Humongous-Pagan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.4%

Resolved

Trades

468

lifetime

Volume

$9.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-19 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 50% +$51

Sports

19% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	2	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-18 02:24
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	15	$548	400	400	+0	open	—	04-18 04:31
mex asl pum 2026 04 17 asl	18	$377	200	200	+0	open	—	04-18 02:47
mls vwh skc 2026 04 17 total 4pt5	19	$273	294	294	+0	open	—	04-18 04:05
btc updown 5m 1781794500	4	$226	192	192	+0	open	—	06-18 14:55
bun bay uni 2026 03 21 spread away 1pt5	3	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	03-21 16:12
bl2 h96 bra 2026 03 20 spread away 1pt5	2	$215	110	110	+0	open	—	03-20 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	11	$204	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	10	$201	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 18:00
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 13:43
will judy shelton attend the 2026 state of the union address	3	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	02-24 02:26
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	5	$187	200	200	+0	Yes	$-13	05-06 16:58
kor gwa inc 2026 03 07 gwa	7	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	03-07 09:22
mex maz que 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	4	$154	150	150	+0	open	—	04-18 02:14
xrp up or down on february 11	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	02-11 16:30
chi sha tie 2026 03 07 tie	4	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-07 09:11
bl2 bie scp 2026 03 14 bie	1	$134	140	0	+140	open	—	03-14 13:51
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$118	100	100	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 03:48
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	5	$100	150	150	+0	open	—	05-24 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 17:44
will nancy pelosi applaud during trumps state of the union	3	$98	200	200	+0	open	—	02-24 03:07
mex asl pum 2026 04 17 total 2pt5	5	$94	96	96	+0	open	—	04-18 02:13
amzn up or down on april 9 2026	3	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 11:28
googl up or down on april 9 2026	3	$93	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 06:32
nba lal dal 2026 04 05	1	$92	200	0	+200	open	—	04-05 12:57
meta up or down on april 9 2026	2	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 08:19
ng up or down on april 9 2026	3	$87	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 14:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	2	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 14:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	4	$79	105	61	+44	Down	+$14	05-07 11:28
marcos llorente 20260609173616758	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	06-14 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 13:42:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts second half	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x8fc4c3…
07-01 14:03:38	will vinicius jrpt score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257762	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x927615…
07-01 14:03:26	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x97df64…
06-27 21:54:25	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511659	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x766cd7…
06-27 10:12:41	will the announcers say qatar during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259131	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb7702a…
06-26 12:27:56	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x0d1b9b…
06-26 10:05:26	will the announcers say captain during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250625	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xafae49…
06-26 10:05:13	will the announcers say handball during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259132	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x0454e0…
06-26 10:04:56	will the announcers say handball during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259132	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x1cb753…
06-26 10:03:46	will the announcers say handball during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259132	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xf64d92…
06-26 08:01:47	will the announcers say champion during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523356	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xb01365…
06-26 07:29:40	will the announcers say verticality during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511667	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x7e3924…
06-26 06:50:07	will the announcers say handball during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511670	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x13656e…
06-26 06:48:44	will the announcers say barcelona during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523344	No	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xacdaec…
06-26 06:46:56	will the announcers say handball during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250623	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x2d157f…
06-26 06:43:19	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914439	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xab08af…
06-26 06:43:05	will the announcers say historic during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914424	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x84a858…
06-26 06:42:58	will the announcers say barcelona during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914423	No	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xbe44f5…
06-26 06:33:55	will the announcers say handball during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511670	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x8626dd…
06-26 06:14:31	will the announcers say ronaldo during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259145	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5e0a75…
06-26 06:07:56	will the announcers say qatar during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700890	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x83971a…
06-26 06:07:13	will the announcers say qatar during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700890	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7c1c7e…
06-26 06:07:07	will the announcers say messi during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716828	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2d37b4…
06-26 06:06:44	will the announcers say messi during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716828	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xdc0615…
06-26 05:53:20	will the announcers say handball during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511670	No	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x4e2c2a…
06-26 05:48:29	will the announcers say handball during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250623	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x746e34…
06-26 05:48:26	will the announcers say handball during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250623	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x31e717…
06-26 05:31:46	will the announcers say messi during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716828	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf2873c…
06-26 05:22:59	will the announcers say off target during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511666	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x7203bd…
06-26 05:16:43	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0x292dd2…
06-26 05:16:23	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xe84063…
06-26 05:09:14	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914439	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x776879…
06-26 05:05:49	will the announcers say dominant during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511665	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2da2d8…
06-26 05:02:19	will the announcers say qatar during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511669	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xeadd0d…
