Humongous-Pagan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.4%

Resolved

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$6.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-03 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% +$51

Crypto

22% — —

Sports

17% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	15	$548	400	400	+0	open	—	04-18 04:31
mex asl pum 2026 04 17 asl	18	$377	200	200	+0	open	—	04-18 02:47
mls vwh skc 2026 04 17 total 4pt5	19	$273	294	294	+0	open	—	04-18 04:05
bun bay uni 2026 03 21 spread away 1pt5	3	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	03-21 16:12
bl2 h96 bra 2026 03 20 spread away 1pt5	2	$215	110	110	+0	open	—	03-20 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	11	$204	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	10	$201	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 18:00
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 13:43
will judy shelton attend the 2026 state of the union address	3	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	02-24 02:26
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	5	$187	200	200	+0	Yes	$-13	05-06 16:58
kor gwa inc 2026 03 07 gwa	7	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	03-07 09:22
mex maz que 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	4	$154	150	150	+0	open	—	04-18 02:14
xrp up or down on february 11	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	02-11 16:30
chi sha tie 2026 03 07 tie	4	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-07 09:11
bl2 bie scp 2026 03 14 bie	1	$134	140	0	+140	open	—	03-14 13:51
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$118	100	100	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 03:48
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	5	$100	150	150	+0	open	—	05-24 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 17:44
will nancy pelosi applaud during trumps state of the union	3	$98	200	200	+0	open	—	02-24 03:07
mex asl pum 2026 04 17 total 2pt5	5	$94	96	96	+0	open	—	04-18 02:13
amzn up or down on april 9 2026	3	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 11:28
googl up or down on april 9 2026	3	$93	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 06:32
nba lal dal 2026 04 05	1	$92	200	0	+200	open	—	04-05 12:57
meta up or down on april 9 2026	2	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 08:19
ng up or down on april 9 2026	3	$87	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 14:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	2	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 14:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	4	$79	105	61	+44	Down	+$14	05-07 11:28
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	6	$75	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 05:31
nba tor phx 2026 03 22	1	$70	123	0	+123	open	—	03-22 14:46
lol tes ig1 2026 01 25	4	$69	79	0	+79	open	—	01-25 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 13:48:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x8da1c1…
06-03 13:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x10a884…
06-03 13:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe45498…
06-03 13:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xd4a336…
06-03 13:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb8df3c…
06-03 13:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8324d2…
06-03 13:45:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa04511…
06-03 13:45:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62cf98…
06-03 13:45:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x293216…
06-03 13:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xd5bf91…
06-03 13:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x6c87e2…
06-03 13:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x41c3cb…
06-03 13:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x167728…
06-03 13:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x282b77…
06-03 13:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x18676e…
06-03 13:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x8ba606…
06-03 13:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd018c8…
06-03 13:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x55a0d8…
06-03 13:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x4638dd…
06-03 13:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdce530…
06-03 13:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xb706d8…
06-03 13:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x511f13…
06-03 13:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x07c7e8…
06-03 13:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x96b59d…
06-03 13:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xdec962…
06-03 13:24:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdb31a1…
06-03 13:23:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe97056…
06-03 13:23:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdabd89…
06-03 13:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x635bdd…
06-03 13:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x248e8f…
06-03 13:22:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xfe5120…
06-03 13:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb48772…
06-03 13:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x08096f…
06-03 13:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xbf0fc7…
06-03 13:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1cbf1a…
06-03 13:20:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x837a43…
06-03 13:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x24b4ce…
06-03 13:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c654a…
06-03 13:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf2c66f…
06-03 13:19:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x40baaa…
06-03 13:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xc06f8d…
06-03 13:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x86309e…
06-03 13:19:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaeb21a…
06-03 13:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5fd6be…
06-03 13:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x081cc5…
06-03 13:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbb3630…
06-03 13:07:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xfa6192…
06-03 10:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x41ba01…
06-03 10:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x16c8b0…
06-03 10:08:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x9be5eb…
06-03 10:08:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x5abf53…
06-03 10:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x2f0b1b…
06-03 10:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xcb0275…
06-03 10:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xaf9a7a…
06-03 10:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x902829…
06-03 10:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x80e240…
06-03 10:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x2a0d84…
06-03 10:04:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0xeec37f…
06-03 10:04:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x736348…
06-03 10:04:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x96c69c…
06-03 10:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xa0e47a…
06-03 10:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x356a95…
06-03 09:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x527573…
06-03 09:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xc02a80…
06-03 09:48:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x9e9f66…
06-03 09:45:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0x61ee1e…
06-03 09:45:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe88790…
06-03 09:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x97c6d9…
06-03 09:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa764bd…
06-03 09:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa1578e…
06-03 09:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7c9fbe…
06-03 09:24:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x10088b…
06-03 09:24:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3a3caf…
06-03 09:23:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb0fd57…
06-03 09:23:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfae597…
06-03 09:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe7570e…
06-03 09:19:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xbddb79…
06-03 09:19:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x49ad31…
06-03 09:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x16b888…
06-03 09:18:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xdf7f16…
06-01 18:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x6bef1f…
06-01 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xbc8b41…
06-01 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaacc8b…
06-01 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xa64058…
06-01 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x99bc1b…
06-01 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x67eb93…
06-01 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x336be5…
06-01 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0989f5…
06-01 17:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x6a45b4…
06-01 17:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xcd36e6…
06-01 17:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	60	52¢	$31	0x1ab843…
06-01 17:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc039e6…
06-01 17:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x1f8677…
06-01 17:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	41	42¢	$17	0xdda82f…
06-01 17:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x99a6bd…
06-01 17:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc2a82a…
06-01 17:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb51e8f…
06-01 17:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x79eefb…
06-01 17:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6e8703…
06-01 17:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x507e93…