Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
open
Total volume
$928
$11,636 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$18,769
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 23:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 4% YES on $889)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $169 | $169 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $175 | $175 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $40 | $504 | $464 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $370 | $370 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $123 | $123 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $98 | $98 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $225 | $225 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aware-Armrest 0xbde6…e8b5 | Yes | +2,245 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 05-12 19:11 |
| Alienated-Endoderm 0xc237…0432 | No | +381 | $370 | $370 | 2 | 05-11 23:48 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +152 | $147 | $147 | 4 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Swift-Excursion 0x76dc…17b4 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 05-12 20:42 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +81 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 05-11 22:58 |
| Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Coordinated-Roundabout 0x79e5…dcc9 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xece7…3353 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 04:39 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfcab…bbf2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 23:26:52 | Bulky-Eavesdropper 0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | SELL | 254 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x702f02… |
| 05-12 23:20:53 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xc26a2d… |
| 05-12 23:20:53 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xfda027… |
| 05-12 23:20:52 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9381d6… |
| 05-12 23:20:52 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 80 | 98¢ | $78 | 0xdfaf77… |
| 05-12 21:41:57 | Spry-Diving 0x31d3…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 711 | 3¢ | $18 | 0xf2e54c… |
| 05-12 21:17:27 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xf5becb… |
| 05-12 21:17:27 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x09036b… |
| 05-12 21:11:13 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x40972d… |
| 05-12 20:42:36 | Swift-Excursion 0x76dc…17b4 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x7b93cb… |
| 05-12 20:41:10 | Swift-Excursion 0x76dc…17b4 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x0b570b… |
| 05-12 20:31:26 | Coordinated-Roundabout 0x79e5…dcc9 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x139545… |
| 05-12 20:12:42 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xab2e2b… |
| 05-12 19:21:12 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x670fb1… |
| 05-12 19:20:23 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $37 | 0x35b75e… |
| 05-12 19:20:21 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x1889c7… |
| 05-12 19:20:21 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x27fb47… |
| 05-12 19:11:45 | Aware-Armrest 0xbde6…e8b5 | Yes | BUY | 800 | 4¢ | $32 | 0x9247c3… |
| 05-12 17:12:17 | (anonymous) 0xfcab…bbf2 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x31baf9… |
| 05-12 12:42:57 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 43 | 97¢ | $42 | 0x84f582… |
| 05-12 04:39:01 | (anonymous) 0xece7…3353 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe974df… |
| 05-11 23:48:49 | Alienated-Endoderm 0xc237…0432 | No | BUY | 72 | 97¢ | $70 | 0xc03949… |
| 05-11 23:47:14 | Alienated-Endoderm 0xc237…0432 | No | BUY | 309 | 97¢ | $300 | 0xa83f0b… |
| 05-11 22:58:30 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x3ac0ef… |
| 05-11 22:58:21 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x2e0148… |
| 05-11 22:31:58 | Aware-Armrest 0xbde6…e8b5 | Yes | BUY | 545 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x17712d… |
| 05-11 22:31:45 | Aware-Armrest 0xbde6…e8b5 | Yes | BUY | 900 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xd6e489… |
| 05-11 14:46:03 | Profuse-Inevitable 0x1034…be24 | No | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xb63562… |
| 05-11 09:35:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x57b31a… |
| 05-11 09:04:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x1900ab… |
| 05-10 00:00:27 | Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x03ae55… |