Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?
open
Total volume
$2,958
$13,000 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$10,493
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 04:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $163
vs crowd: 2% YES on $2.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $181 | $181 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $56 | $2.7K | $2.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $163 | $163 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $50 | $50 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $103 | $103 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| unranked | 8 | $27 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affectionate-Chemical 0x9753…9d8f | No | +2,421 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 05-13 02:53 |
| Ignorant-Karate 0xaef0…491c | No | +350 | $284 | $284 | 1 | 05-12 21:56 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +201 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 05-13 00:46 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +126 | $107 | $107 | 6 | 05-13 03:51 |
| Snarling-Dealer 0x6069…1549 | Yes | +100 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-12 20:56 |
| Absolute-Ambience 0xd436…f521 | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 03:37 |
| Utilized-Sundial 0x9f3a…3b17 | No | +89 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 05-13 00:11 |
| Turbulent-Skyscraper 0xae05…f5d1 | No | +89 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 05-13 01:07 |
| Playful-Marriage 0xcb70…01c0 | Yes | +70 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 21:35 |
| Devoted-Slider 0x1e8e…0cc4 | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-12 17:52 |
| Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 16:51 |
| Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-13 03:41 |
| Fumbling-Celebrity 0x4e93…be55 | No | +36 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-12 19:42 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 01:02 |
| Verifiable-Hut 0xb87f…0a24 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 19:55 |
| Brief-Keeper 0x7713…06fd | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-12 09:47 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-12 19:06 |
| Free-Analog 0x4161…6290 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:01 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 04:01:28 | Free-Analog 0x4161…6290 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x3e663c… |
| 05-13 03:51:49 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 21 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xa6c03e… |
| 05-13 03:41:16 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x5a0d09… |
| 05-13 03:37:19 | Absolute-Ambience 0xd436…f521 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0xe58b11… |
| 05-13 03:28:36 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xc0f345… |
| 05-13 03:26:11 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 21 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x4be4ca… |
| 05-13 02:53:20 | Affectionate-Chemical 0x9753…9d8f | No | BUY | 2,421 | 83¢ | $2,000 | 0x03c4cb… |
| 05-13 01:52:32 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0x295414… |
| 05-13 01:52:30 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0xb9ce6f… |
| 05-13 01:43:55 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0xb0a2a4… |
| 05-13 01:07:45 | Turbulent-Skyscraper 0xae05…f5d1 | No | BUY | 89 | 82¢ | $73 | 0x05b684… |
| 05-13 01:02:39 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0xe0053e… |
| 05-13 00:53:26 | Creative-Golf 0x9b2a…1f86 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xabf734… |
| 05-13 00:46:40 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 201 | 81¢ | $163 | 0x3bf4b7… |
| 05-13 00:11:24 | Utilized-Sundial 0x9f3a…3b17 | No | BUY | 89 | 81¢ | $72 | 0xc3135f… |
| 05-12 21:57:28 | Spicy-Disease 0xa99f…b306 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x97112a… |
| 05-12 21:56:36 | Ignorant-Karate 0xaef0…491c | No | BUY | 350 | 81¢ | $284 | 0x90224a… |
| 05-12 21:35:55 | Playful-Marriage 0xcb70…01c0 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 20¢ | $14 | 0xcdce82… |
| 05-12 20:56:20 | Snarling-Dealer 0x6069…1549 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 21¢ | $21 | 0xf3208f… |
| 05-12 19:55:25 | Verifiable-Hut 0xb87f…0a24 | No | BUY | 25 | 82¢ | $20 | 0x0043dd… |
| 05-12 19:42:26 | Fumbling-Celebrity 0x4e93…be55 | No | BUY | 36 | 87¢ | $31 | 0x2edd0e… |
| 05-12 19:07:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xf9e639… |
| 05-12 19:07:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xdf1643… |
| 05-12 19:06:47 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xe3b218… |
| 05-12 17:52:25 | Devoted-Slider 0x1e8e…0cc4 | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x46c7d9… |
| 05-12 16:51:27 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x179879… |
| 05-12 09:47:42 | Brief-Keeper 0x7713…06fd | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x3ca70d… |
| 05-12 09:32:18 | Brief-Keeper 0x7713…06fd | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x1395cd… |