Spicy-Disease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.7%

Resolved

Trades

605

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-10 00:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

81% 11% $-52

Politics

10% 0% $-25

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	30	$1.9K	1,427	1,427	+0	open	—	04-23 18:42
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	28	$771	737	737	+0	Yes	$-37	04-22 21:12
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	14	$744	552	552	+0	open	—	04-22 15:04
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	20	$561	546	546	+0	open	—	05-12 11:43
will david bailey be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	15	$411	405	405	+0	open	—	04-21 15:40
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	4	$396	230	230	+0	open	—	04-17 14:07
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	4	$383	256	256	+0	open	—	04-16 07:40
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	15	$299	284	284	+0	No	$-13	04-23 11:20
Nothing Ever Happens: April	8	$289	299	299	+0	open	—	04-20 13:04
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	9	$286	293	293	+0	open	—	04-27 11:28
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	7	$279	204	204	+0	open	—	04-23 11:56
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	4	$264	148	148	+0	open	—	04-17 15:48
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	9	$259	255	255	+0	open	—	05-12 11:43
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	6	$252	233	233	+0	open	—	04-20 12:14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	6	$252	250	250	+0	Yes	$-4	05-11 02:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	9	$252	275	275	+0	open	—	04-27 04:49
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	5	$243	183	183	+0	open	—	04-17 17:30
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	6	$211	185	185	+0	open	—	05-12 12:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	8	$208	197	197	+0	open	—	04-24 05:31
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	2	$203	132	132	+0	open	—	04-24 08:37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	6	$163	172	172	+0	open	—	05-11 13:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$159	149	149	+0	open	—	04-20 12:12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	4	$153	162	162	+0	open	—	05-11 13:03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	5	$152	154	154	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 00:05
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	14	$151	274	274	+0	open	—	04-24 05:33
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	9	$142	256	256	+0	open	—	04-21 19:58
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	6	$128	90	90	+0	open	—	04-23 12:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	8	$124	112	112	+0	open	—	05-11 23:18
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 1 week?	2	$123	69	69	+0	open	—	04-24 12:46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	4	$120	127	127	+0	open	—	05-07 11:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:47:03	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x2aa62c…
06-10 00:45:40	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x0968bb…
06-09 23:58:48	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0xfef91b…
06-09 23:53:10	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0xc75b6e…
06-09 23:06:33	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	43	80¢	$34	0xa7874a…
06-09 13:48:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xf7fd0a…
06-09 13:47:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x001ebb…
06-09 13:44:33	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0xd69325…
06-09 13:42:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x2176a4…
06-09 13:39:51	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	37	37¢	$14	0x852bff…
06-09 13:39:03	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	37	37¢	$14	0x2d3c5b…
06-09 10:19:51	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xc69d04…
06-09 10:12:06	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x03eae3…
06-09 09:54:16	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0x10b5fc…
06-09 09:51:49	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	37	35¢	$13	0x6ff13a…
06-09 09:35:16	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0xff9cee…
06-09 09:34:19	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x37502e…
06-09 09:25:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x3e3191…
06-09 09:16:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xd60ff8…
06-09 09:10:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x577d99…
06-07 06:41:31	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xb2021e…
06-07 05:41:15	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xbdec7d…
06-06 21:37:18	swbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt23	No	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x90839d…
06-06 21:25:18	swbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt23	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8fde12…
06-06 20:05:54	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$6	0x33cad0…
06-06 20:04:21	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xffc9bc…
06-06 19:34:15	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	Yes	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xb8e779…
06-06 19:32:25	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x58200e…
06-06 18:18:36	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x25b177…
06-06 17:41:12	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x108f7d…
06-05 14:53:58	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	SELL	33	52¢	$17	0x396897…
06-05 14:44:51	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0xad1347…
06-05 13:49:52	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x92a283…
06-05 13:47:22	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x66de12…
06-05 13:15:46	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	No	SELL	31	28¢	$9	0x17bfc2…
06-05 13:13:21	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	No	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x708d7a…
06-05 10:37:58	chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 0pt43	No	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0xc9209b…
06-05 10:37:43	will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0xdfe745…
