Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

1,148

Trades

2,249

lifetime

Volume

$220.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$116

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-20

last 10-26 23:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

77% 97% +$1,165

Politics

18% 98% +$256

Tech

3% 100% +$20

Crypto

1% 89% -$139

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	+100	$90	98¢	$98	+$8	10-17 10:27
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+17	$15	94¢	$16	+$1	10-19 04:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$4	32¢	$2	-$3	10-13 22:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	6	$2.8K	1,402	1,402	+0	No	+$3	10-09 09:25
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?	13	$2.6K	2,675	0	+2,675	Yes	+$40	10-08 20:53
will metas watermelon model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60pct or higher	7	$2.6K	1,892	708	+1,184	No	+$3	10-14 20:12
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	8	$2.4K	2,423	0	+2,423	No	+$6	10-20 20:44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$2.4K	2,380	0	+2,380	No	+$3	10-16 02:58
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	25	$2.2K	2,285	0	+2,285	Yes	+$85	10-19 15:31
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	2	$2.2K	2,180	0	+2,180	Yes	+$2	10-07 11:00
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	6	$2.2K	1,105	1,105	+0	No	+$56	10-01 07:42
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	18	$2.1K	2,094	0	+2,094	Yes	+$9	10-16 19:04
Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?	2	$2.0K	2,050	0	+2,050	Yes	+$2	10-18 07:52
Will Xi leave the USA on September 25, 2026?	12	$2.0K	996	996	+0	Yes	+$6	09-26 02:27
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	6	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$1	10-09 09:08
Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	7	$1.7K	1,735	0	+1,735	Yes	+$13	10-09 09:41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	8	$1.7K	1,150	580	+570	No	+$23	10-06 17:45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	5	$1.7K	1,700	0	+1,700	No	+$2	10-07 15:27
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	8	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	Yes	+$6	10-11 16:44
will xi jinping visit us by september 23	5	$1.6K	1,592	0	+1,592	Yes	+$3	09-23 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 5?	6	$1.6K	783	783	+0	No	+$3	10-05 19:21
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,000	500	+500	No	+$0	10-09 09:27
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	12	$1.5K	1,511	0	+1,511	Yes	+$43	10-13 13:32
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	2	$1.4K	1,446	0	+1,446	Yes	+$1	10-19 02:01
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.4K	1,424	0	+1,424	No	+$1	10-05 11:30
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	12	$1.4K	1,407	0	+1,407	Yes	+$7	10-13 16:07
Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5?	2	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	Yes	+$1	10-06 18:43
Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 18, 2026?	8	$1.4K	999	448	+551	No	+$72	10-12 19:26
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 4, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,426	0	+1,426	No	+$59	10-04 16:33
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 6?	7	$1.4K	1,393	0	+1,393	Yes	+$32	10-06 18:13
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	4	$1.3K	1,273	0	+1,273	No	+$3	10-01 08:28
Will the biggest earthquake on October 6, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	3	$1.3K	1,253	0	+1,253	No	+$2	10-07 18:20
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	9	$1.2K	1,260	0	+1,260	No	+$16	10-10 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:07:14	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x739c4f…
10-23 05:52:03	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	85	85¢	$72	0x9df36c…
10-23 05:52:02	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	97	85¢	$83	0x81fb07…
10-22 04:55:35	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xdc5d76…
10-20 22:02:57	will xagusd reach 58 in october 2026 from october 20	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xac1cab…
10-20 21:03:11	Will Netflix say "World Cup" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa4b9e6…
10-20 20:44:20	Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	326	100¢	$325	0xe18f5a…
10-20 19:59:59	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x065871…
10-20 19:58:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xaebf04…
10-20 19:58:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 20?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2ec2de…
10-20 19:51:44	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x78764a…
10-20 19:48:35	Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x7850e6…
10-20 19:46:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 20?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xe5af3f…
10-20 19:41:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb06f70…
10-20 19:41:29	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 20?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x8041f8…
10-20 19:38:03	Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd3d8f1…
10-20 19:35:00	Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	411	100¢	$410	0xd81a4e…
10-20 19:19:44	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xbe1bf7…
10-20 19:02:35	Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xbecda8…
10-20 18:58:17	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b920a…
10-20 18:55:05	Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	442	100¢	$441	0x57611f…
10-20 18:52:44	Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xf06967…
10-20 18:49:03	Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0xb0d613…
10-20 18:47:50	Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$329	0xe612a6…
10-20 18:47:24	Will Trump say "Greenland" this week?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa22d7e…
10-20 18:45:23	will trumps midterm rally in south carolina not air october 21	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x046d89…
10-20 18:25:42	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x02ae4b…
10-20 18:25:39	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x823c20…
10-20 18:21:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 20?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x0d9d77…
