Imperturbable-Equinox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$300

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,661

lifetime

Volume

$283.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$691

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-19 22:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

65% 86% +$165

Politics

21% — —

Sports

13% 50% +$135

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	+375	$311	94¢	$350	+$39	05-30 23:50
Will USD/JPY hit 110 (Low) in 2026?	No	+139	$134	98¢	$136	+$2	07-07 10:48
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?	No	+142	$124	86¢	$122	$-2	07-03 00:23
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?	No	+87	$81	95¢	$83	+$2	07-07 10:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will france win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	103	$8.6K	6,972	4,366	+2,606	open	—	02-21 04:45
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	9	$7.0K	7,151	0	+7,151	open	—	02-23 03:22
will japan win pool c at the 2026 world baseball classic	35	$5.6K	4,316	1,717	+2,599	open	—	03-09 09:36
us strikes iraq by february 28	36	$5.0K	4,100	4,100	+0	open	—	02-28 15:19
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	46	$4.7K	3,519	1,768	+1,751	open	—	03-18 03:49
wbc jap sok 2026 03 07	32	$4.5K	3,195	1,771	+1,424	open	—	03-07 13:15
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$4.4K	2,919	2,919	+0	open	—	02-03 08:04
will turnout in the 2026 japanese snap election be 60 or higher	39	$4.3K	4,732	102	+4,630	open	—	02-08 13:19
will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	39	$4.1K	2,104	2,138	-35	open	—	03-03 06:36
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	37	$3.7K	2,407	2,707	-300	open	—	02-25 06:19
will chinese taipei win the 2026 world baseball classic	23	$3.7K	1,960	1,803	+157	open	—	03-05 08:22
wbc jap cze 2026 03 10	13	$3.5K	3,193	363	+2,830	open	—	03-10 10:40
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$3.4K	2,298	1,094	+1,204	open	—	04-27 04:00
will the japan innovation party be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 japanese snap election	16	$3.3K	2,397	1,049	+1,348	open	—	02-18 16:20
wbc cht jap 2026 03 06	40	$3.3K	3,596	0	+3,596	open	—	03-05 15:14
wbc usa ita 2026 03 10	15	$3.2K	3,545	0	+3,545	open	—	03-10 20:55
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	11	$3.1K	2,497	2,497	+0	open	—	02-06 06:02
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	25	$3.0K	1,551	1,517	+34	open	—	02-26 08:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	16	$2.8K	1,488	1,650	-162	open	—	05-29 14:35
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	21	$2.7K	2,131	1,199	+933	open	—	03-31 03:35
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$2.6K	2,901	2,801	+100	open	—	02-28 07:03
Will Meta dip to $640 in April?	1	$2.3K	2,262	0	+2,262	open	—	04-01 11:28
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$2.2K	540	1,710	-1,170	open	—	01-31 00:25
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	4	$2.2K	1,133	1,133	+0	open	—	02-01 15:50
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	1,092	1,092	+0	open	—	04-03 12:50
will france win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	16	$2.1K	1,081	1,081	+0	open	—	02-16 02:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	10	$2.1K	1,661	565	+1,096	open	—	05-27 09:19
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	22	$2.1K	6,083	279	+5,804	open	—	02-02 23:42
wbc sok cze 2026 03 05	7	$2.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	open	—	03-05 15:02
will turnout in the 2026 japanese snap election be between 58 and 60	30	$2.0K	2,263	122	+2,141	open	—	02-10 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:26:16	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	234	80¢	$187	0x2f92f2…
07-19 22:24:37	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	323	91¢	$292	0x83859e…
07-19 22:22:25	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	333	80¢	$266	0x517be3…
07-19 22:18:37	will wti reach 110 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xa99593…
07-16 16:00:10	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0xcece1f…
07-16 15:55:43	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x9f0bdb…
07-16 15:54:55	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	502	96¢	$480	0xf6a10c…
07-16 15:54:17	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	512	92¢	$471	0xcca34a…
07-16 15:54:07	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	81	97¢	$79	0x5ce040…
07-16 15:51:01	will spy dip to 730 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x9bc7f4…
07-16 15:48:46	wti closes above 82 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x8f24e1…
07-16 15:48:20	xauusd up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	271	98¢	$265	0xa75adb…
07-16 15:45:46	wti closes above 84 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	44	98¢	$44	0x073087…
07-16 15:44:28	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0x1d2bbb…
07-15 02:22:41	will spy dip to 720 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x31b186…
07-15 02:21:55	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	92	91¢	$84	0xea4ecd…
07-15 02:03:02	will xauusd reach 4200 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	77	95¢	$73	0xf50029…
07-15 00:54:32	will xauusd reach 4400 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34e186…
07-15 00:53:53	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xba5893…
07-15 00:52:14	will spy dip to 735 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	408	85¢	$347	0x508889…
07-15 00:51:31	will spy dip to 735 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	75	84¢	$63	0x068cfa…
07-15 00:50:17	will spy dip to 725 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	592	98¢	$577	0x73f442…
07-15 00:47:38	will xauusd reach 4350 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xdf8ee2…
07-15 00:46:56	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x2571fe…
07-15 00:44:10	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x40dd03…
07-15 00:44:07	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	197	95¢	$187	0x7ce647…
07-14 14:08:37	xauusd up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	471	98¢	$461	0x6c156a…
07-14 14:06:23	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	219	87¢	$191	0x5a87cd…
07-14 14:03:46	will spy dip to 735 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	198	87¢	$172	0x28cf5c…
07-14 14:03:20	will spy dip to 735 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	134	88¢	$118	0x2a52cf…
07-14 14:02:28	will spy dip to 730 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	301	92¢	$277	0x4a4b09…
