Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
No won
Total volume
$137,708
Trades
6,979
Unique wallets
555
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-10-09
First seen
2026-09-29
last 10-08 19:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.0¢
(top1%: 25% YES on $45.2K
vs crowd: 23% YES on $99.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 71 | $11.1K | $49.0K | $37.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 124 | $5.7K | $19.1K | $13.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 136 | $4.9K | $7.8K | $2.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 224 | $1.2K | $770 | +$389 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 73 | $11.3K | $33.9K | $22.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 114 | $3.9K | $15.3K | $11.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 38 | $286 | $302 | $16 |
| Median | 97 | $72 | $133 | $61 |
| Below median | 96 | $683 | $4.9K | $4.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 40 | $2.9K | $1.9K | +$937 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 56 | $1.7K | $4.4K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 41 | $2.1K | $15.8K | $13.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x14ec…c745 | Yes | +16,851 | $33 | $33 | 8 | 10-08 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4dd…3ee2 | Yes | +8,119 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 10-08 17:52 |
| Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | +7,475 | $3 | $27 | 19 | 10-08 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +6,622 | $527 | $527 | 314 | 10-08 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +6,522 | $5,992 | $5,992 | 306 | 10-08 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | +5,074 | $4,492 | $4,492 | 136 | 10-08 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | +5,064 | $659 | $659 | 118 | 10-08 11:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xd849…59d6 | No | +5,000 | $4,987 | $4,987 | 4 | 10-08 17:52 |
| Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | Yes | +4,838 | $40 | $40 | 10 | 10-08 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xc145…32bb | Yes | +4,210 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-08 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x77e1…d040 | Yes | +3,770 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-08 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | +3,524 | $10 | $10 | 7 | 10-08 18:13 |
| Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | +3,400 | $3,026 | $5,603 | 71 | 10-08 18:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc7c…dcf3 | Yes | +3,340 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-08 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf37b…4eda | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 10 | 10-08 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x7afc…ea2c | No | +2,947 | $2,944 | $2,944 | 1 | 10-08 18:20 |
| Little-Fear 0xa002…e840 | Yes | +2,610 | $13 | $13 | 15 | 10-08 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe645…fbde | Yes | +2,500 | $0 | $70 | 4 | 10-08 14:12 |
| Thin-Tiara 0xc757…ccfc | No | +2,467 | $2,462 | $2,462 | 1 | 10-08 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | +2,037 | $1,905 | $9,185 | 411 | 10-08 18:20 |
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | +2,031 | -$112 | $1,500 | 169 | 10-08 17:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | +2,026 | $187 | $361 | 65 | 10-08 05:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x13d8…06c4 | Yes | +1,850 | $61 | $61 | 23 | 10-08 14:23 |
| Full-Extent 0x828e…c21b | Yes | +1,824 | -$29 | $294 | 33 | 10-08 13:47 |
| Vain-Hearsay 0x146d…17c7 | Yes | +1,812 | -$12 | $166 | 21 | 10-08 13:00 |
| Failing-Pagan 0x2692…38e2 | Yes | +1,785 | $36 | $36 | 4 | 10-08 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fbb…d1a4 | Yes | +1,600 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-08 18:20 |
| Pertinent-Media 0x5734…06ba | No | +1,598 | $1,389 | $3,756 | 69 | 10-08 13:11 |
| Pertinent-Media 0x5734…06ba | Yes | +1,598 | $171 | $838 | 94 | 10-08 12:53 |
| Genuine-Creativity 0x0c55…9e26 | No | +1,539 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 10-06 18:57 |
| Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | No | +1,450 | $1,437 | $1,437 | 3 | 10-08 18:20 |
| Royal-Knickers 0xb831…892b | Yes | +1,449 | $104 | $158 | 6 | 10-08 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | +1,339 | $1,338 | $1,338 | 1 | 10-08 18:20 |
| Ready-Measure 0xe53d…146c | Yes | +1,325 | $169 | $169 | 21 | 10-08 10:57 |
| International-Expertise 0xe130…4006 | Yes | +1,260 | $96 | $96 | 58 | 10-08 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | +1,238 | $119 | $265 | 42 | 10-08 10:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | No | +1,220 | $1,218 | $1,218 | 5 | 10-08 19:28 |
| Necessary-Glucose 0x306d…7a38 | Yes | +1,200 | -$26 | $86 | 13 | 10-08 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d2d…d535 | Yes | +1,094 | $129 | $1,390 | 62 | 10-08 13:30 |
| Inferior-Wash 0x6d55…cd90 | No | +1,090 | $1,088 | $1,088 | 2 | 10-08 13:59 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $6 | 9 | 10-08 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e6a…97f2 | Yes | +1,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-08 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5abb…446b | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cad…c773 | No | +998 | $990 | $990 | 2 | 10-08 17:40 |
