Inferior-Wash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.55K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

660

Trades

4,251

lifetime

Volume

$502.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Other

87% 75% -$1,804

Politics

6% 79% +$174

Crypto

6% 72% -$6,068

Sports

0% 6% -$850

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	39	$16.9K	12,600	6,000	+6,600	No	-$700	04-28 22:30
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 nan	17	$13.7K	9,665	5,951	+3,714	No	+$63	04-22 18:09
dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 lev	3	$11.8K	5,939	5,939	+0	No	+$39	04-22 20:49
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 ala	31	$11.4K	5,866	5,866	+0	No	+$349	04-21 21:13
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	14	$9.1K	4,547	4,547	+0	Yes	+$9	04-12 18:06
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	11	$8.3K	4,200	4,200	+0	No	+$54	02-28 07:11
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	18	$8.3K	4,204	4,204	+0	Yes	+$70	04-18 21:32
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-26?	17	$7.5K	6,010	3,000	+3,010	No	-$33	04-26 21:36
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 348	42	$7.1K	4,096	4,477	-381	Yes	-$343	01-14 18:51
lal cel ovi 2026 04 12 cel	2	$7.0K	3,521	3,521	+0	No	+$4	04-12 19:09
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	5	$6.8K	879	5,879	-5,000	Yes	-$5	04-22 17:12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$6.2K	6,200	0	+6,200	No	+$12	04-27 15:14
will mrbeasts latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6	33	$6.2K	6,300	2,592	+3,708	Yes	-$1,455	04-10 15:38
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?	4	$6.0K	7,199	0	+7,199	No	+$25	04-25 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	8	$6.0K	12,000	6,000	+6,000	No	+$54	04-28 13:28
lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	5	$5.8K	5,929	0	+5,929	No	+$84	04-22 21:10
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	16	$5.7K	3,300	3,260	+40	No	+$361	03-18 18:37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	6	$5.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	No	+$6	04-29 14:32
will mrbeasts next video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3	3	$5.1K	5,136	0	+5,136	No	+$16	04-07 08:38
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 draw	2	$5.1K	5,086	0	+5,086	No	+$5	04-21 21:32
will mrbeasts latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4	24	$4.9K	5,107	1,207	+3,900	No	+$318	04-08 11:20
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	2	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$250	04-22 06:54
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	11	$4.7K	5,705	1,000	+4,705	No	+$17	04-02 21:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	34	$4.7K	4,621	1,238	+3,383	Yes	-$298	04-06 15:50
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	1	$4.6K	0	4,600	-4,600	Yes	-$5	03-28 13:10
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-29?	6	$4.6K	4,602	0	+4,602	No	-$4,590	04-29 21:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	1	$4.6K	4,600	0	+4,600	No	+$47	03-28 05:37
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	3	$4.5K	2,266	2,266	+0	Yes	+$2	02-28 08:39
will mrbeasts next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1	3	$4.4K	4,400	0	+4,400	No	+$44	03-28 14:29
fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 lyo	20	$4.1K	4,149	0	+4,149	Yes	+$41	04-19 20:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:50:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x673bf7…
10-26 15:50:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5b5aff…
10-26 15:50:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5b1b37…
10-26 15:46:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe21c9c…
10-23 15:53:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd93b37…
10-22 20:13:32	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xb97108…
10-22 20:12:47	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x5d7e46…
10-22 20:12:21	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	286	99¢	$284	0xb735a5…
10-22 20:12:20	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$130	0x60ea96…
10-22 20:12:18	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	615	99¢	$611	0x1a6bf6…
10-22 11:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,193	100¢	$1,191	0x5d2960…
10-20 16:57:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x83995e…
10-20 16:50:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbbe193…
10-20 16:35:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xdb5de3…
10-20 16:20:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd032c2…
10-20 16:07:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$268	0xab6e90…
10-20 16:05:41	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d5593…
10-20 15:48:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22f2e0…
10-20 15:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0x59c0e9…
10-18 20:09:14	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1,185	99¢	$1,177	0x6df389…
10-15 20:09:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	601	1¢	$8	0x88a26e…
10-15 19:54:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0x3c3a6e…
10-15 06:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,166	99¢	$1,154	0xd46181…
10-13 15:45:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,165	100¢	$1,164	0x975258…
10-12 13:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x378dd9…
10-10 20:59:46	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	354	100¢	$354	0x472216…
10-10 20:57:55	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	366	100¢	$365	0x66d25b…