06-05 10:37:39	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x8582ce…
06-05 10:37:01	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd35191…
06-05 10:33:48	chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 0pt43	No	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xf68bad…
06-05 10:20:15	will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xa2b13b…
06-04 04:58:27	will trump praise weijia jiang by june 30	Yes	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0xecbb64…
06-04 04:58:15	will trump praise weijia jiang by june 30	No	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0x101329…
06-03 19:18:51	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	19¢	$7	0x63d401…
06-03 19:17:00	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0x2e057f…
06-03 00:00:31	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xaf42ac…
06-02 23:50:41	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x8c8720…
06-02 22:48:25	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x0c74d8…
06-02 22:45:49	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0xee2b43…
05-26 01:14:53	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0xc1ddaf…
05-26 00:05:47	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x5eacf6…
05-25 11:03:41	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?	No	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x331c02…
05-25 11:02:59	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?	No	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xdffa29…
05-24 23:19:47	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0xe13650…
05-24 23:16:53	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x3ccbf8…
05-24 22:53:40	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $7.5B?	No	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xd31d01…
05-21 15:28:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xf25886…
05-21 15:27:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x97e12b…
05-21 15:03:03	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $7.5B?	No	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x181451…
05-21 14:52:14	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0xece3de…
05-21 14:51:49	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x85c142…
05-21 10:39:21	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x35e5e7…
05-21 10:25:44	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x0cc7c8…
05-21 10:11:21	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x37454e…
05-21 10:10:25	Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	48	9¢	$4	0x5afe0b…
05-21 10:03:36	Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0xa15ec8…
05-21 09:59:22	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x3d1b76…
05-21 09:59:13	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x1aa3d6…
05-21 09:58:33	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	25¢	$6	0xd0e550…
05-21 09:57:33	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x258c20…
05-21 09:51:08	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x516d85…
05-21 09:40:51	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x2c152e…
05-21 06:37:16	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0xcc73ee…
05-19 23:41:13	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?	No	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0xf5bdf8…
05-19 23:40:07	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?	No	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xe2f4d1…
05-19 22:50:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?	No	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xca8f8c…
05-19 22:43:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?	No	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xbb2a14…
05-19 22:42:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?	No	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x6fe02e…
05-19 20:47:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x03e60d…
05-19 19:51:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf0e173…
05-19 15:02:15	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x317c58…
05-19 14:58:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x3c722d…
05-19 13:40:18	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0x5b81b9…
05-19 13:39:22	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0xa2019d…
05-18 23:38:26	Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa5ea76…
05-18 23:26:41	Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x2ef111…
05-18 23:20:02	Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x85d1cc…
05-18 15:48:44	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0xffbeef…
05-17 01:33:28	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.6B?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x9fdb98…
05-17 00:15:56	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.6B?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x86557b…
05-16 23:56:45	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.6B?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb2d702…
05-16 18:54:31	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0xec0644…
05-16 17:53:21	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.6B?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x412f66…
05-15 14:32:35	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	No	SELL	27	73¢	$20	0xc6ccb9…
05-15 07:44:34	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0xcf0a9c…
05-15 06:20:36	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xae47bb…
05-14 16:32:53	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xbe66ea…
05-14 16:31:13	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x564de4…
05-14 13:33:01	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x87bb14…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	133	$2.05M	8,560	06-10 03:38
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	122	$23.8K	1,051	06-10 00:58
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	105	$35.8K	1,262	06-10 03:19
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	98	$181.4K	3,837	06-09 17:23
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	97	$7.22K	822	06-10 02:52
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	96	$38.3K	3,936	06-09 17:27
Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c	90	$22.1K	906	06-09 22:47
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	89	$9.95K	1,779	06-09 23:37