Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$387

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

213

Trades

4,367

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$120

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-14

last 10-27 11:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

95% 36% +$332

Crypto

3% 36% +$87

Tech

1% 50% +$49

Sports

1% 0% -$78

Politics

0% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+4,783	$124	2¢	$120	-$5	10-27 11:27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No		+0	$1	32¢	$0	-$1	10-27 06:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	99	$648	768	768	+0	No	-$33	10-21 13:25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	54	$506	460	430	+30	No	+$19	10-05 08:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	49	$467	397	397	+0	Yes	-$42	10-19 11:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	43	$433	293	293	+0	Yes	-$16	10-23 07:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	90	$425	252	243	+9	No	-$2	06-29 10:02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	24	$404	245	245	+0	No	+$30	10-27 04:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	68	$385	587	430	+157	No	+$50	10-14 05:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	65	$377	192	192	-0	No	+$0	06-22 12:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	44	$348	332	124	+208	No	+$41	10-23 17:13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	58	$318	604	230	+374	No	+$219	10-13 04:43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	54	$305	305	305	+0	Yes	-$15	10-26 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	76	$305	627	627	+0	Yes	-$40	10-12 07:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	112	$303	304	298	+6	No	+$0	06-26 12:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	121	$281	335	335	+0	Yes	-$5	06-26 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	138	$279	478	478	+0	No	-$4	06-26 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	104	$265	320	320	+0	Yes	+$13	06-23 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	11	$254	140	140	+0	No	+$26	10-08 20:20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	27	$235	139	139	+0	No	+$6	10-22 12:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	50	$225	410	325	+85	No	+$30	10-24 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	18	$223	190	190	+0	Yes	+$12	10-20 10:39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	73	$204	217	204	+13	No	+$1	06-29 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	62	$201	185	174	+11	Yes	-$3	07-03 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	122	$199	507	477	+31	No	-$2	06-23 16:22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	82	$198	240	219	+21	Yes	-$4	06-30 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	56	$194	192	187	+5	No	-$1	06-30 06:42
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	48	$190	150	150	+0	No	-$1	06-27 03:59
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	40	$180	199	199	+0	Yes	-$3	10-17 10:10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	123	$179	344	327	+17	No	+$2	06-30 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	58	$173	204	180	+24	No	+$5	06-23 15:09
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	29	$169	293	12	+281	No	+$122	10-13 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:39:27	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xa99394…
10-27 11:27:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	937	3¢	$24	0x395e55…
10-27 11:25:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	3,846	3¢	$100	0xe38233…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf7b939…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xe4f32e…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xa62d97…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x9c3d20…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x8c280a…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x50141d…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1bb1a4…
10-27 09:59:21	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x858721…
10-27 09:59:21	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x5a6b6b…
10-27 09:59:21	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x495592…
10-27 09:57:50	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1f79d8…
10-27 09:52:08	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9a2219…
10-27 09:51:39	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xa0b90e…
10-27 09:21:41	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x5fdbd2…
10-27 07:54:59	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x2d66b2…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xe99cab…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xcd950a…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x4b6b71…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x4a5d6f…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0f63ba…
10-27 06:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	12	38¢	$4	0x0ecc7b…
10-27 05:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x9f5fe9…
10-27 05:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0xda8d2c…
10-27 05:04:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xdbe5ff…
10-27 05:02:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x0c902f…
10-27 05:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xafe227…
10-27 05:00:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xe726b2…
10-27 04:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xa4f95a…
10-27 04:47:23	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	3¢	$6	0x730036…
10-27 04:35:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x00b459…
10-27 04:34:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xccdf96…
10-27 04:10:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xd6c8d1…
10-27 04:03:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x457571…
10-27 04:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	166	99¢	$165	0x1ed730…
10-27 04:02:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x91a7ad…
10-27 03:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x69896a…
10-27 03:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x5f787e…
10-27 03:48:03	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x168170…
10-27 03:45:56	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x5dd6bd…
10-27 02:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x7a1639…
10-27 01:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xbe1afa…
10-27 00:35:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x70da82…
10-26 23:36:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x835d7e…
10-26 22:46:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xfc0525…
10-26 22:36:18	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x8e9bd4…
10-26 22:33:14	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x03fd32…
10-26 21:28:17	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5bf615…
10-26 21:18:48	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe0cf1a…
10-26 21:15:23	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb3ef48…
10-26 21:15:23	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8d5887…
10-26 21:15:23	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x577cad…
10-26 21:15:23	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2a9fec…
10-26 21:15:23	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1800a8…
10-26 21:11:18	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x197763…
10-26 21:10:03	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x82639d…
10-26 20:59:35	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xccfde7…
10-26 20:59:35	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc089c2…
10-26 20:59:35	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5e7398…
10-26 20:59:35	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5de2dc…
10-26 20:59:35	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4c36e1…
10-26 20:57:06	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x95dbd1…
10-26 20:57:06	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x93889f…
10-26 20:57:06	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5a6867…
10-26 20:57:06	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4d11e7…
10-26 20:57:06	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1354e7…
10-26 20:54:32	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe4a0d4…
10-26 20:54:32	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7272a0…
10-26 20:54:32	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x66080a…
10-26 20:54:32	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x306091…
10-26 20:54:32	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0b9916…
10-26 20:06:03	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xcf8944…
10-26 19:49:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xe79947…
10-26 18:55:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0xb20aab…
10-26 18:55:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x57f061…
10-26 18:16:17	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x377d2a…
10-26 18:00:32	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x86a47d…
10-26 17:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x4df3bc…
10-26 17:38:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x9d01e7…
10-26 17:38:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x1b58e0…
10-26 17:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaff5a6…
10-26 17:04:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x25ca80…
10-26 17:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x58abe8…
10-26 17:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0xd34225…
10-26 17:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x42624a…
10-26 16:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x4a2900…
10-26 16:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xbb96d4…
10-26 16:45:14	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x622408…
10-26 16:44:08	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xce4f4a…
10-26 16:23:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xc8b824…
10-26 16:20:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xae6f2c…
10-26 16:19:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x5c35bb…
10-26 16:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x9e849f…
10-26 15:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0xd23abc…
10-26 15:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x725d4c…
10-26 15:07:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xa28042…
10-26 14:53:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x5e1e1a…
10-26 13:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x95e5f0…