Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.91K

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,093

lifetime

Volume

$771.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$706

Open exposure

$1.66K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-07 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

80% 95% +$1,843

Politics

19% 83% +$287

Crypto

2% 86% -$201

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,797	$1,751	18¢	$839	-$911	08-06 20:10
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+8,811	$2,423	6¢	$485	-$1,939	08-18 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	+800	$402	42¢	$340	-$62	11-07 17:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	203	$105.9K	53,600	56,416	-2,816	No	+$153	04-16 17:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	195	$59.4K	34,005	30,325	+3,680	Yes	+$434	07-29 06:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	38	$36.7K	18,720	18,718	+3	No	+$22	04-14 14:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	57	$36.2K	24,209	13,000	+11,209	No	+$366	10-23 19:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	97	$35.9K	23,854	18,636	+5,218	Yes	+$1,012	08-02 02:50
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	1	$30.7K	30,765	0	+30,765	No	+$31	04-06 15:12
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	34	$30.6K	30,590	0	+30,590	No	+$36	04-03 06:51
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	2	$30.5K	30,558	0	+30,558	No	+$31	04-01 11:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	36	$30.3K	30,527	0	+30,527	No	+$183	03-28 10:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	34	$26.4K	13,400	13,399	+1	No	+$14	04-13 19:44
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	27	$20.1K	20,119	0	+20,119	No	+$63	04-09 05:36
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	5	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$30	04-09 14:36
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$40	04-07 10:20
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	7	$15.8K	15,810	0	+15,810	No	+$16	04-08 01:32
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 180 199	10	$15.1K	15,152	0	+15,152	No	+$27	04-04 09:11
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	3	$14.6K	14,654	0	+14,654	No	+$25	04-16 20:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	13	$14.6K	5,000	10,000	-5,000	No	-$25	04-08 04:13
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	7	$13.6K	13,670	0	+13,670	No	+$27	04-15 07:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	1	$13.3K	13,284	0	+13,284	No	+$13	04-14 05:51
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$11.4K	11,370	0	+11,370	No	+$11	10-15 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$11.3K	11,360	0	+11,360	No	+$11	10-11 17:57
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6	$11.3K	11,322	0	+11,322	No	+$21	10-06 13:57
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 190 214	1	$10.6K	10,600	0	+10,600	No	+$11	04-03 20:08
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	34	$10.3K	10,364	0	+10,364	No	+$93	04-05 14:27
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	17	$10.1K	10,111	0	+10,111	No	+$43	04-15 17:32
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	04-16 11:42
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	10	$9.8K	9,789	0	+9,789	No	+$10	04-08 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	12	$8.9K	8,966	0	+8,966	No	+$44	11-05 01:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	13	$7.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	-$8	04-19 12:29
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	8	$7.9K	7,868	0	+7,868	No	+$8	04-17 11:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 17:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	581	50¢	$291	0x713c64…
11-07 17:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x4b1f3e…
11-07 17:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x775160…
11-06 18:22:39	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	870	100¢	$869	0x45ad3a…
11-06 18:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x69f5f9…
11-06 17:06:37	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3,848	100¢	$3,845	0xc3f3a1…
11-06 16:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbc56bb…
11-06 16:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?	Up	BUY	494	51¢	$252	0x1550cb…
11-06 16:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	500	96¢	$478	0x8b9f7d…
11-06 16:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x4218a6…
11-06 16:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xdee9e6…
11-06 16:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	428	97¢	$416	0x709755…
11-06 12:47:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0x90e51d…
11-06 11:27:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xfdcfb1…
11-06 11:26:15	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x1f1376…
11-06 11:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xdc6b5a…
11-06 11:25:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x45869a…
11-06 11:25:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x591fc4…
11-06 11:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xbb43be…
11-06 11:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x3d8a3f…
11-06 11:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xc8ec71…
11-06 11:19:01	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xffd830…
11-06 11:18:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x3ab3a0…
11-06 09:57:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2,528	100¢	$2,525	0xa54479…
11-05 01:25:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,327	100¢	$1,323	0xc25cfd…
11-05 00:53:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x4519e1…
11-05 00:49:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0xe10794…
