Ill-Informed-Rib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

391

Trades

2,332

lifetime

Volume

$204.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 11-04 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 28% +$8,328

Tech

2% 0% -$4,086

Other

2% 38% +$1,824

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	25	$13.2K	15,846	15,846	+0	No	+$11,912	10-22 18:45
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 23?	14	$5.0K	22,366	0	+22,366	No	-$5,022	10-23 18:00
will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 23	2	$4.8K	2,868	2,868	+0	Yes	+$832	07-23 12:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	29	$4.5K	4,260	4,260	+0	No	+$3,367	05-15 15:21
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 30?	10	$3.8K	12,017	2,000	+10,017	No	-$2,300	10-30 19:00
ethereum above 1800 on june 16 2026	17	$3.6K	3,542	3,542	+0	No	+$1,845	06-16 12:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	16	$3.5K	3,080	3,080	+0	No	+$1,672	05-07 15:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?	4	$3.4K	10,204	2,000	+8,204	No	-$44	10-13 01:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	8	$3.3K	5,328	3,331	+1,997	No	+$3,853	10-19 15:57
will ethereum reach 1900 on august 16	2	$3.1K	2,355	2,355	+0	Yes	+$1,576	08-17 02:52
ethereum above 1900 on august 12 2026	17	$3.1K	2,969	2,969	+0	No	+$1,216	08-12 11:31
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	12	$2.8K	6,284	2,300	+3,984	Yes	+$5,179	10-26 02:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	28	$2.8K	10,019	0	+10,019	No	-$2,768	10-30 02:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	17	$2.5K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	-$2,540	06-11 22:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	7	$2.4K	10,044	1,000	+9,044	Yes	-$1,407	10-26 14:02
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 19?	23	$2.4K	22,022	0	+22,022	No	-$2,394	10-19 23:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 29?	11	$2.3K	7,768	0	+7,768	No	-$2,298	10-30 00:35
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 20?	6	$2.3K	15,233	0	+15,233	No	-$2,259	10-20 09:35
bitcoin above 64k on august 17 2026	29	$2.2K	2,224	2,224	+0	Yes	+$1,386	08-17 15:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 20?	18	$2.1K	14,428	0	+14,428	No	-$2,078	10-20 16:10
will bitcoin reach 68k on june 16	17	$2.1K	14,508	0	+14,508	No	-$2,068	06-16 13:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	8	$2.0K	2,781	1,000	+1,781	Yes	+$1,736	10-29 23:51
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 1?	19	$2.0K	16,181	0	+16,181	No	-$2,026	11-01 23:34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 29?	11	$2.0K	8,530	0	+8,530	Yes	+$6,554	10-29 23:54
ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	30	$2.0K	11,920	1,105	+10,815	Yes	-$1,913	07-22 15:00
ethereum above 1900 on july 26 2026	22	$1.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$1,446	07-26 15:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	15	$1.8K	8,363	0	+8,363	No	-$1,800	10-26 02:38
bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	23	$1.7K	5,920	2,800	+3,120	No	-$757	06-08 15:56
will axiom be accused of insider trading	9	$1.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$1,337	02-26 13:47
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 on October 12?	2	$1.6K	2,414	1,207	+1,207	Yes	+$2,002	10-12 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 17:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	58	39¢	$22	0x430b80…
11-04 17:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x72fe57…
11-04 17:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x227b77…
11-04 17:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	531	38¢	$200	0x9ef950…
11-04 17:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	455	99¢	$450	0xb6a98e…
11-04 17:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xf6a7b9…
11-04 17:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	264	80¢	$212	0xc0bf42…
11-04 17:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	264	50¢	$132	0x703857…
11-04 17:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	145	95¢	$138	0xd268c5…
11-04 16:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	145	50¢	$72	0x9b9f5f…
11-04 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0xe804bb…
11-04 16:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x9d173a…
11-04 16:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	306	33¢	$100	0xce985c…
11-04 16:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xa96474…
11-04 16:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	136	15¢	$20	0xc43601…
11-04 16:12:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	2,016	10¢	$202	0xe4b129…
11-04 16:08:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	208	14¢	$30	0x246813…
11-04 15:23:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	1,000	17¢	$168	0x30c42b…
11-04 15:12:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	2,000	25¢	$499	0x4bd0e0…
11-04 14:53:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	342	7¢	$24	0x218758…
11-04 14:53:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xa0ff48…
11-04 14:53:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x421099…
11-04 14:53:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	120	7¢	$8	0xd01e02…
11-04 14:53:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x806576…
11-04 11:04:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	548	24¢	$132	0xb1feb8…
11-04 10:51:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	4,474	24¢	$1,074	0x8bbf4e…
11-03 17:35:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1,655	19¢	$314	0xe6549e…
11-03 17:34:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	85	19¢	$16	0x7c3f5c…
11-03 17:06:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	340	18¢	$61	0x149560…
11-03 17:05:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	428	18¢	$77	0x4e5b61…
