Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
279
lifetime
Volume
$1.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$41
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 06-11 23:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65%
Other
20%
Crypto
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -52 $-11 24¢ $-13 $-1 06-11 22:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +16 $12 64¢ $11 $-2 06-11 17:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +7 $5 56¢ $4 $-1 06-04 19:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +16 $5 19¢ $3 $-2 05-31 19:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +61 $5 $3 $-2 06-06 17:10
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? Yes +25 $3 11¢ $3 $-0 06-04 03:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-11 22:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -29 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-04 02:01
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 20¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 19:41
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +17 $2 $1 $-1 06-01 23:53