Imperturbable-Equinox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$137

Unrealized P&L

-$305

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

889

Trades

3,917

lifetime

Volume

$457.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

$1.37K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-27 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 192 days

Categories

Other

78% 87% -$1,958

Politics

13% 78% -$41

Sports

9% 87% +$2,007

Tech

0% 100% +$112

Crypto

0% 100% +$12

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No		-980	-$806	97¢	$-953	-$147	05-04 02:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		-438	-$259	95¢	$-416	-$158	05-04 17:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will france win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	103	$8.6K	6,972	4,366	+2,606	No	+$306	02-21 04:45
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	9	$7.0K	7,151	0	+7,151	No	+$128	02-23 03:22
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	42	$5.7K	3,148	3,148	+0	No	+$495	06-03 01:14
will japan win pool c at the 2026 world baseball classic	35	$5.6K	4,316	1,717	+2,599	Yes	+$179	03-09 09:36
us strikes iraq by february 28	36	$5.0K	4,100	4,100	+0	Yes	-$2,637	02-28 15:19
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	12	$5.0K	5,195	0	+5,195	No	+$244	09-29 11:30
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	46	$4.7K	3,519	1,768	+1,751	Yes	+$139	03-18 03:49
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	18	$4.6K	4,867	0	+4,867	Yes	-$4,605	10-19 17:50
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	12	$4.5K	4,767	0	+4,767	No	+$219	10-15 13:22
wbc jap sok 2026 03 07	32	$4.5K	3,195	1,771	+1,424	Japan	+$369	03-07 13:15
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$4.4K	2,919	2,919	+0	No	+$978	02-03 08:04
will turnout in the 2026 japanese snap election be 60 or higher	39	$4.3K	4,732	102	+4,630	No	+$555	02-08 13:19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	2	$4.2K	4,187	0	+4,187	No	+$33	08-26 00:40
will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	39	$4.1K	2,104	2,138	-35	No	+$103	03-03 06:36
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?	19	$4.1K	4,506	252	+4,255	open	—	10-19 12:05
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	37	$3.7K	2,407	2,707	-300	No	+$66	02-25 06:19
will chinese taipei win the 2026 world baseball classic	23	$3.7K	1,960	1,803	+157	No	+$8	03-05 08:22
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	26	$3.6K	2,916	2,736	+180	Yes	+$267	09-18 18:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	24	$3.6K	3,861	0	+3,861	Yes	+$281	06-02 16:37
wbc jap cze 2026 03 10	13	$3.5K	3,193	363	+2,830	Japan	+$48	03-10 10:40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	8	$3.5K	3,600	0	+3,600	No	+$116	09-21 17:41
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$3.4K	2,298	1,094	+1,204	No	+$25	04-27 04:00
will the japan innovation party be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 japanese snap election	16	$3.3K	2,397	1,049	+1,348	No	+$173	02-18 16:20
wbc cht jap 2026 03 06	40	$3.3K	3,596	0	+3,596	Japan	+$331	03-05 15:14
wbc usa ita 2026 03 10	15	$3.2K	3,545	0	+3,545	Italy	-$3,247	03-10 20:55
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	11	$3.1K	2,497	2,497	+0	No	+$49	02-06 06:02
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?	1	$3.0K	3,028	0	+3,028	No	+$15	09-18 08:08
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	25	$3.0K	1,551	1,517	+34	No	+$19	02-26 08:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	17	$2.9K	1,560	1,650	-90	No	+$116	05-29 14:35
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	1	$2.7K	2,713	0	+2,713	No	+$3	10-04 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:12:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0xf0f04f…
10-27 15:11:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0x86edbe…
10-20 06:28:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	87	78¢	$68	0xc35001…
10-20 06:28:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	392	79¢	$309	0x547210…
10-20 06:26:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	320	81¢	$259	0x4f3c5e…
10-20 05:27:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	174	86¢	$149	0xe88af4…
10-20 05:04:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	237	85¢	$201	0x02f6e3…
10-19 17:50:02	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	499	96¢	$480	0xeb7a34…
10-19 17:24:44	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	180	95¢	$171	0x896f68…
10-19 17:24:09	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xc88005…
10-19 16:22:35	Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0xb71dc3…
10-19 15:35:50	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0xa02a0d…
10-19 12:39:08	Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xbe0ea0…
10-19 12:18:57	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	330	95¢	$313	0xf993e0…
10-19 12:14:03	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	232	96¢	$223	0x5af2f9…
10-19 12:05:08	Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$251	0xaa92e3…
10-19 12:00:29	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3b3d53…
10-19 11:59:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0xd9ee9a…
10-19 11:38:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	230	91¢	$209	0x0d6fb0…
10-19 11:37:08	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	488	95¢	$464	0x68f9c7…
10-19 10:25:12	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	627	98¢	$614	0xf6ecdb…
10-19 10:10:44	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x4e9687…
10-19 10:10:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0xd861d0…
10-19 10:02:20	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x10a099…
10-19 10:02:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	678	95¢	$644	0xc352a3…
10-19 10:01:27	Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	53	18¢	$10	0xe757d2…
10-19 09:51:09	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa0ce76…
10-19 09:48:41	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1,392	94¢	$1,308	0x2b1c64…
10-19 08:45:56	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x2590f7…
10-19 08:45:29	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x80b8ef…
10-19 08:44:48	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	105	89¢	$93	0xb1eec0…
10-19 08:42:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	524	100¢	$523	0xd47fe1…
10-19 08:41:45	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x819ceb…
