Profuse-Inevitable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

872

Trades

1,521

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-01 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

68% 90% -$11

Politics

21% 82% +$46

Crypto

10% 96% +$80

Tech

1% 100% +$7

Sports

1% 50% -$35

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	+38	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	08-04 11:36
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+56	$4	2¢	$1	-$3	07-24 02:58
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	05-10 04:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	15	$183	195	0	+195	No	+$12	04-12 22:21
israel closes its airspace by june 10	10	$180	190	0	+190	No	+$10	06-09 23:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$180	42	140	-98	No	+$1	05-11 10:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	5	$175	90	90	+0	No	+$3	05-22 23:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	12	$164	120	115	+5	Yes	+$16	06-14 16:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	9	$133	71	71	+0	No	+$10	05-11 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	8	$130	71	71	+0	No	+$9	05-11 10:12
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	10	$128	135	0	+135	No	+$7	04-12 22:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	8	$125	69	69	+0	No	+$10	05-11 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	8	$119	64	64	+0	No	+$8	05-18 08:17
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?	4	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$1	05-17 21:30
Exact Score: Al Nassr Saudi Club 0 - 1 Damac Saudi Club?	3	$89	45	45	+0	No	+$1	05-21 21:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	3	$88	45	45	+0	No	+$2	05-28 15:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	20	$86	95	85	+10	Yes	+$22	07-28 13:52
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$84	90	0	+90	No	+$6	04-12 22:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$83	75	30	+45	No	+$20	05-30 20:01
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?	3	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$1	05-17 21:30
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	3	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$2	05-17 21:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$77	31	48	-17	No	+$1	05-11 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	9	$73	86	0	+86	No	+$13	05-04 16:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$72	96	29	+66	Yes	-$35	06-16 07:56
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	6	$70	39	39	+0	No	+$8	05-15 21:13
israel closes its airspace by june 9	3	$67	70	0	+70	No	+$3	06-08 22:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	8	$65	74	49	+25	No	+$23	05-30 22:24
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	3	$63	65	0	+65	No	+$2	05-16 22:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	3	$63	45	20	+25	No	+$2	05-18 18:11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	18	$61	127	0	+127	No	+$41	04-26 15:36
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	05-11 21:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	8	$57	92	0	+92	Yes	-$57	05-27 06:47
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$56	29	29	+0	No	+$3	05-15 21:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 21:18:38	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x1d1876…
10-01 21:18:33	Will Trump say "Fake News" during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x187875…
10-01 21:18:27	Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x38810c…
10-01 13:52:12	Will Trump say "Fake News" during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x6d656a…
10-01 13:26:06	Will Trump say "Fake News" during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x843c0d…
09-30 22:40:36	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5b2eb9…
09-30 10:12:47	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf13145…
09-30 09:59:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7f5fb2…
09-30 09:48:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd2edc5…
09-30 06:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf65d0e…
09-30 02:19:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1b84b2…
09-29 01:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe77f15…
09-28 17:14:14	will trump say bitcoin during his announcement september 28	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd16195…
09-24 20:07:27	will trump say bitcoin during his evening remarks with xi jinping	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xca4efd…
09-24 07:33:54	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf75b83…
09-24 04:41:48	Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7fc16a…
09-24 02:06:37	Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x000ebb…
09-24 00:35:35	Will Netanyahu say "Nuclear" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9b1ff2…
09-23 08:46:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 23?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x79191c…
09-23 08:44:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 23?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xac86da…
09-22 20:01:22	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe6b0fa…
09-22 17:32:51	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x9cd6cf…
09-22 17:30:57	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf702d2…
09-22 17:30:54	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbcb670…
09-22 03:56:42	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xba7f0b…
09-22 01:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6c85ed…
09-21 16:31:23	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8100a3…
09-20 02:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 20?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6c25a8…
09-20 01:29:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xaf37a3…
09-16 04:36:42	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x152fc5…
09-16 01:59:28	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa51b2d…
09-11 13:52:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 12?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf4a0e2…
09-11 05:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf0540c…
09-10 02:22:09	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8f0528…
09-09 19:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xcfa1e9…
09-09 16:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on September 10?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb0d85e…
