Realized P&L
+$2.51K
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
83.6%
Resolved
92
Trades
3,117
lifetime
Volume
$12.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$2.86K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 11-13 14:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
61% 72% +$2,939
Other
34% 45% -$37
Sports
3% 0% -$402
Crypto
1% 73% +$14
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +3,010 $862 26¢ $798 -$64 11-12 14:49
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +365 $295 89¢ $325 +$30 11-12 21:01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,000 $105 11¢ $228 +$123 11-13 14:57
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +2,000 $220 6¢ $120 -$100 11-08 21:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,650 $151 3¢ $111 -$40 11-13 14:46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +1,000 $70 8¢ $85 +$15 11-11 22:33
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +1,000 $106 6¢ $60 -$46 11-06 14:30
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 11-12 21:03
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 11-12 21:03
Will Zoran Stojiljković be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 11-12 21:03
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +55 $54 98¢ $54 $0 11-12 21:02
Will Zdravko Ponoš win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-12 20:13
Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-12 20:13
Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-12 20:12
Will Miloš Jovanović win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-12 20:13
Will Miroslav Aleksić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-12 20:13
Will Vojislav Šešelj win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-12 20:13
Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-12 20:12
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-12 21:03
Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-12 20:12
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 $0 11-12 20:12
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +50 $50 99¢ $49 $0 11-12 21:02
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 $0 11-12 20:14
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $49 97¢ $49 -$1 11-12 20:11
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +4,000 -$11 1¢ $48 +$59 11-12 11:32
Will Aleksandar Čupić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +50 $48 95¢ $48 -$1 11-12 20:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,582 $55 1¢ $47 -$8 11-12 02:27
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +50 $48 94¢ $47 $0 11-12 21:02
Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +55 $44 82¢ $45 +$1 11-12 21:00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +534 $33 7¢ $35 +$2 11-13 13:32