Spicy-Disease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.7%

Resolved

Trades

694

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-01 00:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

79% 11% $-52

Politics

12% 0% $-25

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	30	$1.9K	1,427	1,427	+0	open	—	04-23 18:42
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	28	$771	737	737	+0	Yes	$-37	04-22 21:12
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	14	$744	552	552	+0	open	—	04-22 15:04
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	20	$561	546	546	+0	open	—	05-12 11:43
will david bailey be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	15	$411	405	405	+0	open	—	04-21 15:40
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	4	$396	230	230	+0	open	—	04-17 14:07
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	4	$383	256	256	+0	open	—	04-16 07:40
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	15	$299	284	284	+0	No	$-13	04-23 11:20
Nothing Ever Happens: April	8	$289	299	299	+0	open	—	04-20 13:04
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	9	$286	293	293	+0	open	—	04-27 11:28
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	7	$279	204	204	+0	open	—	04-23 11:56
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	4	$264	148	148	+0	open	—	04-17 15:48
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	9	$259	255	255	+0	open	—	05-12 11:43
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	6	$252	233	233	+0	open	—	04-20 12:14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	6	$252	250	250	+0	Yes	$-4	05-11 02:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	9	$252	275	275	+0	open	—	04-27 04:49
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	5	$243	183	183	+0	open	—	04-17 17:30
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	6	$211	185	185	+0	open	—	05-12 12:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	8	$208	197	197	+0	open	—	04-24 05:31
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	2	$203	132	132	+0	open	—	04-24 08:37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	6	$163	172	172	+0	open	—	05-11 13:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$159	149	149	+0	open	—	04-20 12:12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	4	$153	162	162	+0	open	—	05-11 13:03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	5	$152	154	154	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 00:05
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	14	$151	274	274	+0	open	—	04-24 05:33
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	9	$142	256	256	+0	open	—	04-21 19:58
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	6	$128	90	90	+0	open	—	04-23 12:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	8	$124	112	112	+0	open	—	05-11 23:18
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 1 week?	2	$123	69	69	+0	open	—	04-24 12:46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	4	$120	127	127	+0	open	—	05-07 11:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 00:51:40	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5ae4e6…
07-01 00:48:22	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x03ff7a…
06-30 23:28:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe269ce…
06-30 23:27:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x974c55…
06-30 23:08:43	nathans famous hot dog eating contest new world record 20260626152407219	No	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xaae32f…
06-30 23:07:40	nathans famous hot dog eating contest new world record 20260626152407219	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x7015cb…
06-29 01:02:34	will waymo launch in tampa fl by december 31 2026 20260626203025664	Yes	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x1a62d1…
06-29 01:02:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x82a14a…
06-29 01:01:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x6044a4…
06-29 01:01:35	will ewy reach 201 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x83ff9c…
06-29 01:00:59	will ewy reach 201 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x41605d…
06-29 00:54:50	will waymo launch in tampa fl by december 31 2026 20260626203025664	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x2bc3ed…
06-29 00:52:55	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x6e88b9…
06-29 00:51:59	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x152168…
06-29 00:33:37	will amzn dip to 224 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x9e47ad…
06-29 00:31:29	will amzn dip to 224 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x614737…
06-29 00:28:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x60592f…
06-29 00:25:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x13dc34…
06-29 00:09:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x7dd013…
06-29 00:07:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xe596fd…
06-28 23:59:40	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xf71123…
06-28 23:55:41	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x24b9ae…
06-24 23:58:26	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0x258add…
06-24 23:55:56	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x87f43a…
06-24 23:24:49	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0xe5c9e1…
06-24 23:22:23	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x53c787…
06-24 23:10:28	will vox get a cabinet seat in the next andalusian government 20260609180715367	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x1fd622…
06-24 22:53:43	will vox get a cabinet seat in the next andalusian government 20260609180715367	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2a5e82…
06-24 21:01:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xb60c31…
06-24 20:56:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x5254c6…
06-22 20:47:59	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 24 20260619212504658	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xd22860…
06-22 20:47:34	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 24 20260619212504658	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xa6afc0…
06-22 20:30:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x4782dd…
06-22 20:29:47	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x740041…
06-22 20:26:58	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	26	64¢	$17	0xfa17a7…
06-22 20:26:22	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xb6e630…
06-22 20:26:04	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xe06816…
06-22 20:19:40	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	No	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0xce50f0…
06-22 20:18:10	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	No	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0xfe866b…
06-22 19:22:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x7c841d…
06-22 19:18:52	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x0cb5a6…
06-22 18:53:05	will spy dip to 740 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0xb02aff…
06-22 18:52:13	will spy dip to 740 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0x2c545a…
06-22 18:46:56	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	17	63¢	$10	0xfd1f95…
06-22 18:35:17	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xe1334d…
06-17 22:14:40	will spy dip to 735 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x31ce09…
06-17 22:12:01	will spy dip to 735 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x0d24f4…
06-17 21:43:52	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x3e278e…
06-17 21:43:05	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x6dc230…
06-17 00:59:58	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0xd6781c…
06-17 00:59:32	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x452c08…
06-17 00:46:44	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0x2cc88e…
06-17 00:45:31	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x4584b5…
06-17 00:20:11	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x55ce47…
06-17 00:20:05	will abdel fattah el sisi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204735	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x37d5c8…
06-17 00:19:14	will abdel fattah el sisi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204735	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x60dce6…
06-17 00:10:47	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xfc4f5d…
06-16 00:42:39	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	Yes	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0xba1e60…
06-16 00:32:55	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x21d6c7…
06-16 00:32:27	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x2a384f…
06-16 00:10:57	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0xa470ff…
06-16 00:03:46	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x303c5e…
06-15 23:16:19	will xagusd dip to 65 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0xd2ee57…
06-15 23:16:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x8ffd03…
06-15 20:16:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x2a67cd…
06-15 18:50:46	will coin dip to 155 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x418b9b…
06-15 18:49:21	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x6a493d…
06-15 01:08:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x281667…
06-15 01:08:51	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x20483a…
06-15 01:08:45	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x859afa…
06-15 00:36:27	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x36582e…
06-15 00:30:28	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xcd4450…
06-14 16:02:21	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0x2c6bc9…
06-14 15:48:07	will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x2a5426…
06-14 15:47:40	will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x133932…
06-14 15:41:03	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	Yes	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x59dd02…
06-12 14:11:12	will propr launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x79af9d…
06-12 14:10:34	will propr launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0xa34247…
06-12 13:42:10	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	30	42¢	$12	0xfe8449…
06-12 13:41:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0x37363d…
06-12 13:41:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x18897b…
06-12 13:41:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xc2ccc0…
06-12 13:40:45	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xd8a11b…
06-12 13:31:43	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x8919c9…
06-12 13:28:33	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3b8f93…
06-12 12:59:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	28	42¢	$12	0xa0cef7…
06-12 12:56:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0x67b932…
06-12 12:55:33	jhon cordoba 20260609175657511	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x238391…
06-12 12:54:12	jhon cordoba 20260609175657511	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf022ef…
06-10 00:47:03	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x2aa62c…
06-10 00:45:40	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x0968bb…
06-09 23:58:48	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0xfef91b…
06-09 23:53:10	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0xc75b6e…
06-09 23:06:33	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	43	80¢	$34	0xa7874a…
06-09 13:48:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xf7fd0a…
06-09 13:47:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x001ebb…
06-09 13:44:33	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0xd69325…
06-09 13:42:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x2176a4…
06-09 13:39:51	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	37	37¢	$14	0x852bff…
06-09 13:39:03	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	37	37¢	$14	0x2d3c5b…