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | +725 | $457 | $5,839 | 51 | 10-08 11:35 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +699 | $630 | $630 | 18 | 10-08 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cea…a932 | No | +631 | $516 | $516 | 2 | 10-08 05:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +608 | $514 | $514 | 67 | 10-08 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +503 | $426 | $426 | 109 | 10-08 13:56 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +440 | $413 | $413 | 2 | 10-07 12:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:28:38 | Foolhardy-Radio 0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xff259d… |
| 10-08 19:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xff259d… |
| 10-08 19:26:48 | (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x12d4fa… |
| 10-08 19:26:48 | (anonymous) 0xccf5…f72f | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x12d4fa… |
| 10-08 19:18:54 | (anonymous) 0xbcbf…75a9 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdf3439… |
| 10-08 19:18:54 | (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdf3439… |
| 10-08 18:52:12 | Foolhardy-Radio 0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x2a5c87… |
| 10-08 18:52:12 | (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x2a5c87… |
| 10-08 18:21:39 | (anonymous) 0xa764…468d | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x93d467… |
| 10-08 18:21:39 | Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c | No | SELL | 213 | 100¢ | $213 | 0x93d467… |
| 10-08 18:21:39 | (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | No | BUY | 184 | 100¢ | $184 | 0x93d467… |
| 10-08 18:20:47 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x31f96c… |
| 10-08 18:20:47 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x31f96c… |
| 10-08 18:20:47 | (anonymous) 0xa764…468d | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x31f96c… |
| 10-08 18:20:45 | Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | BUY | 867 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x226fbb… |
| 10-08 18:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x778b44… |
| 10-08 18:20:45 | Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | BUY | 1,133 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x50f82c… |
| 10-08 18:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x50f82c… |
| 10-08 18:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x7afc…ea2c | No | BUY | 2,947 | 100¢ | $2,944 | 0x226fbb… |
| 10-08 18:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x50f82c… |
| 10-08 18:20:45 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | BUY | 1,339 | 100¢ | $1,338 | 0x50f82c… |
| 10-08 18:20:45 | Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x778b44… |
| 10-08 18:20:45 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x226fbb… |
| 10-08 18:20:42 | (anonymous) 0x5fbb…d1a4 | Yes | BUY | 1,600 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xa085a7… |
| 10-08 18:20:42 | Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | No | BUY | 1,400 | 100¢ | $1,396 | 0xa085a7… |
| 10-08 18:20:42 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xa085a7… |
| 10-08 18:13:35 | Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | BUY | 79 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfacf0f… |
| 10-08 18:13:35 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfacf0f… |
| 10-08 18:13:35 | (anonymous) 0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfacf0f… |
| 10-08 18:13:12 | (anonymous) 0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xb8e01b… |
| 10-08 18:13:12 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 800 | 100¢ | $798 | 0xb8e01b… |
| 10-08 18:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x8be782… |
| 10-08 18:08:48 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | SELL | 593 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8be782… |
| 10-08 18:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8be782… |
| 10-08 18:08:48 | (anonymous) 0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | BUY | 387 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8be782… |
| 10-08 17:59:54 | (anonymous) 0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3feee8… |
| 10-08 17:59:54 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 600 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3feee8… |
| 10-08 17:58:06 | Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | SELL | 1,208 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xf99b2e… |
| 10-08 17:58:06 | (anonymous) 0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | BUY | 1,208 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xf99b2e… |
| 10-08 17:57:57 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x742c45… |
| 10-08 17:57:57 | (anonymous) 0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x742c45… |
| 10-08 17:52:59 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x5b7f3b… |
| 10-08 17:52:59 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b7f3b… |
| 10-08 17:52:59 | (anonymous) 0xd849…59d6 | No | BUY | 1,786 | 100¢ | $1,781 | 0x5b7f3b… |
| 10-08 17:52:59 | Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | SELL | 389 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x5b7f3b… |
| 10-08 17:52:59 | (anonymous) 0xa4dd…3ee2 | Yes | BUY | 3,470 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x5b7f3b… |
| 10-08 17:52:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b7f3b… |