11-05 00:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,196	0xb7b405…
11-05 00:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$355	0xbf6146…
11-04 17:02:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	614	99¢	$611	0xa809c3…
11-04 17:02:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x545cbb…
11-04 17:02:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	528	100¢	$525	0x6c7dd0…
11-04 17:02:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	951	100¢	$946	0xb4afc2…
11-04 17:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	897	100¢	$893	0xb3656c…
11-04 17:00:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	736	100¢	$733	0x7ef30b…
11-04 16:34:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,090	99¢	$1,077	0x3a4f65…
11-04 08:08:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xeba5cb…
11-04 07:42:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$597	0x866777…
11-04 07:42:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc819e3…
11-04 07:42:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf1a1c…
11-04 07:42:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaea381…
11-04 07:42:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x669e62…
11-04 07:42:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd959ca…
11-04 07:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf4578a…
11-04 07:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0x695215…
11-03 13:10:54	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	933	100¢	$932	0x5f95da…
11-03 13:04:37	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x40266a…
11-03 13:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0x6354d8…
11-03 13:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc59fe7…
11-03 13:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x94b8c0…
11-03 12:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2,650	100¢	$2,647	0x00f59d…
11-03 11:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,930	100¢	$1,928	0x4399de…
11-03 11:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,175	100¢	$1,173	0x43273e…
11-03 11:16:55	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x118540…
11-03 11:16:25	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xd7bb45…
10-26 12:55:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0xb461eb…
10-23 19:58:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	800	96¢	$768	0x41f1e1…
10-23 18:21:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xcc54c4…
10-22 18:16:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd71b6a…
10-22 18:02:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xe76eae…
10-22 17:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	429	100¢	$428	0x14c6ba…
10-22 17:41:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44cc43…
10-22 17:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x6a274e…
10-22 15:01:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xb95ce8…
10-22 15:01:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x807a58…
10-22 15:01:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x7ea38c…
10-22 15:01:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$971	0x98c6c6…
10-21 18:41:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	170	97¢	$165	0x82ffef…
10-21 18:24:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	209	98¢	$204	0x026c65…
10-21 18:24:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	209	98¢	$204	0x9acf65…
10-21 18:24:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	152	97¢	$148	0xe9f889…
10-21 17:59:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	261	98¢	$254	0x7cc1ca…
10-21 17:58:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$292	0x0e5ebc…
10-21 17:47:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$973	0x9e60f9…
10-21 16:01:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	742	97¢	$719	0xc1f9b8…
10-21 15:55:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	258	97¢	$250	0xfb456a…
10-21 15:43:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	843	97¢	$818	0x7c78ae…
10-21 15:42:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$971	0xbd9fc6…
10-21 15:30:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$972	0xdfd803…
10-21 13:57:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	563	97¢	$547	0xfcfeee…
10-21 13:57:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	437	97¢	$424	0xeb45a0…
10-21 13:29:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$978	0x0e25ea…
10-21 13:21:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	370	97¢	$360	0x34c7ba…
10-21 13:10:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$174	0xcbcac3…
10-21 13:10:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$974	0x9086dd…
10-21 12:36:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0xda2084…
10-21 12:36:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$973	0xc865fe…
10-21 12:04:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	220	98¢	$214	0xd80c9d…
10-21 12:04:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x5ce700…
10-21 12:04:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$974	0xcb91b1…
10-20 22:07:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0xfcbb82…
10-20 21:07:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x54da8c…
10-20 19:46:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe08e82…
10-20 19:37:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x5b53dd…
10-20 18:48:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	137	97¢	$133	0x92ff27…
10-20 18:25:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x490c06…
10-20 17:38:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	338	97¢	$327	0x8ea6ab…
10-20 17:23:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	525	97¢	$508	0xf14e3e…
10-20 17:18:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x2a8eab…
10-20 16:54:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	97¢	$4,865	0xbb9b68…