Realized P&L
+$2.55K
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
84.0%
Resolved
91
Trades
3,039
lifetime
Volume
$10.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.56K
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 11-12 02:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
63% 72% +$2,939
Other
31% 46% -$1
Sports
4% 0% -$402
Crypto
2% 73% +$14
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +3,000 $860 24¢ $735 -$125 11-06 09:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,181 $125 8¢ $172 +$48 11-12 02:01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,050 $142 4¢ $136 -$6 11-12 02:00
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +2,000 $220 6¢ $120 -$100 11-08 21:53
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +4,771 -$2 2¢ $86 +$87 11-11 22:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +1,000 $70 8¢ $75 +$5 11-11 22:33
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +1,000 $106 7¢ $70 -$36 11-06 14:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,582 $55 1¢ $31 -$24 11-12 02:27
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? No +101 $36 29¢ $29 -$7 11-12 01:30
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -2,435 -$19 1¢ $-27 -$8 10-28 22:19
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +8,929 -$67 0¢ $27 +$94 11-11 22:38
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$11 97¢ $-12 -$1 05-01 09:46
Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +1,651 $19 1¢ $9 -$10 11-09 19:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,343 $13 0¢ $8 -$5 11-12 02:26
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? Yes -99 -$9 7¢ $-7 +$2 09-20 08:05
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 05-01 12:49
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? Yes -95 -$15 4¢ $-3 +$12 09-18 20:04
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 07-03 12:17
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes -45 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 09-18 03:13
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $2 3¢ $1 -$2 08-22 01:38
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$1 09-16 00:08
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? Yes -22 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 09-21 18:22
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? Yes +48 -$8 0¢ $0 +$8 06-15 09:50
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 06-16 18:15