Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?
open
Total volume
$827
Trades
78
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$512
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-14 15:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $61
vs crowd: 10% YES on $552)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $6 | $449 | $443 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $14 | $31 | $17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $23 | $16 | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $61 | $61 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $21 | $154 | $132 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $18 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $163 | $163 |
| unranked | 4 | $22 | $89 | $66 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | +178 | $163 | $163 | 7 | 07-03 11:07 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +120 | $9 | $17 | 6 | 07-03 09:16 |
| Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | +93 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 06-20 19:17 |
| Imperturbable-Equinox 0x743d…f77e | No | +87 | $81 | $81 | 2 | 07-07 10:48 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +84 | $3 | $5 | 5 | 07-14 15:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +82 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-20 19:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $11 | 6 | 07-03 09:17 |
| Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-24 16:13 |
| Stained-Female 0x7aa7…afb4 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-21 16:38 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 07-03 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 6 | 07-03 11:07 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-07 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-29 18:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 15:12:52 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xafcf81… |
| 07-14 15:12:52 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xafcf81… |
| 07-13 09:47:32 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xaf6499… |
| 07-13 09:47:32 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xaf6499… |
| 07-13 09:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x7fe17d… |
| 07-13 09:46:10 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7fe17d… |
| 07-07 10:48:32 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9b979b… |
| 07-07 10:48:32 | Imperturbable-Equinox 0x743d…f77e | No | BUY | 47 | 96¢ | $45 | 0x9b979b… |
| 07-07 10:48:32 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9b979b… |
| 07-07 03:48:02 | Some-Sack 0x9164…ad5b | Yes | SELL | 58 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xce8b02… |
| 07-07 03:48:02 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xce8b02… |
| 07-07 03:43:16 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | SELL | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x170e5b… |
| 07-07 03:43:16 | Some-Sack 0x9164…ad5b | Yes | SELL | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x170e5b… |
| 07-07 03:43:14 | Some-Sack 0x9164…ad5b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x489d54… |
| 07-07 03:43:14 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x489d54… |
| 07-03 11:07:17 | (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x421a81… |
| 07-03 11:07:17 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x421a81… |
| 07-03 11:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 26 | 93¢ | $24 | 0x3a0e4a… |
| 07-03 11:07:16 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 26 | 93¢ | $24 | 0x3a0e4a… |
| 07-03 11:07:04 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xedcf97… |
| 07-03 11:07:04 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0x4d400e… |
| 07-03 11:07:04 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4d400e… |
| 07-03 11:07:04 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xedcf97… |
| 07-03 11:05:14 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x934813… |
| 07-03 11:05:14 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x934813… |
| 07-03 10:09:14 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbe51e4… |
| 07-03 10:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xbe51e4… |
| 07-03 10:09:14 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8d2723… |
| 07-03 10:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x8d2723… |
| 07-03 09:17:05 | (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x8e9fb4… |
| 07-03 09:17:05 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8e9fb4… |
| 07-03 09:17:04 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 53 | 92¢ | $49 | 0x6caa79… |
| 07-03 09:17:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6caa79… |
| 07-03 09:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6caa79… |
| 07-03 09:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6c78d1… |
| 07-03 09:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x6c78d1… |
| 07-03 09:16:55 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 38 | 91¢ | $35 | 0x2c71df… |
| 07-03 09:16:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 38 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x2c71df… |
| 07-03 09:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x26bb…03cf | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xb6777e… |
| 07-03 09:16:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb6777e… |
| 07-03 09:16:50 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x370035… |
| 07-03 09:16:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x370035… |
| 07-03 00:23:58 | Imperturbable-Equinox 0x743d…f77e | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0xcda067… |
| 07-03 00:23:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xcda067… |
| 07-01 13:51:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x6c0c47… |
| 07-01 13:51:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x6c0c47… |
| 07-01 13:51:35 | Some-Sack 0x9164…ad5b | Yes | BUY | 56 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x69cd56… |
| 07-01 13:51:35 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 56 | 81¢ | $46 | 0x69cd56… |
| 07-01 13:51:35 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x6c0c47… |
| 07-01 13:51:35 | Some-Sack 0x9164…ad5b | Yes | BUY | 49 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x6c0c47… |
| 06-29 18:08:20 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xd671df… |
| 06-29 18:08:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xd671df… |
| 06-29 18:08:20 | Mature-Faculty 0xb2db…140a | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xd671df… |
| 06-24 16:13:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xee1334… |
| 06-24 16:13:28 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xee1334… |
| 06-22 11:33:46 | Mature-Faculty 0xb2db…140a | No | SELL | 16 | 85¢ | $14 | 0x2f8dae… |
| 06-22 11:33:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x2f8dae… |
| 06-22 03:17:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe92cb2… |
| 06-22 03:17:22 | Mature-Faculty 0xb2db…140a | No | SELL | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0xe92cb2… |
| 06-21 16:38:16 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0xce5ac4… |
| 06-21 16:38:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xce5ac4… |
| 06-21 16:38:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9eb8c7… |
| 06-21 16:38:04 | Stained-Female 0x7aa7…afb4 | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x9eb8c7… |
| 06-20 19:17:58 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x5754aa… |
| 06-20 19:17:58 | Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | BUY | 93 | 91¢ | $84 | 0x5754aa… |
| 06-20 19:17:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x5754aa… |
| 06-15 09:50:16 | Mature-Faculty 0xb2db…140a | No | SELL | 25 | 86¢ | $22 | 0x544d3e… |
| 06-15 09:50:16 | Dim-Senior 0xb3fb…a324 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x544d3e… |
| 06-14 21:45:45 | Limping-Escalator-Skyscraper 0x0e02…70e6 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x3ee537… |
| 06-14 21:45:45 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | SELL | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x3ee537… |
| 06-12 08:42:15 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | BUY | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0x8e55db… |
| 06-12 08:42:15 | Mature-Faculty 0xb2db…140a | No | SELL | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0x8e55db… |
| 06-04 16:46:28 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x6142b0… |
| 06-04 16:46:28 | Mature-Faculty 0xb2db…140a | No | SELL | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x6142b0… |
| 06-04 03:02:51 | Dim-Senior 0xb3fb…a324 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xda7fc8… |
| 06-04 03:02:51 | Limping-Escalator-Skyscraper 0x0e02…70e6 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xda7fc8… |
| 05-30 09:48:13 | Mature-Faculty 0xb2db…140a | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x451e20… |
| 05-30 09:48:13 | Black-Tick 0xf24f…15b2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x451e20… |