10-19 08:39:21	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xea09d6…
10-19 08:38:51	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	47	91¢	$42	0xb8ceae…
10-19 08:38:47	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x039b1a…
10-19 08:37:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x15f746…
10-19 04:20:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0f5914…
10-19 04:20:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6eeecb…
10-19 04:20:08	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	334	100¢	$333	0x2c6492…
10-19 03:45:44	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xcfaf1c…
10-19 03:45:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	510	100¢	$508	0x6459a7…
10-18 15:28:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x78a5b7…
10-18 15:26:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0xd4241e…
10-18 15:26:06	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0x788feb…
10-18 15:25:45	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0xc1aa80…
10-18 15:25:18	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	158	99¢	$157	0x0f5fc3…
10-18 08:36:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1d79be…
10-18 08:36:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2a088c…
10-18 02:53:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x68fac7…
10-18 02:52:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$191	0x209862…
10-17 18:58:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	178	94¢	$167	0xf46c42…
10-17 18:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 19?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x41edf3…
10-17 18:52:06	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0x3f01ba…
10-17 17:26:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	202	96¢	$194	0xb2e9cb…
10-17 17:17:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x1a4ebb…
10-17 17:12:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0x9b9863…
10-17 17:12:38	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	186	6¢	$11	0xf4321f…
10-17 16:15:54	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	193	98¢	$189	0x98079b…
10-17 16:15:02	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0x2887e3…
10-16 14:42:58	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get less than 40 million views on week 1	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xdc8d6e…
10-15 18:21:19	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 13 and 14 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	274	99¢	$271	0xf4f369…
10-15 18:20:23	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 13 and 14 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x513349…
10-15 17:57:17	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 14 and 15 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe6eb82…
10-15 17:54:35	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 12 and 13 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	224	99¢	$222	0x518a24…
10-15 17:54:17	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 12 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x793693…
10-15 17:54:10	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 12 and 13 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d1ab0…
10-15 17:53:55	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 12 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x738404…
10-15 17:02:44	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 12 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0x0ed755…
10-15 17:02:28	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	468	100¢	$468	0x4f37c6…
10-15 17:02:20	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0x2537e8…
10-15 16:53:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	162	92¢	$148	0x8c7b01…
10-15 16:52:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x84ce3a…
10-15 16:52:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x3f1d84…
10-15 16:50:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	140	88¢	$124	0xeb0056…
10-15 16:50:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$7	0xd4867d…
10-15 16:50:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	63	88¢	$55	0x32e844…
10-15 16:49:29	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	433	100¢	$432	0xf4231d…
10-15 13:22:07	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xc4cecd…
10-15 13:21:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	210	85¢	$178	0x6aeb66…
10-15 13:17:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	43	90¢	$38	0x207277…
10-15 04:20:23	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xa93fb4…
10-13 12:39:16	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xca8cc1…
10-13 03:40:56	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37 and 38.5 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xbb6847…
10-13 03:39:56	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37 and 38.5 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0xff3c61…
10-13 03:39:38	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37 and 38.5 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xfb8c9e…
10-13 03:39:29	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37 and 38.5 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xacf437…
10-13 03:39:21	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37 and 38.5 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x1ecfc0…
10-13 03:29:20	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	375	98¢	$367	0x139844…
10-12 18:47:59	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x437e82…
10-12 18:23:23	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	394	99¢	$389	0x809704…
10-12 17:00:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	640	99¢	$632	0xd802fb…
10-12 16:57:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	520	98¢	$512	0x56af97…
10-12 15:05:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	115	42¢	$48	0xfeb361…
10-12 14:43:54	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	1,057	96¢	$1,015	0x32d298…
10-12 14:29:56	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	352	96¢	$337	0xe8fc03…
10-12 12:29:41	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x60e3ce…
10-12 12:29:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xcd4495…
10-12 12:14:53	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	88	36¢	$32	0x2ed4a4…
10-12 12:13:47	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	144	36¢	$52	0x1382fd…