11-03 16:47:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?	No	SELL	147	97¢	$143	0x827f76…
11-03 14:18:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	288	20¢	$58	0x90f78e…
11-03 14:18:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf4092e…
11-03 14:17:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?	No	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0x2f66cb…
11-03 14:17:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?	No	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0xc73373…
11-03 13:49:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xdc62c9…
11-03 13:38:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?	No	BUY	161	59¢	$95	0xd69783…
11-03 13:38:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x4d2c38…
11-03 13:38:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?	No	BUY	304	59¢	$179	0xaa2a4d…
11-03 13:38:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x11762e…
11-03 12:22:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1,532	24¢	$368	0x3f2ab1…
11-03 12:20:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8cc4eb…
11-03 11:14:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	1,175	6¢	$70	0x0dd9af…
11-03 10:44:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	361	6¢	$22	0x7942f9…
11-03 10:44:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	386	6¢	$23	0xa1ebb7…
11-03 10:43:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	185	6¢	$11	0x42d5fc…
11-03 10:32:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x688ed4…
11-03 10:23:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x7878f6…
11-03 10:20:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xc167d1…
11-03 10:20:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xe88d3b…
11-03 10:20:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xdd4ea8…
11-03 10:19:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xf535c9…
11-03 10:19:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xd7d00b…
11-03 10:19:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	58	6¢	$3	0x726758…
11-03 10:16:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x15df82…
11-03 09:57:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	192	6¢	$12	0xfe9737…
11-03 09:57:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	2,800	16¢	$460	0x27eefb…
11-03 09:57:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	205	6¢	$12	0xaafc8a…
11-03 09:48:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x1ee2e3…
11-03 09:47:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x9a5bfa…
11-03 09:46:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	189	6¢	$11	0x4a6b09…
11-03 09:43:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x6d3c60…
11-03 09:31:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x341649…
11-03 09:30:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	413	7¢	$29	0x66bccd…
11-03 09:30:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	2,145	7¢	$150	0x00a37c…
11-03 09:22:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	2,130	20¢	$422	0x4dfa3a…
11-03 09:22:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	528	20¢	$104	0x0ba824…
11-03 00:03:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,400	16¢	$384	0xdee7ef…
11-03 00:03:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x4a429e…
11-02 23:31:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,500	19¢	$475	0x8e2f23…
11-02 23:30:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	1,589	6¢	$95	0xfe7353…
11-02 15:08:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	400	34¢	$136	0x7e2f3b…
11-02 15:08:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,400	34¢	$816	0x2a9d14…
11-02 08:19:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3,457	13¢	$449	0x1dbd0f…
11-02 08:18:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	264	12¢	$32	0xd28b68…
11-02 08:17:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	264	12¢	$32	0xfe59f9…
11-02 08:17:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	931	3¢	$29	0x76cfc5…
11-02 08:17:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	409	4¢	$14	0xafda6c…
11-02 08:17:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x7a845b…
11-02 08:15:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x8af53a…
11-02 08:15:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	264	12¢	$32	0x133a68…
11-02 08:08:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x10c27d…
11-02 08:04:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3,000	14¢	$420	0x11ebd6…
11-02 08:04:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,520	14¢	$352	0x018f0d…
11-02 08:03:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,410	12¢	$289	0x34f2fd…
11-02 08:02:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x59f61a…
11-02 07:56:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xabbee9…
11-02 07:44:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	344	4¢	$15	0x97075e…
11-02 07:44:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	444	4¢	$19	0x5ab79b…
11-02 07:44:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	444	4¢	$19	0x4d5cb0…
11-02 07:44:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	444	4¢	$19	0xeecd09…
11-02 07:44:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	872	4¢	$35	0xf85e90…
11-02 07:44:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	431	4¢	$19	0xbfa29b…
11-02 07:44:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbf46b4…
11-02 07:43:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	4,194	4¢	$167	0xaeb5a6…
11-02 07:39:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	No	BUY	576	3¢	$16	0x1b7008…
11-02 07:38:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	No	BUY	1,744	3¢	$47	0xbc7253…
11-02 07:38:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	No	BUY	1,132	3¢	$29	0xb9d944…
11-02 07:38:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	No	BUY	352	2¢	$9	0x39c470…
11-01 23:34:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	276	6¢	$16	0x9c17e2…