Hairy-Sensibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-31 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

58% 88% +$15

Politics

26% 67% -$20

Tech

9% 100% +$6

Sports

7% 88% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$94	70	70	+0	Yes	-$5	04-15 23:25
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$86	45	45	+0	No	$0	07-06 02:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	5	$84	46	46	+0	No	+$7	10-22 05:51
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$73	130	130	+0	No	-$7	04-15 18:24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$70	39	39	+0	No	+$1	10-14 17:18
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$67	62	153	-90	Yes	+$24	06-15 15:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$64	33	33	+0	Yes	+$2	06-26 21:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$1	06-01 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$59	33	33	+0	No	+$5	10-14 04:11
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	10-26 23:18
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	4	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	10-29 17:29
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$2	10-26 20:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$1	10-28 23:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	9	$54	30	30	+0	Yes	+$3	07-12 06:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	3	$53	28	28	+0	Yes	+$1	09-24 01:25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	2	$53	40	40	+0	No	+$7	07-12 01:14
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	3	$52	55	55	+0	No	-$23	07-15 20:49
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$51	30	30	+0	No	+$9	10-08 16:56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$49	26	26	+0	No	+$1	10-23 17:11
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$2	10-07 14:31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$43	30	30	+0	No	+$5	10-07 17:09
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	4	$42	27	27	+0	Yes	+$8	07-09 21:41
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	1	$41	50	0	+50	Yes	+$9	07-06 02:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	08-12 18:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	07-28 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-29 03:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	3	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$2	10-15 04:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 15:22
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$1	10-29 22:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	3	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-21 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:29:31	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xb0291b…
10-31 16:29:31	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x79b396…
10-31 16:28:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xee3a14…
10-29 22:55:51	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x483583…
10-29 19:02:15	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xa1ab42…
10-29 19:00:40	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xd91897…
10-29 19:00:40	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xa9246c…
10-29 19:00:40	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x63e070…
10-29 17:29:41	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc36b1c…
10-29 15:22:25	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8c49e3…
10-29 15:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x287010…
10-29 14:35:14	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x973001…
10-29 03:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x43c5e8…
10-29 03:19:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x32ee3b…
10-28 23:42:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x18a452…
10-28 00:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa52ede…
10-28 00:21:15	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x59d6e2…
10-28 00:21:05	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xdde042…
10-27 03:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x7ad116…
10-27 03:41:38	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xebf51a…
10-26 23:18:20	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5601ab…
10-26 23:18:20	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x0d8073…
10-26 22:04:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xfa8ff5…
10-26 21:58:21	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe0383b…
10-26 20:53:14	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x531427…
10-26 15:22:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x4d3f5e…
10-26 15:19:47	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xca5cbc…
10-26 14:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5a9374…
10-26 14:39:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa5dc95…
10-25 06:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x6814da…
10-25 01:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9e07d9…
10-24 14:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xc0d34b…
10-23 20:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x26e772…
10-23 17:22:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xcbb9e4…
10-23 17:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x3becb7…
10-23 03:31:53	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x98ff5b…
10-22 22:18:06	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x31f22e…
10-22 17:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x0d5922…
10-22 16:42:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa7f54d…
10-22 15:37:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5d5794…
10-22 15:19:57	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xdbac21…
10-22 15:14:20	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xcefa30…
10-22 07:55:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd4578d…
10-22 06:19:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf2b75e…
10-22 05:56:34	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9343ca…
10-22 05:51:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x68e2f6…
10-22 00:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x82199c…
10-21 17:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2af855…
10-21 17:50:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa35fe4…
10-20 14:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x7c57a6…
10-20 14:39:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2ce8cf…
10-20 14:39:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x686e6e…
10-15 17:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x3efead…
10-15 04:07:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xbffa53…
10-15 04:07:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x47ba47…
10-15 04:06:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x57653e…
10-15 04:06:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x2b9e3b…
10-15 04:06:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xadd170…
10-14 22:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xea8069…
10-14 21:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xf2e16c…
10-14 20:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x691116…
10-14 17:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xfd7241…
10-14 04:32:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x451db2…
10-14 04:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x6b147a…
10-14 01:19:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xee61a4…
10-13 22:46:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x797ff5…
10-13 22:39:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x7821e8…
10-12 18:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x079b6a…
10-12 17:14:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xed1b46…
10-12 00:15:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0xcfb847…
10-12 00:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8485e3…
10-10 15:00:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xbaa725…
10-10 14:57:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x945b75…
10-09 16:52:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x21f236…
10-09 15:46:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x727c62…
10-09 13:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0x0126eb…
10-09 13:22:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x372876…
10-09 13:17:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x76ec80…
10-09 00:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x76fd1b…
10-09 00:12:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x1b4b4c…
10-08 16:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe8c843…
10-07 20:12:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x620102…
10-07 17:09:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x2f659c…
10-07 17:09:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x825019…
10-07 16:59:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x4a2a67…
10-07 14:58:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xce50c8…
10-07 14:31:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x996751…
10-06 18:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x6cd333…
10-04 15:05:56	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xe43126…
09-24 01:25:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xf5d117…
09-23 04:04:23	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc082ba…
09-22 15:55:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x27fda1…
08-31 15:48:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x40afc9…
08-12 18:01:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x29e491…
08-12 18:01:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x249f4d…
08-04 16:10:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4930c6…
07-28 15:59:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0xbb8822…
07-24 15:44:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x95807f…
07-17 14:07:24	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc8799b…
07-15 20:49:02	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	No	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0x810971…