10-10 20:29:18	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	446	98¢	$438	0x17ce89…
10-10 14:53:57	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	250	94¢	$235	0x3d9d3f…
10-10 14:53:48	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x59acab…
10-10 06:43:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$3	0xa37863…
10-10 06:42:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xdaaf10…
10-10 00:51:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0xf00bfe…
10-09 15:40:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	444	0¢	$2	0xe565b3…
10-09 15:36:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0xdf5fd8…
10-09 09:21:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	0¢	$0	0x670d97…
10-09 05:51:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	693	1¢	$8	0x68cb59…
10-09 05:47:02	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	1¢	$2	0x22c248…
10-08 20:19:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	12¢	$6	0x0099e2…
10-08 20:19:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0xa6d80a…
10-08 20:19:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	12¢	$9	0xaa6329…
10-08 18:30:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	633	0¢	$2	0x09b1bf…
10-08 18:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x122839…
10-08 18:29:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	0¢	$1	0x829a3c…
10-08 17:20:20	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,090	0¢	$1	0x148e9f…
10-08 17:19:48	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,090	0¢	$1	0x6c0af2…
10-08 17:16:00	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	923	0¢	$1	0x9f0bde…
10-08 17:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,090	0¢	$3	0xd14be2…
10-08 17:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,090	0¢	$3	0xc59401…
10-08 17:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x80437e…
10-08 16:22:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x1a9c66…
10-08 16:12:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x4e7379…
10-08 15:38:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	0¢	$0	0x0448fc…
10-08 14:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$1	0x3d3748…
10-08 14:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xe99e2f…
10-08 14:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x576866…
10-08 14:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x03dbf2…
10-08 14:03:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	490	0¢	$0	0x6fdaf1…
10-08 14:03:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xcd90af…
10-08 14:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	435	0¢	$1	0xc9ccf9…
10-08 13:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	555	0¢	$1	0x11ccf7…
10-08 13:59:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x832514…
10-08 13:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x08a166…
10-08 13:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0xd46074…
10-08 13:58:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,046	0¢	$2	0x8c3f27…
10-08 13:58:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	567	0¢	$1	0x7abc01…
10-08 13:58:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	479	0¢	$1	0xb8c90f…
10-08 13:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,046	100¢	$1,044	0x69dfde…
10-07 15:50:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	970	0¢	$4	0x284adc…
10-07 15:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,070	0¢	$1	0xe3dea2…
10-07 14:59:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xf01296…
10-07 06:55:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0x9d5528…
10-06 15:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	998	100¢	$993	0xec8122…
10-06 15:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xa1de46…
10-05 07:21:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	0¢	$0	0x340384…
10-05 07:18:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xcfaa16…
10-05 07:10:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0x7d72c1…
10-05 07:10:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x533650…
10-05 07:03:53	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0b5b9a…
10-05 06:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	931	0¢	$1	0xcbcffc…
10-05 06:27:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0x6561ac…
10-05 06:08:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xda4831…
10-05 06:08:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x50b3b4…
10-05 06:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0fac34…
10-05 05:54:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	0¢	$0	0x2315a2…
10-05 05:51:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3ca3fa…
10-05 05:51:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	0¢	$0	0x0e9605…
10-05 05:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5409d6…
10-05 05:41:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x91694e…
10-05 05:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd6de9d…
10-05 05:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xd58d29…
10-05 05:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	0¢	$0	0xbd6a64…
10-05 05:40:58	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x6f0479…
10-05 05:36:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xd85d6f…
10-05 05:32:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x315aa9…
10-05 05:23:01	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7b3ab0…
10-05 05:22:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xa7e9de…
10-05 05:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3d3d50…
10-05 05:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xf7a1f0…
10-05 05:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xef2775…