Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$318

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

44.0%

Resolved

219

Trades

4,421

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$130

1 position

First seen

2026-06-14

last 10-27 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

95% 35% +$271

Crypto

3% 35% +$79

Tech

1% 50% +$49

Sports

0% 0% -$78

Politics

0% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+4,571	$116	3¢	$130	+$14	10-27 21:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	99	$648	768	768	+0	No	-$33	10-21 13:25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	54	$506	460	430	+30	No	+$19	10-05 08:50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	31	$478	387	276	+111	open	—	10-27 18:29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	49	$467	397	397	+0	Yes	-$42	10-19 11:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	43	$433	293	293	+0	Yes	-$16	10-23 07:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	90	$425	252	243	+9	No	-$2	06-29 10:02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	24	$404	245	245	+0	No	+$30	10-27 04:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	68	$385	587	430	+157	No	+$50	10-14 05:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	65	$377	192	192	-0	No	+$0	06-22 12:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	44	$348	332	124	+208	No	+$41	10-23 17:13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	58	$318	604	230	+374	No	+$219	10-13 04:43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	54	$305	305	305	+0	Yes	-$15	10-26 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	76	$305	627	627	+0	Yes	-$40	10-12 07:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	112	$303	304	298	+6	No	+$0	06-26 12:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	121	$281	335	335	+0	Yes	-$5	06-26 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	138	$279	478	478	+0	No	-$4	06-26 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	104	$265	320	320	+0	Yes	+$13	06-23 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	11	$254	140	140	+0	No	+$26	10-08 20:20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	27	$235	139	139	+0	No	+$6	10-22 12:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	50	$225	410	325	+85	No	+$30	10-24 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	18	$223	190	190	+0	Yes	+$12	10-20 10:39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	73	$204	217	204	+13	No	+$1	06-29 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	62	$201	185	174	+11	Yes	-$3	07-03 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	122	$199	507	477	+31	No	-$2	06-23 16:22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	82	$198	240	219	+21	Yes	-$4	06-30 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	56	$194	192	187	+5	No	-$1	06-30 06:42
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	48	$190	150	150	+0	No	-$1	06-27 03:59
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	40	$180	199	199	+0	Yes	-$3	10-17 10:10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	123	$179	344	327	+17	No	+$2	06-30 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	58	$173	204	180	+24	No	+$5	06-23 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:01:11	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x8849c4…
10-27 21:41:50	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	211	4¢	$8	0x5d3a52…
10-27 20:01:18	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x9b79fa…
10-27 19:18:30	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8c807b…
10-27 18:33:59	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xa77c34…
10-27 18:29:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x06095e…
10-27 18:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xaaaffe…
10-27 18:25:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x5fe16e…
10-27 18:20:23	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x4e02f1…
10-27 18:20:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x57ab6b…
10-27 18:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$13	0x5dfde9…
10-27 18:17:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$11	0xeb430b…
10-27 18:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xb7da02…
10-27 18:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	26	75¢	$20	0xdd5949…
10-27 18:02:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0xcd9ee7…
10-27 17:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	34	77¢	$26	0x38d75a…
10-27 17:54:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x982063…
10-27 17:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	29	76¢	$22	0x96f7b8…
10-27 17:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xba8ea3…
10-27 17:27:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$21	0xb778dd…
10-27 17:25:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$23	0xd90f3b…
10-27 17:24:42	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x1ec09d…
10-27 17:11:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x234294…
10-27 17:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xdd7163…
10-27 17:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xeaff8a…
10-27 17:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0x8bda3c…
10-27 17:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	34	70¢	$24	0x9886bc…
10-27 17:02:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x64a7d1…
10-27 16:56:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xd80c5b…
10-27 16:31:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x8944fa…
10-27 16:27:18	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xf849c3…
10-27 16:12:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0xd8467f…
10-27 16:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	21	64¢	$14	0x461dac…
10-27 16:09:09	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xa14086…
10-27 16:04:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x38b0cf…
10-27 15:57:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x8f259b…
10-27 15:20:20	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x179975…
10-27 15:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x98d6fb…
10-27 15:03:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x99cf5d…
10-27 15:03:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x379a68…
10-27 15:03:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xf600b4…
10-27 14:46:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x0520d0…
10-27 14:27:24	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd9e6ed…
10-27 14:14:27	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd2b900…
10-27 13:50:17	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5b4d5f…
10-27 13:37:50	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x443e61…
10-27 13:37:48	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x97aa47…
10-27 13:37:48	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x94839d…
10-27 13:37:48	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x69b5b5…
10-27 13:12:03	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	369	1¢	$4	0x5ecbf7…
10-27 13:02:18	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x52f12f…
10-27 11:39:27	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xa99394…
10-27 11:27:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	937	3¢	$24	0x395e55…
10-27 11:25:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	3,846	3¢	$100	0xe38233…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf7b939…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xe4f32e…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xa62d97…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x9c3d20…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x8c280a…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x50141d…
10-27 11:19:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1bb1a4…
10-27 09:59:21	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x858721…
10-27 09:59:21	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x5a6b6b…
10-27 09:59:21	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x495592…
10-27 09:57:50	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1f79d8…
10-27 09:52:08	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9a2219…
10-27 09:51:39	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xa0b90e…
10-27 09:21:41	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x5fdbd2…
10-27 07:54:59	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x2d66b2…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xe99cab…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xcd950a…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x4b6b71…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x4a5d6f…
10-27 07:54:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0f63ba…
10-27 06:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	12	38¢	$4	0x0ecc7b…
10-27 05:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x9f5fe9…
10-27 05:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0xda8d2c…
10-27 05:04:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xdbe5ff…
10-27 05:02:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x0c902f…
10-27 05:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xafe227…
10-27 05:00:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xe726b2…
10-27 04:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xa4f95a…
10-27 04:47:23	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	3¢	$6	0x730036…
10-27 04:35:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x00b459…
10-27 04:34:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xccdf96…
10-27 04:10:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xd6c8d1…
10-27 04:03:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x457571…
10-27 04:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	166	99¢	$165	0x1ed730…
10-27 04:02:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x91a7ad…
10-27 03:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x69896a…
10-27 03:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x5f787e…
10-27 03:48:03	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x168170…
10-27 03:45:56	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x5dd6bd…
10-27 02:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x7a1639…
10-27 01:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xbe1afa…
10-27 00:35:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x70da82…
10-26 23:36:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x835d7e…
10-26 22:46:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xfc0525…
10-26 22:36:18	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x8e9bd4…
10-26 22:33:14	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x03fd32…