Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
563
Trades
1,267
lifetime
Volume
$1.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$13
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 10-26 03:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
72% 73% -$9
Politics
16% 77% +$1
Sports
10% 72% -$4
Tech
1% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-25 23:56
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-03 17:29
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-15 20:34
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-20 20:27
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-11 17:59
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-20 20:27
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-16 04:00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-13 21:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-23 20:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-16 05:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-23 19:30
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 10-20 18:35
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 10-08 19:11