Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$313

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

13,279

Trades

19,392

lifetime

Volume

$1.14M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$294

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 10-29 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

95% 91% -$58

Politics

4% 88% -$148

Crypto

1% 63% -$110

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% 33% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 410 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+205	$178	90¢	$184	+$7	08-17 14:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+93	$80	97¢	$90	+$10	09-04 22:41
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+363	$70	6¢	$20	-$50	08-11 21:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	25	$9.2K	4,857	4,607	+250	No	-$70	08-28 17:20
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 14?	9	$5.5K	5,470	0	+5,470	No	+$5	08-14 22:40
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	23	$3.8K	2,550	2,550	+0	No	-$99	08-01 19:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 30?	10	$3.6K	1,803	1,803	+0	No	+$30	07-30 12:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?	52	$3.2K	3,964	162	+3,802	Yes	+$458	08-07 19:21
will liz kendall be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533216	19	$3.2K	3,153	25	+3,128	No	+$19	07-29 13:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 4?	8	$2.9K	1,620	1,420	+200	No	-$1	08-04 09:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?	41	$2.9K	2,988	284	+2,704	Yes	+$58	08-17 19:19
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	3	$2.9K	1,500	1,475	+25	Yes	+$27	07-20 18:26
will catherine west be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533200	11	$2.8K	2,807	0	+2,807	No	+$4	07-29 17:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?	18	$2.7K	2,181	1,066	+1,116	No	+$16	08-07 21:58
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 5?	20	$2.7K	1,346	1,346	+0	No	+$2	08-05 04:06
will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by july 31 2026 20260626210612732	7	$2.7K	2,680	0	+2,680	No	+$5	08-04 11:58
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 5?	14	$2.5K	1,982	507	+1,475	No	-$1	08-05 17:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 29?	7	$2.4K	2,550	0	+2,550	Yes	-$48	08-29 22:54
will patrick vallance be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533223	13	$2.4K	2,406	0	+2,406	No	+$4	07-29 17:32
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	7	$2.4K	2,404	0	+2,404	Yes	+$26	07-31 00:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$2.4K	2,375	0	+2,375	No	+$4	10-08 11:02
will jo stevens be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533220	29	$2.4K	1,942	431	+1,510	No	+$21	07-28 18:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?	25	$2.3K	2,719	0	+2,719	No	-$13	08-16 22:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on August 6?	5	$2.3K	1,165	1,165	+0	No	+$2	08-06 14:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	28	$2.3K	2,416	153	+2,264	Yes	-$50	08-10 19:07
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 3?	5	$2.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	No	+$1	08-03 07:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 6?	1	$2.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	No	+$2	10-06 19:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 30?	10	$2.3K	1,135	1,135	+0	No	+$1	07-30 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	2	$2.1K	2,131	0	+2,131	Yes	+$2	10-24 11:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 5?	5	$2.1K	1,055	1,055	-0	No	+$4	08-05 04:08
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 5?	26	$2.1K	2,087	204	+1,883	No	+$16	08-05 22:55
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3?	22	$2.1K	2,024	572	+1,453	No	+$90	08-03 22:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?	50	$2.1K	2,208	0	+2,208	Yes	+$124	08-12 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x16babf…
10-29 22:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd65787…
10-29 22:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc4a4b1…
10-29 22:21:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x733ea6…
10-29 22:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x26722e…
10-29 22:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x854bc7…
10-29 22:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x53c585…
10-29 22:11:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1aee35…
10-29 22:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x04dcb5…
10-29 21:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd9f22b…
10-29 21:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5badbd…
10-29 21:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd27c4d…
10-29 21:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb1db82…
10-29 21:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf56bfb…
10-29 21:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5c4bba…
10-29 21:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x33d1f5…
10-29 21:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa22119…
10-29 21:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x988e35…
10-29 21:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8c7022…
10-29 21:21:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x02af04…
10-29 21:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2e1a89…
10-29 21:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5f8edf…
10-29 21:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf61cc3…
10-29 21:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe0acad…
10-29 21:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb1c5dc…
10-29 21:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x70bc01…
10-29 20:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5189f1…
10-29 20:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xed1e5a…
10-29 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x19874b…
10-29 20:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfe9af3…
10-29 20:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfce52b…
10-29 20:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbef140…
10-29 20:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbf35ce…
10-29 20:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x11b9b6…
10-29 20:22:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x470531…
10-29 20:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x20f443…
10-29 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x28faf2…
10-29 19:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6e4da9…
10-29 17:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0d0e1e…
10-29 17:51:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc01729…
10-29 17:32:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb74e15…
10-29 17:22:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc2f578…
10-29 17:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x81d178…
10-29 17:06:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf11d56…
10-29 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdde541…
10-29 16:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7c00a7…
10-29 16:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8c9b36…
10-29 16:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x564f3d…
10-29 16:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3ddbc8…
10-29 16:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x47cf79…
10-29 15:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf5fc18…
10-29 15:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb7eaa5…
10-29 15:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3e3e7b…
10-29 15:38:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0545b7…
10-29 15:16:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x586293…
10-29 15:01:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbb5105…
10-29 14:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcae3f8…
10-29 14:51:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc6b8eb…
10-29 14:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x840c92…
10-29 14:41:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb4abd2…
10-29 14:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x201a68…
10-29 14:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2a3e07…
10-29 14:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa47000…
10-29 14:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfa8bf5…
10-29 14:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3f4a88…
10-29 13:56:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x12d82a…
10-29 13:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x63f766…
10-29 13:46:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd4584f…
10-29 13:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xca553f…
10-29 13:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa1f8c9…
10-29 13:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3d40ec…
10-29 13:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x264474…
10-29 13:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf007a1…
10-29 13:12:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfdb054…
10-29 12:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x67a42b…
10-29 12:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2ffb0b…
10-29 11:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x00f57a…
10-29 11:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x785111…
10-29 11:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xd63c13…
10-29 11:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb4fc9d…
10-29 11:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 30?	No	BUY	468	100¢	$467	0x826ec0…
10-29 11:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xae9d6a…
10-29 11:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x56b03c…
10-29 11:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x1b2b2a…
10-29 11:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	563	100¢	$563	0xd521ef…
10-29 11:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	615	100¢	$615	0x9da1f7…
10-29 11:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92c002…
10-29 11:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	327	100¢	$326	0x5654ef…
10-29 11:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x8d43fb…
10-29 11:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$299	0x33b2d5…
10-29 11:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb1b47e…
10-29 11:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xfaa9fa…
10-29 10:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5e26da…
10-29 10:58:19	Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	490	100¢	$489	0xe13db8…
10-29 10:58:02	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0x234f0c…
10-29 09:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcd117d…
10-29 09:22:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1babe3…
10-29 09:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1c13bf…
10-29 03:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x82e2ef…
10-29 02:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xab88f5…