(anonymous) 0x5d2d85…a8d535
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$509
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
55.7%
Resolved
65
Trades
799
lifetime
Volume
$36.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$9.67K
24 positions
First seen
2026-09-15
last 10-29 19:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
57% 50% +$438
Politics
36% 40% -$947
Tech
7% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +600 $480 86¢ $519 +$39 10-24 21:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $497 80¢ $483 -$14 10-12 16:23
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +600 $325 80¢ $480 +$155 10-13 13:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +600 $395 78¢ $465 +$70 10-13 02:44
No one announced as next James Bond? No +600 $440 77¢ $463 +$23 10-12 19:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +600 $429 76¢ $454 +$25 10-12 20:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +600 $449 76¢ $453 +$4 10-12 14:02
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +600 $420 74¢ $447 +$27 10-12 19:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +600 $487 74¢ $444 -$43 10-12 20:27
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +600 $472 71¢ $426 -$46 10-13 12:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +600 $438 71¢ $426 -$12 10-15 10:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +600 $384 70¢ $423 +$39 10-13 05:17
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +600 $378 70¢ $417 +$39 10-24 15:57
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +600 $438 70¢ $417 -$21 10-25 23:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +600 $396 68¢ $405 +$9 10-25 15:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +600 $372 66¢ $399 +$27 10-13 13:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +600 $450 66¢ $396 -$54 10-19 06:34
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +600 $360 65¢ $390 +$30 10-14 15:07
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +600 $360 64¢ $384 +$24 10-25 11:16
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +600 $444 63¢ $378 -$66 10-19 12:44
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +600 $396 62¢ $375 -$21 10-24 20:22
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +600 $373 52¢ $315 -$58 10-12 17:36
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +600 $384 52¢ $309 -$75 10-24 19:42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +33 $14 0¢ $0 -$14 10-29 19:53