Massive-Birch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$152

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

883

Trades

4,139

lifetime

Volume

$58.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-28 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Other

100% 83% +$171

Politics

0% 0% -$21

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		-144	-$3	1¢	$-2	+$2	10-27 20:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		-144	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	10-27 20:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	76	$1.5K	2,005	2,510	-505	Yes	-$164	03-31 16:45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	17	$1.3K	1,397	2,173	-776	Yes	+$378	07-10 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	33	$1.3K	1,804	213	+1,591	No	-$159	07-07 08:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	45	$1.2K	3,078	2,074	+1,004	No	+$141	07-17 14:58
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	No	+$2	07-11 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,101	123	+978	No	+$14	10-05 08:37
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	60	$1.0K	3,000	2,699	+301	No	+$105	03-31 07:59
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	6	$988	1,981	490	+1,491	No	+$5	09-22 11:34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	14	$980	1,646	716	+930	No	-$42	06-15 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	22	$974	1,280	300	+980	No	+$7	09-17 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	12	$906	2,513	633	+1,880	No	+$44	09-14 18:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	14	$894	1,930	1,100	+830	No	+$79	07-02 07:50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	3	$815	1,355	500	+855	No	+$43	09-07 08:09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	5	$804	1,217	416	+801	No	+$22	06-27 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	35	$787	470	1,239	-769	Yes	-$83	06-26 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$785	801	0	+801	No	+$16	06-07 10:43
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	27	$773	1,253	544	+709	Yes	-$526	04-14 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	3	$759	776	0	+776	No	+$17	07-08 14:38
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	14	$759	1,610	335	+1,275	No	+$32	09-04 13:18
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 420 439	6	$757	400	400	+0	No	+$31	01-30 09:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	19	$753	877	2,101	-1,223	Yes	-$983	10-06 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	19	$742	261	2,016	-1,754	No	+$613	07-17 14:19
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	36	$729	1,018	1,291	-273	Yes	-$56	03-20 16:31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	6	$702	843	113	+730	No	+$31	09-26 19:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$702	0	702	-702	Yes	-$1	08-14 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	7	$665	53	650	-598	Yes	+$20	06-19 15:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$664	691	0	+691	No	+$28	05-28 12:27
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$659	1,402	0	+1,402	No	+$43	08-13 23:23
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$651	678	0	+678	No	+$27	06-19 20:11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	16	$631	1,235	600	+635	No	+$7	08-03 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:58:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0x927768…
10-28 06:56:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x4a6d60…
10-28 06:56:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xf92d6c…
10-28 06:54:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x084a58…
10-28 00:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x4d1a01…
10-28 00:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xb5c268…
10-28 00:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xdbdfb8…
10-28 00:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x96265d…
10-27 23:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0xc949d6…
10-27 23:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$1	0x616569…
10-27 20:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcebfd6…
10-27 20:46:20	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x002a1c…
10-27 20:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x7c809e…
10-27 20:33:57	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0x716dfb…
10-27 20:30:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x161333…
10-27 20:29:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x64482a…
10-27 20:29:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	2¢	$3	0x1fc97c…
10-27 20:28:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x91b415…
10-27 20:24:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0x24e49e…
10-27 20:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0xdeb72a…
10-27 20:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0xfb2895…
10-27 19:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0xccc154…
10-27 00:25:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x343d7c…
10-26 17:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xacc7bb…
10-26 17:37:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x15b110…
10-26 17:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x350fa1…
10-26 16:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x8c5ab8…
10-26 16:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x2e9105…
10-26 16:21:35	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x33af89…
10-26 15:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x136016…
10-26 14:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	0¢	$0	0x6b46cf…
10-26 10:51:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2da561…
10-26 08:25:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa0d59a…
10-26 08:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x329e39…
10-25 22:55:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	2¢	$3	0xbaa023…
10-25 18:45:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x3d4457…
10-25 18:22:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xbc7ac5…
10-25 18:09:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x95133a…
10-25 18:06:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xc37233…
10-25 16:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xe49416…
10-25 15:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x557999…
10-25 15:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0x1ec60e…
10-25 15:02:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x280e3c…
10-25 14:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x6cf1c0…
10-25 13:20:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xe5df11…
10-25 12:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xc35a54…
10-25 11:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	1¢	$0	0xd40f77…
10-25 09:25:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	3¢	$2	0x061582…
10-25 09:01:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x911b8e…
10-25 08:32:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xa516dc…
10-25 04:00:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x86210f…
10-25 01:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x8a486a…
10-25 00:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x36942d…
10-25 00:55:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeab99a…
10-25 00:29:56	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x366567…
10-24 22:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x9833b6…
10-24 20:18:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x74dab7…
10-24 19:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x9470d8…
10-24 19:36:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0x138bf6…
10-24 18:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xa8c066…
10-24 18:17:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$5	0x5f2dfe…
10-24 14:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xaf9b32…
10-24 14:56:20	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$0	0x3543a6…
10-24 14:56:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xff562e…
10-24 14:56:15	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$0	0xdc0f8d…
10-24 14:54:59	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0xc68bba…
10-24 14:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$0	0xa9893b…
10-24 14:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xf40257…
10-24 14:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xab5f9d…
10-24 14:44:15	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x395b08…
10-24 14:40:38	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x597cb9…
10-24 13:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x5294d1…
10-24 13:53:41	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x79b2ee…
10-24 13:20:06	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x818f41…
10-24 13:19:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x8d8b1a…
10-24 13:17:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xdcebc1…
10-24 13:09:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x545609…
10-24 13:06:41	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$0	0x0507df…
10-24 13:06:35	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$0	0xd75d50…
10-24 13:04:42	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$1	0x087e26…
10-24 08:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	0¢	$0	0xd5ccf8…
10-24 05:12:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$0	0xac6231…
10-24 01:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x75f0d7…
10-23 22:11:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xbe829d…
10-23 22:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x7392f6…
10-23 20:56:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xcd0dc0…
10-22 18:13:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x959ead…
10-22 18:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xdc50eb…
10-22 18:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xae2543…
10-22 17:21:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x01dd15…
10-22 13:07:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x7c4e47…
10-22 11:40:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x78badb…
10-22 11:32:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6de776…
10-22 09:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x800359…
10-22 07:16:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x1047da…
10-21 22:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2ff7bb…
10-21 21:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb567de…
10-21 20:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x8873fe…
10-21 20:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1288d6…
10-21 20:48:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9cbc9…