Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
347
lifetime
Volume
$1.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$8
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 06-14 22:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64%
Other
20%
Crypto
16%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -66 $-14 $-6 +$8 06-14 22:52
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -17 $-4 12¢ $-2 +$2 06-14 22:41
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-14 22:42
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +2 $1 11¢ $0 $-1 06-14 21:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +5 $3 $0 $-3 06-14 21:46