	18,787	+599	open	—	04-13 14:24
bitcoin above 76k on april 20	461	$21.0K	18,990	19,110	-120	open	—	04-20 14:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 22	386	$20.7K	19,396	18,532	+864	open	—	04-22 15:30
bitcoin above 72k on april 8	505	$19.3K	18,463	17,502	+961	open	—	04-08 15:25
bitcoin above 74k on april 20	441	$17.6K	17,610	17,192	+418	open	—	04-20 16:25
bitcoin above 74k on april 17	394	$17.4K	19,469	18,496	+973	open	—	04-17 13:38
bitcoin above 74k on april 14	341	$17.3K	17,704	16,954	+750	open	—	04-14 15:13
bitcoin above 76k on april 16	330	$17.3K	16,370	15,315	+1,055	open	—	04-16 13:56
bitcoin above 74k on april 11	446	$16.7K	14,556	14,092	+464	open	—	04-11 14:24
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	354	$15.6K	15,469	14,732	+737	open	—	04-24 14:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	407	$15.2K	14,386	14,368	+17	open	—	04-26 14:50
bitcoin above 68k on april 7	396	$14.7K	15,150	14,229	+921	open	—	04-07 15:54
bitcoin above 72k on april 11	440	$14.5K	14,062	13,284	+778	open	—	04-11 14:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	423	$14.4K	14,207	14,052	+155	open	—	04-27 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 18:06:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0xe0c85a…
06-03 17:46:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x44c36c…
06-03 17:45:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7e8b10…
06-03 17:45:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x780592…
06-03 17:45:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4c0270…
06-03 17:44:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xb5ce7a…
06-03 17:43:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xbea8cb…
06-03 17:42:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc7e978…
06-03 17:42:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xfa62c3…
06-03 17:41:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x874514…
06-03 17:41:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5a3615…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xfe0647…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfe0647…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf330d2…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xbe708a…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xaaa097…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x9cda3b…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x88063d…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x87e6c0…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x764d43…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x4f94b7…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x09ad35…
06-03 17:41:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf8ad99…
06-03 17:41:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe78b57…
06-03 17:40:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xab221e…
06-03 17:40:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x714d32…
06-03 17:40:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x714d32…
06-03 17:39:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xc3fc86…
06-03 14:42:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	190	74¢	$141	0x6b2e89…
06-03 14:42:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x6b2e89…
06-03 11:39:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	151	44¢	$66	0xa2a2c7…
06-03 11:31:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xb74f55…
06-03 11:22:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x13261e…
06-03 11:22:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xf03522…
06-03 11:22:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x2b1567…
06-03 11:21:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x4790b4…
06-03 11:20:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	164	43¢	$71	0x33f36d…
06-03 11:20:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	57¢	$21	0x33f36d…
06-03 10:24:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xdb6683…
06-03 10:17:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x651560…
06-03 10:17:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	32	79¢	$26	0x4dbde1…
06-03 10:16:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0xe5f46b…
06-03 10:14:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	73	19¢	$14	0x94ea39…
06-03 10:12:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	73	80¢	$58	0x97260a…
06-03 10:12:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x97260a…
06-03 10:10:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x906a9b…
06-03 10:09:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x72180a…
06-03 09:01:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0xa77aee…
06-03 08:20:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	195	10¢	$20	0x912213…
06-03 08:20:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x37f9db…
06-03 07:29:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x0b30d4…
06-03 07:27:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x7678db…
06-03 06:33:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xd91146…
06-03 06:33:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	193	55¢	$106	0xd91146…
06-03 06:22:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x002740…
06-03 06:17:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe3a1d2…
06-03 06:17:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xca5e49…
06-03 06:11:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0ecde4…
06-03 06:08:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0x84f96c…
06-03 05:36:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	44¢	$23	0xe2e463…
06-03 05:36:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0xe2e463…
06-03 04:54:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	74	44¢	$32	0xded21c…
06-03 04:41:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xdb84d9…
06-03 04:41:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xd5f7eb…
06-03 04:06:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x56c7ca…
06-03 04:06:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5cef29…
06-03 04:06:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0xe6b2ed…
06-03 03:34:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x75a42e…
06-03 03:32:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x85c0de…
06-03 03:30:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcb8904…
06-03 03:29:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe2e62b…
06-03 03:10:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xe9fe84…
06-03 02:46:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x053f8e…
06-03 00:04:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x05886c…
06-03 00:04:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x19a19a…
06-03 00:03:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	28¢	$53	0xa688eb…
06-03 00:03:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x3cdfd3…
06-03 00:03:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x52d6ec…
06-03 00:00:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0xa02851…
06-02 23:56:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	57¢	$107	0x1ef97e…
06-02 23:39:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	75¢	$67	0xd3afc8…
06-02 23:39:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6dfadf…
06-02 23:39:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0xf1097a…
06-02 23:23:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0xcb9e9f…
06-02 22:20:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	127	41¢	$52	0xffdff8…
06-02 22:20:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	73	59¢	$43	0xffdff8…
06-02 21:54:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x618b7e…
06-02 21:49:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xff0b6a…
06-02 21:49:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xc0bbbe…
06-02 21:49:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x974d78…
06-02 20:01:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x9de8df…
06-02 20:00:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	138	11¢	$15	0x1f217c…
06-02 19:07:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xae485e…
06-02 19:07:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe490e7…
06-02 19:05:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe13968…
06-02 19:05:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7a57fa…
06-02 19:05:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x630a1c…
06-02 19:05:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x60b2bc…
06-02 19:05:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5fddb9…
06-02 19:05:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x559e23…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	753	$4.56M	47,030	05-25 15:38
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	648	$1.70M	11,892	05-25 15:41
Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316	644	$209.8K	11,853	05-25 11:11
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	639	$707.7K	9,223	05-25 15:44
(anonymous) 0x997c…251e	631	$5.43M	177,155	05-25 15:57
Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec	612	$110.4K	17,331	05-25 15:20
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	611	$28.9K	615	05-25 15:55
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	592	$3.82M	50,474	04-28 07:53