Full-Extent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$617

Unrealized P&L

+$40

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

836

Trades

15,939

lifetime

Volume

$181.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$308

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-28 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Other

59% 31% +$124

Politics

32% 53% -$1,144

Sports

8% 80% +$343

Tech

1% 43% +$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+227	$89	82¢	$186	+$97	10-06 12:40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	+415	$84	18¢	$75	-$9	10-21 22:01
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+188	$40	19¢	$36	-$4	10-21 13:13
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	+590	$54	2¢	$10	-$44	10-28 04:52
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	+5	$2	34¢	$2	+$0	10-28 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	713	$11.9K	22,516	22,516	+0	No	+$269	06-14 03:28
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	129	$7.6K	9,600	9,600	+0	Yes	-$589	05-13 07:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	317	$7.6K	46,947	31,959	+14,988	Yes	-$1,599	06-17 20:10
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	273	$5.2K	14,966	14,966	+0	No	-$725	05-13 10:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	203	$4.7K	7,048	7,048	+0	Yes	+$612	06-02 14:16
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	37	$3.9K	3,143	2,742	+401	No	-$79	07-27 12:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	32	$2.6K	8,564	8,564	+0	Yes	+$9	06-17 16:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	32	$2.4K	1,827	1,827	+0	Yes	+$122	06-20 13:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	41	$2.2K	3,478	3,478	+0	No	-$122	06-05 00:22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	75	$2.1K	2,667	2,280	+387	Yes	+$1,391	07-29 14:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$2.1K	1,423	1,200	+223	No	+$125	05-31 00:03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	29	$2.1K	1,285	1,285	-0	Yes	+$455	10-07 15:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	17	$1.7K	1,150	1,150	+0	No	+$158	05-31 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	42	$1.5K	1,469	1,469	+0	Yes	+$39	06-23 17:37
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	34	$1.4K	1,132	1,132	+0	Yes	+$814	07-28 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	16	$1.4K	874	874	+0	Yes	+$310	07-31 15:40
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	49	$1.4K	1,993	1,993	+0	Yes	-$97	06-20 22:59
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	146	$1.3K	2,122	2,241	-118	Yes	+$164	03-18 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	99	$1.3K	5,422	2,553	+2,868	No	-$296	06-01 15:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	31	$1.3K	1,470	1,470	+0	Yes	+$159	06-11 23:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	9	$1.3K	699	699	+0	Yes	+$117	09-18 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	127	$1.2K	5,824	5,559	+264	No	+$451	06-12 15:46
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	86	$1.2K	3,883	3,883	+0	No	+$9	06-18 11:17
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	23	$1.2K	967	1,017	-50	No	+$302	05-22 19:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	6	$1.2K	609	609	+0	Yes	+$40	07-15 14:31
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	84	$1.2K	1,589	1,589	+0	Yes	+$56	06-11 03:18
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	143	$1.2K	4,439	4,752	-314	No	-$52	03-20 10:26
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	24	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	-$12	05-20 01:52
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	46	$1.1K	807	807	+0	Yes	+$413	10-14 10:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	13	$1.1K	759	460	+299	Yes	+$62	06-29 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:25:34	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x525361…
10-28 04:52:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x761ad7…
10-28 04:52:43	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x6939e5…
10-28 04:23:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$6	0x015f89…
10-28 00:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x841b34…
10-27 23:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x17264a…
10-27 15:44:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x534f0a…
10-27 15:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xbf7905…
10-27 15:38:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x22c2ad…
10-27 15:25:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0xf943d4…
10-27 15:23:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xfe7661…
10-27 15:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0ba2c3…
10-27 15:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x515b2a…
10-27 15:21:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0xfb75ad…
10-27 15:17:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0x152aa5…
10-27 15:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xe1777a…
10-27 15:08:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x96f313…
10-27 15:08:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x53d0e5…
10-27 15:08:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8a9f91…
10-27 15:07:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6035b0…
10-27 15:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$17	0x30661d…
10-27 15:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x8aac98…
10-27 15:06:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x790309…
10-27 15:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x70d483…
10-27 15:06:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0x6cae85…
10-27 15:06:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0xf9bc1b…
10-27 15:06:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x12d48f…
10-27 15:06:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xae4f47…
10-27 15:06:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x55ebf7…
10-27 15:06:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x0a9d5a…
10-27 15:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0xa23eb4…
10-27 15:05:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0xdda99b…
10-27 15:05:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x73f563…
10-27 15:05:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x1b47b1…
10-27 15:04:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x31423a…
10-27 15:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xe53134…
10-27 15:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3ac428…
10-27 15:03:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x73e16d…
10-27 15:03:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x098080…
10-27 15:03:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0xad93dc…
10-27 14:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xf92224…
10-27 14:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xd1a3aa…
10-27 14:31:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0xa70a14…
10-27 14:30:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x88a319…
10-27 13:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x1b3e6d…
10-27 13:23:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x4c5cb5…
10-27 10:53:30	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xd5a996…
10-27 08:05:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x79c569…
10-27 06:35:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xf84cf2…
10-27 02:53:12	Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x49e019…
10-27 00:36:03	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	141	83¢	$117	0x13ce48…
10-27 00:35:11	Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0xd51068…
10-27 00:34:54	Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xf0831b…
10-27 00:33:36	Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	205	1¢	$2	0xff64e1…
10-27 00:33:24	Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	137	2¢	$2	0xf00daf…
10-27 00:21:06	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0xb61c7c…
10-26 23:22:24	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	91¢	$34	0x571fc3…
10-26 18:18:11	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x5d06ea…
10-26 16:07:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x146e43…
10-26 16:04:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x242c01…
10-26 15:23:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0x67f2fe…
10-26 15:17:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x315505…
10-26 15:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x7946a6…
10-26 15:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc1c5c3…
10-26 03:04:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x891391…
10-26 03:04:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x37fd34…
10-25 17:42:48	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x378d2d…
10-25 17:38:47	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xa25452…
10-25 17:38:18	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x15a6b8…
10-25 09:42:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xc87462…
10-24 21:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x1b6c3f…
10-24 14:30:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	5¢	$4	0xcfabe3…
10-24 14:30:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x26f260…
10-24 14:30:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x6d44ce…
10-24 12:02:26	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	160	4¢	$7	0x4be11c…
10-23 15:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	788	0¢	$3	0x3407b8…
10-23 15:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xffecd6…
10-23 15:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	266	1¢	$3	0xb79e85…
10-23 15:53:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0x24a6d6…
10-23 15:53:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x2b77d9…
10-23 15:53:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0xd93b37…
10-23 15:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	94¢	$182	0x349d2f…
10-23 15:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x10b9c3…
10-23 15:47:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xeafbaa…
10-23 15:47:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x587453…
10-23 15:47:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x768875…
10-23 15:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd6b512…
10-23 15:46:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xffee39…
10-23 15:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	91¢	$117	0x292d00…
10-23 15:41:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x2b6194…
10-23 15:41:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xa0aed2…
10-23 15:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x582466…
10-23 15:38:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3a346d…
10-23 15:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	38¢	$13	0xc0fed0…
10-23 15:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0x6432dc…
10-23 15:31:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb47e94…
10-23 15:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xebf1ac…
10-23 15:30:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0d7ec4…
10-23 15:27:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0x5f9a18…
10-23 15:14:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xfadc9a…