Realized P&L
-$58
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
23.0%
Resolved
32
Trades
65
lifetime
Volume
$331
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$67
11 positions
First seen
2026-10-02
last 10-26 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
64% 13% -$23
Politics
21% 0% -$11
Crypto
14% 14% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +118 $40 36¢ $43 +$3 10-02 18:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +125 $10 8¢ $9 -$1 10-02 18:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 10-02 22:43
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $3 10¢ $2 -$1 10-02 22:41
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +11 $2 19¢ $2 +$0 10-10 13:49
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +42 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 10-10 14:06
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $2 8¢ $2 $0 10-10 13:45
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +26 $5 5¢ $1 -$4 10-08 07:38
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? Yes +53 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-02 19:52
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-10 14:05
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-10 13:44