Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.95K
Unrealized P&L
+$654
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved (7d)
30
Trades (7d)
202
1,001 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$8.76K
$45.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$6.79K
18 positions
First seen
2026-09-15
last 11-05 15:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
58% 56% +$1,239
Politics
36% 69% +$43
Tech
5% 100% +$147
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +600 $449 99¢ $593 +$144 10-12 14:02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +600 $429 92¢ $549 +$120 10-12 20:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $497 88¢ $525 +$28 10-12 16:23
No one announced as next James Bond? No +600 $440 85¢ $512 +$72 10-12 19:44
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +600 $384 82¢ $489 +$105 10-24 19:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +600 $420 78¢ $471 +$51 11-01 07:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +600 $460 76¢ $457 -$3 11-03 06:07
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +600 $360 73¢ $438 +$78 10-25 11:16
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +600 $472 72¢ $429 -$43 10-13 12:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +600 $487 72¢ $429 -$58 10-12 20:27
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +600 $378 66¢ $399 +$21 10-24 15:57
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +600 $444 66¢ $399 -$45 11-04 03:39
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +600 $396 66¢ $396 +$0 10-24 20:22
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +600 $444 59¢ $354 -$90 10-19 12:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +600 $450 57¢ $345 -$105 10-19 06:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +600 $6 1¢ $7 +$1 11-04 06:03
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? Yes — +460 $0 0¢ $2 +$2 10-28 03:31
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +1 -$376 28¢ $0 +$376 11-04 16:52