Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

104

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$9.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-29 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

100% 52% +$119

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+700	$14	2¢	$14	+$0	10-29 12:18
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	Yes	+386	$8	0¢	$2	-$7	10-29 10:35
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+300	$0	0¢	$2	+$2	10-29 11:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	6	$910	200	890	-690	Yes	-$8	10-27 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	8	$715	46	746	-700	Yes	+$3	10-20 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	5	$712	30	720	-690	Yes	+$10	10-19 15:57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	4	$709	50	750	-700	Yes	+$1	10-14 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	1	$699	0	700	-700	Yes	-$1	10-12 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	8	$694	10	700	-690	Yes	-$3	10-23 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	1	$639	0	640	-640	Yes	-$1	10-26 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	2	$596	0	600	-600	Yes	-$4	10-07 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$593	0	594	-594	Yes	-$1	10-06 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	3	$506	0	510	-510	No	+$6	10-24 14:40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	11	$503	5	505	-500	Yes	-$7	10-05 10:46
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	3	$496	0	529	-529	No	-$4	10-28 15:15
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$244	130	130	+0	open	—	10-28 20:35
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6	$129	68	68	+0	No	+$6	10-08 05:02
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	7	$123	109	109	+0	Yes	-$4	10-07 19:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	7	$77	250	249	+1	No	+$2	10-05 10:11
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	6	$68	229	238	-10	Yes	-$15	10-17 12:08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	3	$45	500	500	+0	No	+$5	10-28 07:46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	7	$45	608	1,108	-500	No	+$30	10-08 23:45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6	$31	100	100	+0	No	+$23	10-08 05:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	9	$26	700	700	+0	No	-$10	10-17 13:54
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	8	$23	510	300	+210	No	+$1	10-16 08:11
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	9	$21	1,407	1,582	-176	No	+$15	10-13 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	4	$20	250	846	-596	No	+$7	10-02 23:26
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-25 19:17
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$19	25	25	+0	open	—	10-23 17:53
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	9	$18	1,700	1,700	+0	No	+$2	10-16 10:50
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$17	8	508	-500	No	+$1	10-09 08:52
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	9	$17	729	1,229	-500	No	$0	10-05 10:45
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	7	$14	1,205	1,205	+0	No	+$12	10-08 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x0fa3b6…
10-29 12:17:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1c745d…
10-29 12:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xea0924…
10-29 12:07:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xeafda8…
10-29 12:04:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x72d77c…
10-29 12:01:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbea1e1…
10-29 12:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf1ba1a…
10-29 12:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2bcbca…
10-29 12:00:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x04c280…
10-29 11:58:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x59a5b0…
10-29 11:58:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x1a164e…
10-29 11:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	0¢	$1	0x09cfe4…
10-29 11:55:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa2df6b…
10-29 11:55:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xab2ef6…
10-29 11:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa990e4…
10-29 11:52:08	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9fd680…
10-29 11:51:44	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xd40e8e…
10-29 11:50:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xddabd0…
10-29 11:48:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x522618…
10-29 11:45:52	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd834b1…
10-29 11:40:26	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	2¢	$4	0xfae1ee…
10-29 11:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9885e1…
10-29 11:31:49	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xc0f99b…
10-29 11:31:49	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x8244c6…
10-29 11:21:43	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x7effd1…
10-29 11:00:05	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xcf6b00…
10-29 10:58:26	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd992c2…
10-29 10:58:05	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5a7bcd…
10-29 10:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa5fad7…
10-29 10:35:38	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4983b6…
10-29 08:40:20	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x167f3b…
10-28 20:35:55	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	94¢	$121	0xfce4a8…
10-28 18:04:04	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x246283…
10-28 15:15:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xb1cb0a…
10-28 15:00:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xf953ef…
10-28 07:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	4¢	$12	0xe83ec2…
10-28 07:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	4¢	$8	0x756d57…
10-28 07:43:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x011291…
10-28 06:50:23	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	95¢	$123	0xac0929…
10-27 22:26:59	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xf0b07a…
10-27 22:26:59	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x72bba5…
10-27 18:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x01cb89…
10-27 18:29:08	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	3¢	$3	0x8a32a9…
10-27 16:00:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	690	100¢	$689	0x6ba13f…
10-27 15:08:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0x548e77…
10-27 15:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	41¢	$24	0x846e01…
10-27 15:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x27c9ec…
10-27 14:55:50	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa3c697…
10-27 14:40:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xea96f0…
10-27 14:31:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xba3740…
10-27 14:30:26	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf920f1…
10-27 14:02:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	0¢	$1	0xaace3b…
10-27 14:02:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xb401ed…
10-27 13:58:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	0¢	$1	0xf008ef…
10-27 13:57:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x4783f4…
10-27 06:52:56	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$1	0xdfb2ac…
10-26 22:15:48	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0x3e8ad8…
10-26 20:54:24	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xbcc721…
10-26 20:16:03	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	251	1¢	$2	0x89b684…
10-26 20:15:54	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	251	1¢	$1	0xd7e3d3…
10-26 20:15:41	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	278	1¢	$2	0x3ec3ce…
10-26 20:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$1	0x76a3c3…
10-26 20:14:56	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	3¢	$4	0x871409…
10-26 20:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	2¢	$3	0x8f452a…
10-26 20:14:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	8¢	$8	0xc25db5…
10-26 20:14:11	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	6¢	$9	0xa356ba…
10-26 19:59:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xae4fe3…
10-26 19:40:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1a4574…
10-26 19:32:38	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x8c173c…
10-26 19:31:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x7a7b2e…
10-26 15:51:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	640	100¢	$639	0xfb1916…
10-25 19:17:47	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x346ccf…
10-25 12:37:20	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0xcd4781…
10-25 01:02:45	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0xe8c27b…
10-25 00:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	0¢	$0	0x9029c4…
10-25 00:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x41952a…
10-24 21:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xdda571…
10-24 16:16:14	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd3ffc2…
10-24 14:40:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe52d42…
10-24 14:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	490	100¢	$490	0x942247…
10-24 14:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x31b6e7…
10-24 13:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfe5344…
10-24 13:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf627df…
10-24 13:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x969c65…
10-24 13:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8091b2…
10-24 13:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x00db02…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xec90b4…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe85e95…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe075ef…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xdf11a5…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd8d318…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x99f0d1…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x950657…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x828fd2…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x6a7d1a…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x672bac…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x65a45e…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x39a630…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x12392d…
10-24 13:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0a1124…