Spicy-Disease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.7%

Resolved

Trades

768

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-19 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

78% 11% $-52

Politics

12% 0% $-25

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	30	$1.9K	1,427	1,427	+0	open	—	04-23 18:42
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	28	$771	737	737	+0	Yes	$-37	04-22 21:12
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	14	$744	552	552	+0	open	—	04-22 15:04
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	20	$561	546	546	+0	open	—	05-12 11:43
will david bailey be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	15	$411	405	405	+0	open	—	04-21 15:40
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	4	$396	230	230	+0	open	—	04-17 14:07
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	4	$383	256	256	+0	open	—	04-16 07:40
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	15	$299	284	284	+0	No	$-13	04-23 11:20
Nothing Ever Happens: April	8	$289	299	299	+0	open	—	04-20 13:04
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	9	$286	293	293	+0	open	—	04-27 11:28
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	7	$279	204	204	+0	open	—	04-23 11:56
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	4	$264	148	148	+0	open	—	04-17 15:48
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	9	$259	255	255	+0	open	—	05-12 11:43
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	6	$252	233	233	+0	open	—	04-20 12:14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	6	$252	250	250	+0	Yes	$-4	05-11 02:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	9	$252	275	275	+0	open	—	04-27 04:49
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	5	$243	183	183	+0	open	—	04-17 17:30
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	23	$218	202	196	+6	open	—	07-08 19:16
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	6	$211	185	185	+0	open	—	05-12 12:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	8	$208	197	197	+0	open	—	04-24 05:31
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	2	$203	132	132	+0	open	—	04-24 08:37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	6	$163	172	172	+0	open	—	05-11 13:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$159	149	149	+0	open	—	04-20 12:12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	4	$153	162	162	+0	open	—	05-11 13:03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	5	$152	154	154	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 00:05
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	14	$151	274	274	+0	open	—	04-24 05:33
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	9	$142	256	256	+0	open	—	04-21 19:58
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	6	$128	90	90	+0	open	—	04-23 12:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	8	$124	112	112	+0	open	—	05-11 23:18
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 1 week?	2	$123	69	69	+0	open	—	04-24 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 17:41:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x87f40d…
07-19 15:45:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0xf054e7…
07-18 11:31:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x11b13b…
07-18 11:30:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xdd33fa…
07-18 01:07:45	will meta meta q2 capital expenditures including principal payments on finance leases be above 40b 20260717034403942	Yes	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0xfa670a…
07-18 01:07:10	will meta meta q2 capital expenditures including principal payments on finance leases be above 40b 20260717034403942	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0x41ac4a…
07-12 01:36:49	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0x57004f…
07-12 01:34:56	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xcf3880…
07-12 01:34:50	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x8f3ad4…
07-12 01:33:55	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x97144c…
07-12 00:20:58	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	No	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xb55c36…
07-12 00:20:07	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1f6cab…
07-12 00:19:59	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x3abe6d…
07-12 00:19:38	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x9dc291…
07-12 00:19:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x4dab76…
07-12 00:18:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x8f7163…
07-12 00:18:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0x36fdf0…
07-08 23:02:10	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xb0d9fc…
07-08 23:01:34	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xefc121…
07-08 21:38:52	will ge vernova gev q2 orders be above 26b 20260707031052776	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x703a18…
07-08 21:29:01	will ge vernova gev q2 orders be above 26b 20260707031052776	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf51481…
07-08 19:51:31	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbdbc7e…
07-08 19:40:11	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb91d32…
07-08 19:16:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0x024ede…
07-08 19:14:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x4ee64b…
07-08 17:55:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x8011d5…
07-08 17:54:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x4824fb…
07-08 17:23:38	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5beca4…
07-08 17:19:08	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x100fc6…
07-08 17:10:59	will dive be said 10 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915152	No	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xa7cf9c…
07-08 17:10:37	will dive be said 10 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915152	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6944ed…
07-08 16:53:31	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x1dc4c4…
07-08 16:52:34	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xe558b8…
07-08 16:32:52	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	No	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0x75910f…
07-08 16:32:34	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 20260706175201731	No	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x601774…
