Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$345

Unrealized P&L

-$38

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

13,188

Trades

19,303

lifetime

Volume

$1.14M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$289

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 10-29 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

95% 91% -$92

Politics

4% 88% -$148

Crypto

1% 63% -$107

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% 33% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 410 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+205	$178	92¢	$188	+$11	08-17 14:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+93	$80	97¢	$90	+$10	09-04 22:41
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+363	$70	3¢	$11	-$59	08-11 21:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	25	$9.2K	4,857	4,607	+250	No	-$70	08-28 17:20
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 14?	9	$5.5K	5,470	0	+5,470	No	+$5	08-14 22:40
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	23	$3.8K	2,550	2,550	+0	No	-$99	08-01 19:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 30?	10	$3.6K	1,803	1,803	+0	No	+$30	07-30 12:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?	52	$3.2K	3,964	162	+3,802	Yes	+$458	08-07 19:21
will liz kendall be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533216	19	$3.2K	3,153	25	+3,128	No	+$19	07-29 13:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 4?	8	$2.9K	1,620	1,420	+200	No	-$1	08-04 09:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?	41	$2.9K	2,988	284	+2,704	Yes	+$58	08-17 19:19
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	3	$2.9K	1,500	1,475	+25	Yes	+$27	07-20 18:26
will catherine west be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533200	11	$2.8K	2,807	0	+2,807	No	+$4	07-29 17:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?	18	$2.7K	2,181	1,066	+1,116	No	+$16	08-07 21:58
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 5?	20	$2.7K	1,346	1,346	+0	No	+$2	08-05 04:06
will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by july 31 2026 20260626210612732	7	$2.7K	2,680	0	+2,680	No	+$5	08-04 11:58
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 5?	14	$2.5K	1,982	507	+1,475	No	-$1	08-05 17:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 29?	7	$2.4K	2,550	0	+2,550	Yes	-$48	08-29 22:54
will patrick vallance be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533223	13	$2.4K	2,406	0	+2,406	No	+$4	07-29 17:32
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	7	$2.4K	2,404	0	+2,404	Yes	+$26	07-31 00:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$2.4K	2,375	0	+2,375	No	+$4	10-08 11:02
will jo stevens be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533220	29	$2.4K	1,942	431	+1,510	No	+$21	07-28 18:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?	25	$2.3K	2,719	0	+2,719	No	-$13	08-16 22:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on August 6?	5	$2.3K	1,165	1,165	+0	No	+$2	08-06 14:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	28	$2.3K	2,416	153	+2,264	Yes	-$50	08-10 19:07
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 3?	5	$2.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	No	+$1	08-03 07:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 6?	1	$2.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	No	+$2	10-06 19:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 30?	10	$2.3K	1,135	1,135	+0	No	+$1	07-30 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	2	$2.1K	2,131	0	+2,131	Yes	+$2	10-24 11:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 5?	5	$2.1K	1,055	1,055	-0	No	+$4	08-05 04:08
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 5?	26	$2.1K	2,087	204	+1,883	No	+$16	08-05 22:55
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3?	22	$2.1K	2,024	572	+1,453	No	+$90	08-03 22:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?	50	$2.1K	2,208	0	+2,208	Yes	+$124	08-12 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x82e2ef…
10-29 02:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xab88f5…
10-29 02:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9f03d0…
10-29 02:11:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x37faa4…
10-29 02:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3ccda9…
10-29 02:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x74fc68…
10-29 01:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9cebd7…
10-29 01:56:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe86305…
10-29 01:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xad3167…
10-28 20:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x33ff14…
10-28 20:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x577071…
10-28 20:36:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe17257…
10-28 20:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6571e8…
10-28 19:51:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x15d0e0…
10-28 19:42:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbb02f5…
10-28 19:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xba541b…
10-28 19:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfa231f…
10-28 19:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1692bd…
10-28 19:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x60af85…
10-28 19:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	473	100¢	$472	0xad6aae…
10-28 19:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x324592…
10-28 19:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x4092d9…
10-28 19:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x363104…
10-28 19:05:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x0ff8a1…
10-28 19:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x9df39c…
10-28 19:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x89a2cf…
10-28 19:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0xd37b04…
10-28 19:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xff6b87…
10-28 19:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x67367c…
10-28 19:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 29?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x61345c…
10-28 19:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on October 29?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x3ef717…
10-28 19:02:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3803b4…
10-28 18:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x541ed6…
10-28 18:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x564d99…
10-28 18:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5e0ad0…
10-28 18:51:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf72917…
10-28 18:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x59ce16…
10-28 18:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x29eaf6…
10-28 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x15d780…
10-28 18:36:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9d863f…
10-28 18:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4b52c6…
10-28 18:31:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x675995…
10-28 18:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x88db24…
10-28 18:22:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3e3782…
10-28 18:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf58174…
10-28 18:16:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa4da45…
10-28 18:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb860d1…
10-28 18:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3750e2…
10-28 17:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd20e7c…
10-28 14:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x884dcd…
10-28 14:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf0c450…
10-28 14:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x24df0e…
10-28 14:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9ba642…
10-28 14:21:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf2ec63…
10-28 14:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2cca24…
10-28 14:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x79ac11…
10-28 13:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0527e2…
10-28 13:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa298c3…
10-28 13:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8bf379…
10-28 13:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4012ff…
10-28 12:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xad9d13…
10-28 12:35:08	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb66bce…
10-28 12:17:35	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x247136…
10-28 12:17:13	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0427d1…
10-28 12:16:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x49f781…
10-28 12:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x54820b…
10-28 12:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x98edbb…
10-28 12:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 28?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x09eee8…
10-28 12:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0xb7365b…
10-28 12:14:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x53f269…
10-28 12:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x7d64d8…
10-28 12:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x8931b2…
10-28 12:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	469	100¢	$469	0x5f3ecb…
10-28 12:13:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbabada…
10-28 12:12:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf38e03…
10-28 12:12:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b255e…
10-28 12:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x250179…
10-28 12:11:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x34d9a2…
10-28 12:11:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5c3a9…
10-28 12:11:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x2ff229…
10-28 09:00:07	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xcda04b…
10-28 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd5f599…
10-28 03:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x15c187…
10-28 03:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x469bc8…
10-28 03:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x672ca0…
10-28 03:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xcc4f02…
10-28 03:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x098e53…
10-28 03:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49acf4…
10-28 03:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1,573	99¢	$1,556	0x0c7f2a…
10-28 03:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7cc16d…
10-28 03:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	447	98¢	$436	0x8183e2…
10-28 03:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	472	100¢	$471	0x2d0ebe…
10-28 03:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	779	100¢	$778	0xcde196…
10-28 03:21:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 28?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x2c526a…
10-28 03:21:30	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on October 28?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$502	0x87b083…
10-28 03:21:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on October 28?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xac573e…
10-28 03:20:36	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xb22aa4…
10-28 03:20:31	Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x6fa53c…
10-28 03:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x67fafd…
10-28 03:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa96120…