07-14 14:01:22	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xecbe2f…
07-14 14:01:17	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	259	97¢	$252	0x28a2c4…
07-14 04:08:14	will wti reach 85 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	265	60¢	$159	0x9a2417…
07-13 13:37:32	will xauusd reach 4200 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xb70594…
07-13 13:35:41	will xauusd reach 4200 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	206	77¢	$159	0x60c43f…
07-13 13:32:37	wti closes above 76 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x73cb53…
07-13 13:31:01	will wti reach 85 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	272	93¢	$253	0xdd09d9…
07-13 13:26:35	will nvda dip to 188 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	164	93¢	$153	0x19ba77…
07-13 13:24:46	will spy dip to 735 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	298	80¢	$238	0xac0319…
07-13 13:21:50	will wti reach 85 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	796	93¢	$740	0x560147…
07-09 07:13:22	wti closes above 77 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe83be1…
07-09 07:12:29	wti closes above 78 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xc40ab6…
07-09 07:10:32	will spy dip to 725 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x6a590e…
07-09 07:09:29	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x0f69fa…
07-08 23:05:50	spy closes above 735 on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0xb054c2…
07-08 23:02:55	will spy dip to 730 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	293	91¢	$267	0x6b2f37…
07-08 22:23:01	nvda above 185 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x28c1da…
07-08 22:22:40	nvda above 180 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x77fa02…
07-08 22:20:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	803	96¢	$773	0xe3b91d…
07-08 22:19:26	will spy dip to 730 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	387	91¢	$352	0x4bfe2d…
07-08 22:18:56	will spy dip to 725 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	274	98¢	$267	0xc6d590…
07-08 22:17:47	will xauusd reach 4350 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x7c7884…
07-08 22:17:35	will xauusd reach 4350 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xe5f53d…
07-08 22:17:08	will xauusd reach 4350 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa14754…
07-08 22:16:52	will xauusd reach 4300 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xefae90…
07-08 22:14:40	will spy dip to 725 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	340	97¢	$329	0x356370…
07-08 22:13:43	will wti reach 80 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xda013c…
07-08 22:13:32	will wti reach 80 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	318	85¢	$270	0x1fe8b1…
07-08 22:12:44	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xa03c22…
07-08 12:16:02	will xagusd dip to 57 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	189	49¢	$92	0x56897c…
07-08 12:15:55	will xagusd dip to 57 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x488985…
07-08 09:04:35	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x276508…
07-08 08:41:56	wti closes above 69 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	683	98¢	$668	0xedd7be…
07-07 10:48:32	Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x9b979b…
07-07 10:48:26	Will USD/JPY hit 110 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	139	97¢	$134	0x2dbdc6…
07-07 10:10:59	spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	747	93¢	$695	0xf95f3c…
07-07 10:09:11	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x3b055e…
07-07 10:07:14	will wti reach 80 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x5499d2…
07-06 20:08:46	will xagusd dip to 58 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	22	75¢	$17	0x7b8fcf…
07-06 20:07:31	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	115	93¢	$107	0x5b441d…
07-06 20:05:44	will xagusd dip to 58 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	151	75¢	$113	0xbe73f2…
07-06 20:05:35	will xagusd dip to 57 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	289	78¢	$225	0x9a4410…
07-06 19:58:52	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x15f090…
07-05 01:26:02	will wti dip to 40 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa4d3b8…
07-05 01:25:28	will wti dip to 35 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5d2054…
07-04 20:52:58	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x1eb563…
07-04 20:10:28	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	600	79¢	$474	0xea1a06…
07-03 00:23:58	Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xcda067…
07-03 00:23:26	Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xdfe040…
07-03 00:23:20	Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xabe81c…
07-02 18:44:20	will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	No	BUY	141	98¢	$138	0x9fc502…
07-02 01:33:59	will xauusd reach 4200 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	552	97¢	$535	0x147ce7…
07-02 01:32:16	will xauusd reach 4200 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xdabd6e…
07-02 01:32:08	will xauusd reach 4200 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x610ea8…
07-02 01:32:05	will xauusd reach 4200 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x850125…
07-02 01:31:16	will spy dip to 715 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x66259c…
06-24 17:08:17	will wti dip to 65 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x42ae64…
06-24 07:32:13	will xauusd dip to 3900 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	73	86¢	$63	0xfd1041…
06-24 07:27:38	will xauusd reach 4250 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x5b8d15…
06-24 07:25:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$93	0xfc1b8b…
06-24 07:21:04	will xauusd reach 4250 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	129	83¢	$107	0x2d8c7e…
06-24 07:19:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x8c99d4…
06-24 07:17:16	will xauusd reach 4250 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x436a50…
06-24 07:16:55	will xauusd reach 4450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	194	98¢	$190	0x0eb126…
06-24 07:14:02	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x085132…
06-24 07:13:50	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8fcb84…
06-24 07:10:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0x2011f4…
06-24 07:10:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x40ca48…
06-23 19:10:47	will xauusd reach 4300 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	87	85¢	$74	0xebf7e6…