Free-Analog — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,267 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.45K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-26 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

72% 74% -$9

Politics

16% 78% +$1

Sports

10% 72% -$4

Tech

1% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-03 17:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	10-08 19:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	42	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-11 23:38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	28	$38	19	19	+0	No	$0	05-11 18:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	30	$31	16	16	+0	No	$0	05-12 00:26
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	20	$23	12	12	+0	No	$0	05-10 12:45
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	16	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-09 18:49
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	14	$21	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-09 18:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	16	$19	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-11 22:11
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	14	$19	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-11 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	14	$14	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-12 00:23
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	12	$14	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-11 22:00
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-19 14:28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	2	$13	6	6	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$0	05-17 19:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-19 14:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	5	$11	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-30 18:59
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-01 13:19
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	3	$10	9	1	+8	Yes	-$8	05-15 07:44
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	06-30 18:59
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$9	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-13 00:29
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	6	$7	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-09 20:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$7	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-12 00:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	6	$7	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-15 20:59
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	6	$7	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-13 23:03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-15 11:58
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$6	3	3	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$0	05-17 19:48
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-11 15:17
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-13 23:03
will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-12 03:43
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	4	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-10 02:28
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 04:01
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-15 06:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:16:42	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 26.5	Over	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe479fc…
10-26 03:16:27	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 60.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4c9215…
10-25 23:56:41	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x13b553…
10-25 23:56:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0f5838…
10-25 20:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x222d2c…
10-25 20:41:48	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 30.5	Over	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7499b4…
10-24 13:59:26	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 30.5	Over	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0955e6…
10-23 20:56:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x39ad29…
10-23 20:55:56	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x942b73…
10-23 19:30:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe62628…
10-23 19:30:20	Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x692b66…
10-23 19:30:02	Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x705cec…
10-23 17:50:56	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x99c010…
10-22 19:46:42	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 60.5	Under	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd0739f…
10-22 19:35:38	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7c1a48…
10-22 19:35:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x8f5746…
10-22 19:32:11	Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x31ff09…
10-22 19:31:56	Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 RC Celta de Vigo?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x79b244…
10-21 14:23:38	Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 RC Celta de Vigo?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6c84ed…
10-21 14:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x87901e…
10-20 20:27:20	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x826a0c…
10-20 20:27:11	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9b1d63…
10-20 20:26:45	Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x43e145…
10-20 19:39:08	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x176e63…
10-20 18:35:45	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x75881d…
10-20 18:35:17	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd4615c…
10-20 07:30:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x69d8ee…
10-20 07:30:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc95c4a…
10-20 02:27:44	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac0479…
10-20 02:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xfd9d0b…
10-20 00:29:11	Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb4e788…
10-20 00:28:53	Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdff7e5…
10-19 17:26:53	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x77edd8…
10-19 17:26:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe7057d…
10-18 22:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7b5c50…
10-18 14:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3eabd4…
10-18 14:22:54	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 1 Crystal Palace FC?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x487ffe…
10-18 00:42:08	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 1 Crystal Palace FC?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x35a522…
10-18 00:41:54	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x2c0113…
10-17 14:36:08	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x914f88…
10-17 14:35:54	Exact Score: Fulham FC 0 - 0 Hull City AFC?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe06085…
10-16 05:40:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdf16ab…
10-16 05:39:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54f5f8…
10-16 04:00:48	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x87be8e…
10-16 04:00:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x25b39d…
10-16 01:10:00	Exact Score: Fulham FC 0 - 0 Hull City AFC?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x773342…
10-16 01:09:39	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7bfd5e…
10-15 20:41:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x47feaf…
10-15 20:41:06	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9850a1…
10-15 20:34:08	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe9461f…
10-15 20:33:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x931981…
10-15 08:49:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 21	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd817a9…
10-15 08:49:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x644656…
10-15 08:49:20	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x9ecff6…
10-14 16:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x53ff9d…
10-13 21:52:21	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe866f2…
10-13 21:51:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xaf4c1e…
10-13 20:23:09	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x7d77d1…
10-13 19:36:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf2fbd0…
10-13 19:35:42	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xac6589…
10-13 18:30:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x26c12e…
10-13 18:29:51	Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x679281…
10-13 01:06:48	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb78ea1…
10-13 01:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb5c0fe…
10-13 00:27:15	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1ba6da…
10-12 13:45:30	Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xee82f8…
10-12 13:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9c5cda…
10-11 17:59:04	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe7ce9b…
10-11 17:59:03	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x67e20e…
10-11 17:59:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x301d18…
10-11 17:58:58	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x840475…
10-11 17:58:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x98c647…
10-10 10:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6c632b…
10-10 10:33:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xda3422…
10-10 00:29:31	Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x65a664…
10-10 00:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x423ba4…
10-09 19:20:04	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4c9365…
10-09 19:19:47	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x61549a…
10-08 21:33:32	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf2663d…
10-08 21:33:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b0791…
10-08 19:11:08	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2a7be6…
10-08 19:10:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x918d17…
10-08 08:14:37	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x12d9de…
10-08 08:14:14	Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x88318e…
10-08 04:36:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfda43c…
10-08 04:36:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x81042d…
10-08 04:25:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0b6229…
10-08 04:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x70202d…
10-07 21:11:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcf479a…
10-07 21:11:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6bd59d…
10-07 17:06:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x6a153e…
10-07 16:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x33975c…
10-07 16:41:35	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd0b805…
10-07 16:41:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x62df62…
10-07 15:57:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4b177f…
10-07 15:57:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d4696…
10-07 15:04:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x50f3ba…
10-07 15:04:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xa9b768…
10-06 19:08:38	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x79e595…
10-06 18:23:47	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd53607…