| 10-08 17:52:59 | (anonymous) 0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b7f3b… |
| 10-08 17:52:59 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5b7f3b… |
| 10-08 17:52:59 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $299 | 0x5b7f3b… |
| 10-08 17:40:12 | (anonymous) 0x2cad…c773 | No | BUY | 700 | 100¢ | $699 | 0x081040… |
| 10-08 17:40:12 | Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | BUY | 700 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x081040… |
| 10-08 17:38:06 | (anonymous) 0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x640d22… |
| 10-08 17:38:06 | Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x640d22… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | SELL | 3,377 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | Coordinated-Vitamin 0x699b…0296 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | Positive-Impulse 0xab26…9656 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x29b5…a992 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x14ec…c745 | Yes | BUY | 9,772 | 0¢ | $15 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 900 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | Yes | SELL | 2,300 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | (anonymous) 0xd849…59d6 | No | BUY | 1,214 | 100¢ | $1,210 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:19:51 | Massive-Birch 0xe583…2d98 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc308c… |
| 10-08 17:06:44 | Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x33e76c… |
| 10-08 17:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x5abb…446b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x33e76c… |
| 10-08 16:56:42 | Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8c843… |
| 10-08 16:56:42 | Hairy-Sensibility 0x926c…7155 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe8c843… |
| 10-08 16:52:23 | (anonymous) 0xffae…5c98 | No | SELL | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0xbd686a… |
| 10-08 16:52:23 | Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd686a… |
| 10-08 16:43:41 | (anonymous) 0x3d38…d4f1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa50289… |
| 10-08 16:43:41 | Glaring-Cygnet 0xff2f…c2c2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa50289… |
| 10-08 16:43:41 | Offensive-Expression 0x4590…932e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa50289… |
| 10-08 16:43:41 | (anonymous) 0x6f47…43c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa50289… |
| 10-08 16:43:41 | Heartfelt-Manipulation 0x332e…0ae6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa50289… |
| 10-08 16:43:41 | Authentic-Gadget 0x0431…1af9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa50289… |
| 10-08 16:43:41 | Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | SELL | 308 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa50289… |
| 10-08 16:43:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 153 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa50289… |
| 10-08 16:41:54 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x192570… |
| 10-08 16:41:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x192570… |
| 10-08 16:41:54 | (anonymous) 0xde0f…57c1 | Yes | SELL | 1,107 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x192570… |
| 10-08 16:41:54 | Distant-Credenza 0xe759…cf83 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x192570… |
| 10-08 16:41:54 | Upbeat-Hovel 0x9fee…d292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x192570… |
| 10-08 16:28:38 | Favorable-Lyocell 0x2e8c…c39a | Yes | SELL | 300 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1cd2b9… |
| 10-08 16:28:38 | Thin-Tiara 0xc757…ccfc | No | BUY | 2,467 | 100¢ | $2,462 | 0x1cd2b9… |
| 10-08 16:28:38 | Sweet-Estrogen 0xeff9…05fd | Yes | SELL | 659 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1cd2b9… |
| 10-08 16:28:38 | (anonymous) 0xc145…32bb | Yes | BUY | 4,210 | 0¢ | $8 | 0x1cd2b9… |
| 10-08 16:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 384 | 100¢ | $383 | 0x1cd2b9… |
| 10-08 16:27:30 | Trusty-Pounding 0x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | BUY | 72 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x27cadd… |
| 10-08 16:27:30 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x27cadd… |
| 10-08 16:19:15 | Sweet-Estrogen 0xeff9…05fd | Yes | SELL | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xdcb82d… |
| 10-08 16:19:15 | (anonymous) 0x14ec…c745 | Yes | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xdcb82d… |
| 10-08 16:17:54 | Classic-Dial 0xf1de…6329 | No | SELL | 36 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x3f921f… |
| 10-08 16:17:54 | Sweet-Estrogen 0xeff9…05fd | Yes | SELL | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f921f… |
| 10-08 16:16:54 | Sweet-Estrogen 0xeff9…05fd | Yes | SELL | 70 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x960d2b… |
| 10-08 16:16:54 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x960d2b… |
| 10-08 16:16:51 | (anonymous) 0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa32640… |
| 10-08 16:16:51 | Coordinated-Vitamin 0x699b…0296 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa32640… |
| 10-08 16:16:51 | (anonymous) 0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | SELL | 2,383 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xa32640… |
| 10-08 16:16:51 | Sweet-Estrogen 0xeff9…05fd | Yes | SELL | 753 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xa32640… |