Actual-Competence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$209

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

93% 100% +$1

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	1	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	05-13 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 12?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-12 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 12?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-12 17:01
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 12?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-12 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 12?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-12 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 12?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-12 17:01
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-14 01:04
Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:01
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 12?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-12 17:01
Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	05-13 01:06
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	05-14 01:04
Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-12 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 01:04:18	Will Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9b85ab…
05-14 01:04:15	Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4e88b9…
05-13 03:53:36	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xad70ba…
05-13 01:06:20	Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe50e18…
05-12 17:01:38	Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8b07a6…
05-12 17:01:36	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4ffca2…
05-12 17:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x286b1c…
05-12 17:01:31	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8cd2b8…
05-12 17:01:29	Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdc8a20…
05-12 17:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5f83f1…
05-12 17:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xefbd5b…
05-12 17:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xccbc21…