Imperturbable-Equinox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$300

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,733

lifetime

Volume

$296.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 08-10 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% 86% +$165

Politics

20% — —

Sports

13% 50% +$135

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will france win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	103	$8.6K	6,972	4,366	+2,606	open	—	02-21 04:45
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	9	$7.0K	7,151	0	+7,151	open	—	02-23 03:22
will japan win pool c at the 2026 world baseball classic	35	$5.6K	4,316	1,717	+2,599	open	—	03-09 09:36
us strikes iraq by february 28	36	$5.0K	4,100	4,100	+0	open	—	02-28 15:19
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	46	$4.7K	3,519	1,768	+1,751	open	—	03-18 03:49
wbc jap sok 2026 03 07	32	$4.5K	3,195	1,771	+1,424	open	—	03-07 13:15
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$4.4K	2,919	2,919	+0	open	—	02-03 08:04
will turnout in the 2026 japanese snap election be 60 or higher	39	$4.3K	4,732	102	+4,630	open	—	02-08 13:19
will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	39	$4.1K	2,104	2,138	-35	open	—	03-03 06:36
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	37	$3.7K	2,407	2,707	-300	open	—	02-25 06:19
will chinese taipei win the 2026 world baseball classic	23	$3.7K	1,960	1,803	+157	open	—	03-05 08:22
wbc jap cze 2026 03 10	13	$3.5K	3,193	363	+2,830	open	—	03-10 10:40
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$3.4K	2,298	1,094	+1,204	open	—	04-27 04:00
will the japan innovation party be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 japanese snap election	16	$3.3K	2,397	1,049	+1,348	open	—	02-18 16:20
wbc cht jap 2026 03 06	40	$3.3K	3,596	0	+3,596	open	—	03-05 15:14
wbc usa ita 2026 03 10	15	$3.2K	3,545	0	+3,545	open	—	03-10 20:55
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	11	$3.1K	2,497	2,497	+0	open	—	02-06 06:02
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	25	$3.0K	1,551	1,517	+34	open	—	02-26 08:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	16	$2.8K	1,488	1,650	-162	open	—	05-29 14:35
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	21	$2.7K	2,131	1,199	+933	open	—	03-31 03:35
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$2.6K	2,901	2,801	+100	open	—	02-28 07:03
Will Meta dip to $640 in April?	1	$2.3K	2,262	0	+2,262	open	—	04-01 11:28
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$2.2K	540	1,710	-1,170	open	—	01-31 00:25
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	4	$2.2K	1,133	1,133	+0	open	—	02-01 15:50
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	1,092	1,092	+0	open	—	04-03 12:50
will france win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	16	$2.1K	1,081	1,081	+0	open	—	02-16 02:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	10	$2.1K	1,661	565	+1,096	open	—	05-27 09:19
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	22	$2.1K	6,083	279	+5,804	open	—	02-02 23:42
wbc sok cze 2026 03 05	7	$2.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	open	—	03-05 15:02
will turnout in the 2026 japanese snap election be between 58 and 60	30	$2.0K	2,263	122	+2,141	open	—	02-10 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:42:18	will wti reach 85 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	90	49¢	$44	0x58ad7b…
08-10 00:55:54	will xauusd dip to 4150 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	211	86¢	$181	0xb871dc…
08-10 00:47:39	will wti reach 85 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0x3a1b91…
08-08 16:41:16	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	BUY	193	98¢	$189	0xabfc0b…
08-07 15:42:46	will amzn dip to 252 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x22e347…
08-07 15:41:55	will nvda dip to 196 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x95104f…
08-06 10:14:06	will spy dip to 710 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0xfa5df3…
08-06 10:13:56	will spy dip to 715 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0xbd2071…
08-06 10:13:12	will wti reach 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x3bccd0…
08-06 10:12:38	will xauusd dip to 4000 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0xc8e3aa…
08-05 01:51:29	will spy dip to 720 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xe72133…
08-05 01:51:12	will spy dip to 720 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf3352e…
08-05 01:50:15	will xauusd dip to 3850 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x00c731…
08-03 03:23:30	wti closes above 85 on august 3 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0bb2a2…
08-03 03:20:35	will xauusd dip to 3950 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	52	70¢	$36	0xeee38d…
08-03 03:20:27	will xauusd dip to 3900 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	211	92¢	$194	0x170aa5…
08-03 01:08:27	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xbb2083…
08-02 07:49:05	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0xa6904c…
08-01 12:24:57	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x11c661…
08-01 12:24:30	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	BUY	550	71¢	$390	0xea0bfd…
07-31 10:38:41	wti closes above 79 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x765f33…
07-31 10:38:15	wti closes above 79 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xcbe846…
07-31 10:36:48	spy closes above 725 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8e0191…
07-31 09:37:44	spy closes above 725 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbf9c10…
07-31 09:36:09	wti closes above 79 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0xfd37a8…
07-31 09:34:11	will xauusd reach 4200 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xaad2c8…
07-31 09:32:05	spy closes above 735 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	303	96¢	$291	0xfb63a8…
07-30 16:48:44	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x6b6290…
07-30 16:44:29	spy up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x7d274f…
07-30 01:48:23	spy closes above 745 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	182	96¢	$175	0x03d16f…
07-30 01:41:29	will spy reach 750 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	386	93¢	$359	0x5e8188…
07-30 01:40:14	will spy dip to 710 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	27	93¢	$26	0x50b0df…
