Spicy-Disease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$862

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

377

Trades

1,334

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-22 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

76% 6% -$633

Politics

16% 6% -$181

Sports

5% 23% -$21

Pop-Culture

2% 14% -$12

Tech

2% 6% -$14

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	30	$1.9K	1,427	1,427	+0	No	-$30	04-23 18:42
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	28	$771	737	737	+0	Yes	-$37	04-22 21:12
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	14	$744	552	552	+0	No	-$4	04-22 15:04
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	20	$561	546	546	+0	Yes	-$10	05-12 11:43
will david bailey be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	15	$411	405	405	+0	No	+$0	04-21 15:40
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	4	$396	230	230	+0	No	-$2	04-17 14:07
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	4	$383	256	256	+0	Yes	-$2	04-16 07:40
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	15	$299	284	284	+0	No	-$13	04-23 11:20
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	25	$297	351	351	+0	No	-$6	05-08 04:31
Nothing Ever Happens: April	8	$289	299	299	+0	Nothing	-$3	04-20 13:04
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	9	$286	293	293	+0	Yes	-$13	04-27 11:28
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	11	$284	276	276	+0	Yes	-$19	05-08 03:43
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	7	$279	204	204	+0	No	-$10	04-23 11:56
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	4	$264	148	148	+0	Yes	-$1	04-17 15:48
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	9	$259	255	255	+0	No	-$2	05-12 11:43
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	6	$252	233	233	+0	No	-$14	04-20 12:14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	6	$252	250	250	+0	Yes	-$4	05-11 02:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	9	$252	275	275	+0	Yes	-$10	04-27 04:49
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	5	$243	183	183	+0	Yes	-$3	04-17 17:30
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	23	$218	202	196	+6	No	-$1	07-08 19:16
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	12	$211	284	240	+44	Yes	-$5	05-11 10:35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	6	$211	185	185	+0	No	-$11	05-12 12:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	8	$208	197	197	+0	Yes	-$7	04-24 05:31
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	2	$203	132	132	+0	No	-$3	04-24 08:37
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?	4	$170	98	98	+0	No	-$6	05-07 10:11
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?	7	$169	182	182	+0	No	-$24	05-08 04:54
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	3	$167	143	89	+54	No	+$0	05-07 06:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	6	$163	172	172	+0	Yes	-$3	05-11 13:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$159	149	149	+0	No	-$2	04-20 12:12
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	2	$159	97	97	+0	No	$0	05-12 00:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 10:41:40	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x67c03c…
07-19 17:41:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x87f40d…
07-19 17:38:45	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x47aa33…
07-19 15:45:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0xf054e7…
07-18 11:31:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x11b13b…
07-18 11:30:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xdd33fa…
07-18 01:27:28	Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x2a1785…
07-18 01:26:51	Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x54557e…
07-18 01:23:15	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x1d99b1…
07-18 01:19:40	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x95cf31…
07-18 01:07:45	will meta meta q2 capital expenditures including principal payments on finance leases be above 40b 20260717034403942	Yes	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0xfa670a…
07-18 01:07:10	will meta meta q2 capital expenditures including principal payments on finance leases be above 40b 20260717034403942	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0x41ac4a…
07-16 10:08:04	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xae4c7a…
07-16 10:07:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x616c23…
07-16 10:07:19	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb5128d…
07-15 18:18:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc0ae59…
07-15 13:28:25	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7b7a18…
07-15 13:28:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x60b010…
07-12 01:36:49	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0x57004f…
07-12 01:34:56	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xcf3880…
07-12 01:34:50	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x8f3ad4…
07-12 01:33:55	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x97144c…
07-12 00:20:58	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	No	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xb55c36…
07-12 00:20:07	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1f6cab…
07-12 00:19:59	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x3abe6d…
07-12 00:19:38	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x9dc291…
07-12 00:19:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x4dab76…
07-12 00:18:47	Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x856951…
07-12 00:18:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x8f7163…
07-12 00:18:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0x36fdf0…
07-12 00:18:08	Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x433cb9…
07-08 23:09:25	Will Jack Bergman be the MI-01 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x2b3ddd…
07-08 23:07:59	Will Jack Bergman be the MI-01 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1058b2…
07-08 23:02:10	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xb0d9fc…
07-08 23:01:34	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xefc121…
07-08 22:38:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x19d1a7…
07-08 22:31:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x6ad4ba…
07-08 22:31:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x58d61e…
07-08 22:29:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 10?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa50c71…
07-08 22:29:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 10?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xec828c…
07-08 22:22:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x9875f7…
07-08 22:22:14	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xc980aa…
07-08 22:18:38	Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x96ce39…
07-08 22:18:31	Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x911701…
07-08 22:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x7978ec…
07-08 22:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0x62eef4…
07-08 22:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xb809ee…
07-08 22:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x3d1879…
07-08 22:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x140e0f…
07-08 22:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x687afb…
07-08 22:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x895202…
07-08 22:01:59	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x7b488e…
07-08 22:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xc5d6bf…
07-08 22:01:29	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xc43304…
07-08 22:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	18	64¢	$11	0xa4c81b…
07-08 21:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd2eacd…
07-08 21:38:52	will ge vernova gev q2 orders be above 26b 20260707031052776	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x703a18…
07-08 21:29:01	will ge vernova gev q2 orders be above 26b 20260707031052776	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf51481…
07-08 20:25:44	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x08b42d…
07-08 20:22:08	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xea760b…
07-08 20:05:55	Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x55fe08…
07-08 20:05:50	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xeed789…
07-08 20:04:34	Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x0cc3b8…
07-08 19:52:31	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2a1255…
07-08 19:51:31	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbdbc7e…
07-08 19:40:11	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb91d32…
07-08 19:16:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0x024ede…
07-08 19:14:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x4ee64b…
07-08 19:01:25	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xb3e733…
07-08 18:57:49	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x7d047d…
07-08 18:21:17	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x26efc4…
07-08 18:17:16	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x59d73c…
07-08 18:06:59	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x57bcf1…
07-08 18:04:58	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x888ef8…
07-08 17:55:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x8011d5…
07-08 17:54:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x4824fb…
07-08 17:23:38	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5beca4…
07-08 17:19:08	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x100fc6…
07-08 17:17:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 10?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x90d8da…
07-08 17:16:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 10?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3b56db…
07-08 17:10:59	will dive be said 10 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915152	No	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xa7cf9c…
07-08 17:10:37	will dive be said 10 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915152	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6944ed…
07-08 17:08:16	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x985009…
07-08 17:08:10	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	SELL	28	30¢	$9	0x6ca9b4…
07-08 17:07:28	Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x85d4f7…
07-08 17:07:17	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	BUY	28	38¢	$10	0xbda9cb…
07-08 17:06:20	Will Dplus Esports Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x3aeb23…
07-08 17:04:05	Will Dplus Esports Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x81db1c…
07-08 16:55:11	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x7c100d…
07-08 16:53:31	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x1dc4c4…
07-08 16:52:34	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xe558b8…
07-08 16:51:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6e912d…
07-08 16:32:52	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	No	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0x75910f…
07-08 16:32:34	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	No	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x601774…
07-08 16:23:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xc263a2…
07-08 16:23:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?	No	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0x230824…
07-08 16:23:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?	No	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0xa47194…
07-08 16:22:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x9df889…
07-08 16:21:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x55cdeb…
07-08 16:21:01	Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	No	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x894ee3…