09-06 20:41:00	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	SPD	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf5235e…
09-06 18:21:03	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x990590…
09-06 11:01:01	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x62f5fb…
09-04 21:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 5?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8584b3…
09-04 19:19:49	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x751f17…
09-04 19:07:18	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1ea2ad…
09-03 15:11:28	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd98cd0…
09-02 16:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd07ff8…
09-02 16:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x6e5028…
09-01 23:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 2?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xbd9f46…
09-01 17:44:19	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x78ecb8…
09-01 12:56:16	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x702e2c…
08-31 14:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd839dc…
08-31 12:47:43	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0f19ce…
08-30 02:43:58	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4a9de5…
08-29 15:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on August 29?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd5d867…
08-28 17:02:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 29?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf37404…
08-25 11:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe5e611…
08-24 23:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x6f2de6…
08-24 21:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x85a0da…
08-22 00:17:06	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x329149…
08-21 16:45:36	will trump say maga make america great again during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x89d9bd…
08-21 16:45:33	will trump say maga make america great again during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x715811…
08-20 00:54:24	Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 1 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x789924…
08-19 23:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 20?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x85b74e…
08-19 23:22:25	Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 0 Nashville SC?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf13e86…
08-19 20:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 20?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x92a181…
08-19 16:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1366d5…
08-19 11:46:24	Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 1 - 3 New York City FC?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x33dff9…
08-19 11:20:36	Exact Score: Sporting Kansas City 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf8cc8a…
08-19 07:46:07	Exact Score: NEC 3 - 2 FK Bodø/Glimt?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x716593…
08-19 05:42:27	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x37aa71…
08-18 23:55:58	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x875a58…
08-18 22:45:40	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xce8f17…
08-18 19:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x7b0fba…
08-18 18:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x04a492…
08-18 18:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4b1f1b…
08-18 11:11:10	Exact Score: 1. FC Heidenheim 2 - 3 Bayern Munich?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xeda889…
08-17 09:20:25	Exact Score: CA Lanús 0 - 2 CA Independiente?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x631e7e…
08-17 09:09:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 17?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb37a40…
08-17 06:11:37	Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 3 - 0 Elche CF?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x9a39de…
08-16 23:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xe3519b…
08-16 23:35:54	Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 2 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xa9d4fc…
08-16 23:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd9cb64…
08-16 17:47:10	Exact Score: FC Koper 0 - 0 Bravo Ljubljana?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xac0821…
08-16 15:45:04	Exact Score: Amed Sportif 3 - 0 Erzurumspor FK?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x0f0aac…
08-16 14:10:33	ecs ars mci 2026 08 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8aafd1…
08-16 11:45:42	Exact Score: Watford FC 1 - 3 Southampton FC?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd220fe…
08-16 10:30:46	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x477891…
08-16 07:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xcb5c7d…
08-16 06:35:43	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 3 Villarreal CF?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x77071a…
08-16 04:47:04	Exact Score: FC Twente 3 - 2 PEC Zwolle?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xbcc221…
08-16 03:51:09	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8a26aa…
08-16 02:55:09	Exact Score: Atlas FC 1 - 3 Tigres de la UANL?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x159f51…
08-16 00:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8d0c3e…
08-15 22:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd31a43…
08-15 22:28:01	Exact Score: Atlanta United FC 0 - 0 New York Red Bulls?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x895afd…
08-15 22:17:12	Exact Score: Colorado Rapids SC 1 - 2 Sporting Kansas City?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x11fcd9…
08-15 19:38:37	Exact Score: Estudiantes de La Plata 3 - 0 Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe1938e…
08-15 13:43:31	Exact Score: CA Paranaense 3 - 0 Red Bull Bragantino?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x839be9…
08-15 07:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5bd311…
08-15 05:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1343f3…
08-15 04:45:00	Exact Score: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 2 - 0 Beijing Guoan FC?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x46082c…
08-14 22:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xc80b28…