07-30 01:28:29	will xauusd dip to 3850 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x584bc7…
07-29 12:20:42	spy closes above 755 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xd6e1da…
07-29 11:40:05	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	SELL	566	100¢	$565	0x56fe82…
07-28 15:11:26	will wti reach 100 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x0dc327…
07-28 15:06:50	will spy dip to 710 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0xdeaae9…
07-28 12:05:55	will wti reach 100 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xbafebb…
07-28 12:05:08	wti closes above 85 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xa83017…
07-28 12:02:32	spy closes above 725 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x08f8ac…
07-28 12:02:25	spy closes above 725 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	225	95¢	$214	0xa94cfa…
07-28 11:51:16	will xauusd reach 4300 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x3c939b…
07-28 03:10:07	will spy dip to 710 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x74b573…
07-28 03:08:40	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	244	90¢	$220	0x4274f8…
07-28 03:07:54	will xauusd reach 4250 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x217dda…
07-27 09:39:58	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	89	95¢	$85	0xe2a5d7…
07-27 09:39:54	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	141	95¢	$134	0x640c8e…
07-27 01:58:18	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0xba90da…
07-25 16:25:48	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	125	88¢	$109	0x116190…
07-25 16:25:45	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	500	95¢	$474	0x44742f…
07-25 08:43:31	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,032	98¢	$1,011	0x152c30…
07-25 08:38:10	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	215	99¢	$213	0xda3cde…
07-25 04:40:37	will wti dip to 65 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa688f5…
07-25 04:37:57	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0xde6764…
07-25 04:37:45	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	385	94¢	$363	0xa5aae0…
07-25 04:37:01	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0xbaddc9…
07-24 13:33:31	wti closes above 90 on july 24 2026	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x4f9076…
07-24 13:22:45	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	600	94¢	$564	0x8c4a50…
07-24 13:22:27	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	561	94¢	$527	0x7fdb1b…
07-24 09:59:51	wti closes above 91 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	282	83¢	$234	0xc4b309…
07-24 09:57:55	wti closes above 90 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x3969e2…
07-24 09:57:16	wti closes above 93 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xffe89f…
07-24 09:57:12	wti closes above 93 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4ffad5…
07-24 09:49:15	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	147	80¢	$117	0x5112b6…
07-24 09:47:07	will spy dip to 730 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	123	84¢	$103	0x8c3937…
07-24 09:46:51	will spy reach 755 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd79a62…
07-24 09:45:42	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	18	94¢	$16	0xac063b…
07-24 09:45:19	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	379	99¢	$374	0xcdf585…
07-22 11:25:15	will xauusd dip to 3850 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	292	98¢	$286	0xd07f12…
07-22 11:25:04	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf60251…
07-22 11:24:55	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf1f450…
07-22 02:05:46	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	434	90¢	$391	0x7235f0…
07-19 22:26:16	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	234	80¢	$187	0x2f92f2…
07-19 22:24:37	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	323	91¢	$292	0x83859e…
07-19 22:22:25	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	333	80¢	$266	0x517be3…
07-19 22:18:37	will wti reach 110 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xa99593…
07-16 16:00:10	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0xcece1f…
07-16 15:55:43	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x9f0bdb…
07-16 15:54:55	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	502	96¢	$480	0xf6a10c…
07-16 15:54:17	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	512	92¢	$471	0xcca34a…
07-16 15:54:07	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	81	97¢	$79	0x5ce040…
07-16 15:51:01	will spy dip to 730 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x9bc7f4…
07-16 15:48:46	wti closes above 82 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x8f24e1…
07-16 15:48:20	xauusd up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	271	98¢	$265	0xa75adb…
07-16 15:45:46	wti closes above 84 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	44	98¢	$44	0x073087…
07-16 15:44:28	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0x1d2bbb…
07-15 02:22:41	will spy dip to 720 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x31b186…
07-15 02:21:55	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	92	91¢	$84	0xea4ecd…
07-15 02:03:02	will xauusd reach 4200 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	77	95¢	$73	0xf50029…
07-15 00:54:32	will xauusd reach 4400 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34e186…
07-15 00:53:53	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xba5893…
07-15 00:52:14	will spy dip to 735 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	408	85¢	$347	0x508889…
07-15 00:51:31	will spy dip to 735 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	75	84¢	$63	0x068cfa…
07-15 00:50:17	will spy dip to 725 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	592	98¢	$577	0x73f442…
07-15 00:47:38	will xauusd reach 4350 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xdf8ee2…
07-15 00:46:56	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x2571fe…
07-15 00:44:10	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x40dd03…
07-15 00:44:07	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	197	95¢	$187	0x7ce647…
07-14 14:08:37	xauusd up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	471	98¢	$461	0x6c156a…
07-14 14:06:23	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	219	87¢	$191	0x5a87cd…