Classic-Dial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.86K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

1,417

Trades

1,872

lifetime

Volume

$71.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$515

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-13 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

58% 93% +$216

Crypto

39% 68% -$3,128

Politics

2% 96% +$114

Tech

1% 71% -$60

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+164	$160	93¢	$153	-$7	11-08 19:00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+111	$106	96¢	$107	+$1	11-13 17:44
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+95	$94	100¢	$94	+$0	11-12 08:21
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+74	$73	99¢	$73	$0	11-11 07:29
elon musk of tweets november 13 november 20 2026 220 239	No	+76	$71	86¢	$65	-$6	11-10 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+27	$26	86¢	$23	-$3	11-07 17:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:30 UTC	3	$2.4K	3,086	1,726	+1,360	Up	-$251	02-06 17:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 14:30 UTC	6	$2.1K	3,093	2,534	+559	Up	-$1,332	02-05 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 15:30 UTC	2	$855	1,228	0	+1,228	Down	+$373	02-04 15:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:15 UTC	4	$793	945	0	+945	Up	-$793	02-03 14:27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	5	$750	376	376	+0	No	+$2	10-08 16:17
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$730	375	375	+0	No	+$18	10-08 06:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:00 UTC	3	$700	1,101	0	+1,101	Down	+$401	02-05 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 13:45 UTC	2	$700	1,547	0	+1,547	Down	+$847	02-04 13:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 09:15 UTC	1	$600	1,067	0	+1,067	Down	+$467	02-07 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 09:45 UTC	2	$590	943	0	+943	Down	+$353	02-06 09:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 11:30 UTC	1	$570	924	0	+924	Up	-$570	02-08 11:30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	7	$537	417	122	+295	No	+$2	10-11 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:30 UTC	1	$520	1,083	0	+1,083	Down	+$563	02-03 19:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	4	$517	263	263	+0	No	+$9	10-27 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 13:30 UTC	1	$505	958	0	+958	Down	-$505	02-04 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:30 UTC	1	$500	847	0	+847	Down	+$347	02-03 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:15 UTC	2	$500	1,121	0	+1,121	Up	-$500	02-06 17:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 11:15 UTC	1	$490	876	0	+876	Up	-$490	02-08 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 14:15 UTC	1	$470	920	0	+920	Up	-$470	02-05 14:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$459	731	500	+231	Yes	+$90	04-30 16:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 15:45 UTC	1	$438	800	0	+800	Down	+$362	02-02 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	4	$416	253	253	+0	No	+$16	08-27 17:53
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$411	211	211	+0	No	+$9	10-08 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	3	$410	211	211	+0	No	+$10	07-25 07:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 08:15 UTC	1	$404	708	0	+708	Down	+$304	02-02 08:14
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be less than 36m?	2	$401	202	202	+0	No	+$1	07-19 16:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	4	$382	251	138	+112	No	+$6	10-05 10:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$328	169	169	+0	No	+$10	10-08 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$310	326	0	+326	No	+$16	10-01 08:34
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	3	$303	205	103	+103	No	+$5	09-05 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 17:44:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	111	96¢	$106	0xe8ae69…
11-13 07:11:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x198e12…
11-12 08:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xce4658…
11-12 08:20:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	107	62¢	$66	0x33faf2…
11-12 08:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	45	67¢	$30	0x0705f0…
11-11 07:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x7abdca…
11-10 07:57:58	elon musk of tweets november 13 november 20 2026 220 239	No	BUY	76	94¢	$71	0x200d0b…
11-09 17:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xca2c40…
11-09 17:07:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x9cae32…
11-09 17:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x29db25…
11-09 09:33:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0xaaf79a…
11-09 09:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x3fb900…
11-09 07:08:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc82669…
11-08 19:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x7d1063…
11-08 07:25:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0xe71091…
11-07 17:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x1aba79…
11-07 17:56:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xa4e514…
11-07 17:56:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xd53a7e…
11-07 08:16:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x896594…
11-07 08:14:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9260b6…
11-06 12:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0x734b9d…
11-06 11:14:33	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x1f208e…
11-06 09:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x0a2e19…
11-06 07:13:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x1e0ff0…
11-06 07:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8acf2b…
11-04 19:10:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x936f96…
11-04 18:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x98317b…
11-04 18:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8f2904…
11-04 09:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x41f345…
11-04 08:07:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x3ac084…
11-04 08:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc5d3bb…
11-04 08:02:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x104432…
11-03 17:22:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x222bf5…
11-03 17:21:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x36c265…
11-03 15:28:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x52b9db…
11-03 07:35:46	elon musk of tweets november 5 november 7 2026 40 64	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd1d066…
11-03 07:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x45b9e0…
11-02 07:45:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x4a8060…
11-02 07:45:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf3b318…
11-02 07:41:40	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x7835b1…
11-01 07:19:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9f62c1…
11-01 07:18:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc8879d…
10-31 17:30:18	elon musk of tweets november 2 november 4 2026 0 39	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x62207e…
10-31 09:21:43	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x05c88c…
10-31 07:52:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x4dc6ac…
10-31 07:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7139f6…
10-31 07:51:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x75371f…
10-31 07:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x623006…
10-31 07:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa0f1df…
10-31 07:50:16	elon musk of tweets november 3 november 10 2026 200 219	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xaba33e…
10-31 07:48:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xccf043…
10-29 14:23:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1a2676…
10-29 14:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd22c1c…
10-29 09:41:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9c15c8…
10-29 09:40:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf34fda…
10-28 18:27:50	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93de07…
10-28 09:24:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	78	94¢	$73	0x9119ef…
10-28 07:20:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x605459…
10-28 07:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb6caf…
10-27 18:44:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x0fe9f0…
10-27 16:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x8e1dd6…
10-27 16:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd7721d…
10-27 16:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf5ea64…
10-27 16:23:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$263	0xc431d5…
10-27 15:07:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x55d141…
10-27 15:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xe89eeb…
10-27 08:50:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0xc16cda…
10-27 08:49:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x3991a8…
10-27 07:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x611cdb…
10-26 17:41:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xe7d182…
10-26 17:40:26	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xe5cd95…
10-25 17:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x298166…
10-25 07:13:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xfc1b24…
10-24 07:55:45	elon musk of tweets october 27 november 3 2026 160 179	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xe8af20…
10-24 07:54:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9ef714…
10-24 06:57:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x9a22bc…
10-24 06:56:30	elon musk of tweets october 27 november 3 2026 180 199	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xdc2719…
10-24 06:55:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7eff41…
10-24 06:54:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf3d174…
10-23 07:08:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xfc3891…
10-22 16:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7eb14c…
10-22 07:09:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xc637c9…
10-22 07:09:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x436dd6…
10-22 07:08:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xd475dd…
10-21 09:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0x6c2aab…
10-21 09:45:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0xc7625a…
10-21 07:00:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xb40938…
10-20 07:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x1f10a3…
10-19 07:16:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x202e33…
10-19 07:16:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xe03425…
10-18 06:37:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x56b0f0…
10-17 12:41:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x7d28a5…
10-17 12:41:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x72b38e…
10-17 07:11:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe7a401…
10-17 07:09:51	elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 160 179	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x1f908c…
10-16 13:50:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	80¢	$88	0xddc9aa…
10-16 07:59:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x775552…
10-16 07:57:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x7cb227…
10-16 07:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4b626c…
10-16 06:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x79a923…