10-20 18:21:20	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf3e044…
10-20 18:20:08	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 on October 20?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x116dc4…
10-20 18:18:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb6627…
10-20 18:18:18	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x718743…
10-20 18:17:29	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc6f781…
10-20 18:17:12	Will Trump say "Pirate" this week?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe99541…
10-20 18:04:48	Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5f0f34…
10-20 18:00:23	Will Zohran Mamdani say "NYPD" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x09e10a…
10-20 17:57:41	Will Meta (META) close above $720 on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa37be7…
10-20 17:56:56	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xdb35a9…
10-20 17:55:26	Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x92401e…
10-20 17:55:20	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x296550…
10-20 17:55:00	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdaacbb…
10-20 17:54:54	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x692e34…
10-20 17:53:57	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x227d11…
10-20 17:53:53	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbfa69b…
10-20 17:53:42	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Budget" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x15236f…
10-20 17:53:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x1de4f3…
10-20 17:52:57	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Budget" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xe2f215…
10-20 17:52:27	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x91d13a…
10-20 17:51:54	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Budget" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd05871…
10-20 17:51:47	Will Zohran Mamdani say "NYPD" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd0c5a7…
10-20 17:51:29	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xa96672…
10-20 17:51:24	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x162f99…
10-20 17:51:06	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Budget" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x87fba3…
10-20 17:50:50	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x385745…
10-20 17:50:45	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xcce8ef…
10-20 17:50:38	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x196d7e…
10-20 17:50:26	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x7da7f6…
10-20 17:50:11	Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	299	99¢	$296	0x936b12…
10-20 17:50:06	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf19b8a…
10-20 17:43:47	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc73206…
10-20 17:39:45	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfc98ea…
10-20 17:39:45	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7c1752…
10-20 17:39:45	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x07dc45…
10-20 17:39:35	Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6bb0e8…
10-20 17:39:21	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x2c02e7…
10-20 17:39:00	Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x404fcc…
10-20 17:38:35	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6ef235…
10-20 17:38:15	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x46d9b8…
10-20 17:31:32	Will no Rogan episode air?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1cca12…
10-20 17:31:29	Will no Rogan episode air?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x73b79f…
10-20 17:28:47	Will no Rogan episode air?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xfbceed…
10-20 17:18:44	Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0xc14898…
10-20 17:18:35	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Budget" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x35ef76…
10-20 17:12:41	Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	195	99¢	$193	0x8768c4…
10-20 17:03:54	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf9e7a3…
10-20 16:57:08	will meta dip to 690 by october 19 2026 from october 20	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x237943…
10-20 16:52:36	Will Meta (META) close above $730 on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x472a71…
10-20 16:47:26	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xcd25ba…
10-20 16:47:17	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xc0d18f…
10-20 16:46:54	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Family" during his next livestream?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc7df2b…
10-20 16:45:53	Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5c8b44…
10-20 16:45:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf6c303…
10-20 16:45:14	Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x478d88…
10-20 16:44:54	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Budget" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x8aa38c…
10-20 16:23:20	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Budget" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x80671a…
10-20 16:23:17	Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x785db5…
10-20 16:09:14	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x50ca64…
10-20 16:08:05	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8f26e9…
10-20 16:07:59	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe2ebbc…
10-20 16:07:50	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x93f889…
10-20 16:07:36	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xdbce64…
10-20 16:07:27	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xdfcb23…
10-20 16:07:18	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$134	0xf9f45f…
10-20 16:07:11	Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0x3c3490…
10-20 16:07:05	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0x27a60c…
10-20 16:07:00	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xc2d981…
10-20 16:06:51	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$134	0x9c4133…
10-20 16:06:45	Will Zohran Mamdani say "NYPD" during his next livestream?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0x196eff…
10-20 16:05:21	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x80648e…