06-26 04:55:35	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511682	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xca9b0d…
06-26 04:33:53	will the announcers say qatar during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511669	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x71d832…
06-26 04:27:58	will the announcers say ankle during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250620	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x737fc1…
06-26 04:22:52	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x28de40…
06-26 04:11:34	will the announcers say history during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523353	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xc50d16…
06-26 04:01:14	will the announcers say qatar during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511669	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x020800…
06-26 03:59:14	will the announcers say captain during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250625	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfff3aa…
06-26 03:58:35	will the announcers say handball during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259132	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x462f84…
06-26 03:58:31	will the announcers say qatar during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259131	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xbffd7b…
06-26 03:58:26	will the announcers say qatar during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259131	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x14c004…
06-26 03:49:44	will the announcers say historic during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914424	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa942c5…
06-26 03:48:28	will the announcers say barcelona during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523344	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4e34ca…
06-26 03:45:32	will the announcers say barcelona during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914423	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x020685…
06-26 03:41:43	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511659	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x880ffd…
06-26 03:39:07	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511682	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x28e1b8…
06-26 03:38:53	will the match not air 20260625155700905	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x8651be…
06-26 03:38:53	will the match not air 20260625155700905	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x39dfd2…
06-26 03:38:50	will the match not air 20260625155700905	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf020b3…
06-26 03:38:50	will the match not air 20260625155700905	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcaa77f…
06-26 03:37:05	will the match not air 20260625200259146	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6b6584…
06-26 03:34:35	will the announcers say verticality during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511667	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb6c795…
06-26 03:31:14	will the announcers say champion during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523356	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa8e1f1…
06-26 03:26:11	will the announcers say captain during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511672	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x7a199c…
06-26 03:25:05	will the announcers say what a save during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914436	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xdd5eac…
06-26 03:20:16	will the announcers say barcelona during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914423	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x4748b6…
06-26 03:17:08	will the announcers say handball during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511670	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xad377d…
06-26 03:14:10	will the announcers say what a save during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914436	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x8c84ac…
06-26 03:13:26	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250614	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5d4bfd…
06-26 03:12:41	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700881	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x366b0a…
06-26 03:03:52	will the announcers say champion during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259138	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x2e328f…
06-26 03:02:26	will the announcers say history during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259135	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x84e769…
06-24 17:18:56	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x42207f…
06-24 17:18:34	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x458f32…
06-18 14:55:10	btc updown 5m 1781794500	Up	SELL	192	64¢	$123	0xa889c3…
06-18 14:54:59	btc updown 5m 1781794500	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x2070cf…
06-18 14:54:28	btc updown 5m 1781794500	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xacbcbf…
06-18 14:54:25	btc updown 5m 1781794500	Up	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0x91fc38…
06-18 02:24:16	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1,500	52¢	$780	0x35b20d…
06-18 02:21:14	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,500	52¢	$780	0xeda83c…
06-14 05:42:31	will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x9f6449…
06-14 02:59:18	will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x5228d3…
06-14 02:45:57	will iaki williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xf3e86f…
06-14 02:39:12	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xccf1ef…
06-14 02:32:46	will erling haaland score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419438	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x92ad80…
06-14 02:29:24	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xfdbd5a…
06-14 02:29:22	will erling haaland score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419438	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x17c5a1…
06-14 02:26:09	nathaniel brown 20260609173253886	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x9f9557…
06-14 02:25:43	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x5cc676…
06-14 02:25:37	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xdc56a7…
06-14 02:25:37	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	BUY	39	17¢	$7	0x3bc815…
06-14 02:23:16	will lamine yamal score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932025	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x9f7a53…
06-14 02:22:42	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x025a64…
06-14 02:21:13	nathaniel brown 20260609173253886	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x924013…
06-14 02:21:13	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0e141a…
06-14 02:19:36	bradley barcola 20260609174813077	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xfb2e8f…
06-14 02:18:30	will casemiro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x5401af…
06-14 02:18:25	rafael leao 20260609175357529	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x6046f3…
06-14 02:17:46	will casemiro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xebca12…
06-14 02:08:52	will vinicius jrpt score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257762	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x578b3b…
06-14 02:08:42	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x19df32…
06-14 01:55:21	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x26b2e4…
06-14 01:51:07	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x6d6fcc…
06-14 01:50:16	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x500102…
06-14 01:49:00	tijjani reijnders 20260609173030765	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf9ebef…
06-14 01:41:01	marcos llorente 20260609173616758	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xa39a91…
06-14 01:40:10	marcos llorente 20260609173616758	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xe581e5…