Realized P&L
+$2.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$298
Hit rate
84.0%
Resolved
91
Trades
3,020
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.53K
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 11-11 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
65% 72% +$2,939
Other
29% 46% -$1
Sports
4% 0% -$402
Crypto
2% 73% +$14
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +3,000 $860 24¢ $735 -$125 11-06 09:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,781 $108 13¢ $224 +$117 11-10 21:34
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +2,000 $220 6¢ $120 -$100 11-08 21:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,222 $115 5¢ $108 -$7 11-10 15:36
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +4,971 $3 2¢ $99 +$96 11-11 01:23
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +1,000 $106 7¢ $70 -$36 11-06 14:30
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +8,956 -$67 0¢ $40 +$107 11-06 09:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,242 $53 1¢ $37 -$16 11-11 21:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,446 $9 1¢ $24 +$16 11-11 00:55
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -2,435 -$19 1¢ $-23 -$4 10-28 22:19
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$11 97¢ $-12 -$1 05-01 09:46
Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +1,651 $19 1¢ $9 -$10 11-09 19:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +712 -$28 1¢ $7 +$36 11-11 21:28
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? Yes -99 -$9 7¢ $-7 +$2 09-20 08:05
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 05-01 12:49
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? Yes -95 -$15 4¢ $-3 +$12 09-18 20:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 -$196 19¢ $2 +$198 11-11 21:29
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 07-03 12:17
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes -45 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 09-18 03:13
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $2 3¢ $1 -$2 08-22 01:38
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$1 09-16 00:08
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? Yes -22 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 09-21 18:22
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? Yes +48 -$8 0¢ $0 +$8 06-15 09:50
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 06-16 18:15