07-03 08:07:55	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x915c3c…
07-03 07:50:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x45b9d6…
07-03 07:38:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xeddf1b…
07-03 07:26:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x8fa7ce…
07-03 06:42:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x7d0ab5…
07-03 06:21:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x3304f6…
07-03 04:06:26	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9ab842…
07-03 02:06:44	will cj abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914327	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xf0719e…
07-03 02:06:14	will andy pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914337	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe3db78…
07-03 02:02:23	will cj abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914327	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xee13d1…
07-03 01:59:13	will andy pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914337	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6170e4…
07-03 01:34:16	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x7d807e…
07-03 01:32:41	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x93e788…
07-03 00:43:14	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xd61aa5…
07-03 00:43:05	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xce5a8a…
07-03 00:42:47	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x753c84…
07-03 00:42:16	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xad8876…
07-03 00:21:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0xbb83dc…
07-03 00:20:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0x31cd4f…
07-03 00:18:58	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	No	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x80e758…
07-03 00:15:04	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	No	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x24146f…
07-03 00:00:22	california tax spend audit proposition	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x6d7a33…
07-02 23:54:37	california tax spend audit proposition	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd2936e…
07-02 23:18:28	fda approves viatris low dose estrogen weekly patch 07 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x2213f5…
07-02 23:18:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x86d3af…
07-02 23:14:49	fda approves viatris low dose estrogen weekly patch 07 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8d8f71…
07-02 22:57:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x1e5b41…
07-02 21:11:20	california homebuying loan program proposition	No	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0xe0fe23…
07-02 21:06:52	california homebuying loan program proposition	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xd4a76b…
07-02 14:50:22	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x0b6870…
07-02 14:40:31	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x49d202…
07-02 13:56:14	california homebuying loan program proposition	No	SELL	27	29¢	$8	0x5cf1b5…
07-02 13:55:32	california homebuying loan program proposition	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x5c9cff…
07-02 13:28:46	will cloud9 make a roster change before septemeber 20260701210647118	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x05a034…
07-02 00:49:43	will cloud9 make a roster change before septemeber 20260701210647118	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x3eb848…
07-01 19:58:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	26	37¢	$10	0xe9e725…
07-01 19:58:19	will coin dip to 145 in july 2026	No	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x068021…
07-01 19:57:47	will coin dip to 145 in july 2026	No	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0xe83a79…
07-01 19:52:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x081008…
07-01 00:51:40	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5ae4e6…
07-01 00:48:22	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x03ff7a…
06-30 23:28:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe269ce…
06-30 23:27:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x974c55…
06-30 23:08:43	nathans famous hot dog eating contest new world record 20260626152407219	No	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xaae32f…
06-30 23:07:40	nathans famous hot dog eating contest new world record 20260626152407219	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x7015cb…
06-29 01:02:34	will waymo launch in tampa fl by december 31 2026 20260626203025664	Yes	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x1a62d1…
06-29 01:02:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x82a14a…
06-29 01:01:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x6044a4…
06-29 01:01:35	will ewy reach 201 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x83ff9c…
06-29 01:00:59	will ewy reach 201 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x41605d…
06-29 00:54:50	will waymo launch in tampa fl by december 31 2026 20260626203025664	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x2bc3ed…
06-29 00:52:55	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x6e88b9…
06-29 00:51:59	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x152168…
06-29 00:33:37	will amzn dip to 224 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x9e47ad…
06-29 00:31:29	will amzn dip to 224 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x614737…
06-29 00:28:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x60592f…
06-29 00:25:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x13dc34…
06-29 00:09:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x7dd013…
06-29 00:07:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xe596fd…
06-28 23:59:40	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xf71123…
06-28 23:55:41	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x24b9ae…
06-24 23:58:26	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0x258add…
06-24 23:55:56	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x87f43a…
06-24 23:24:49	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0xe5c9e1…
06-24 23:22:23	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x53c787…