Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,343
$1,057 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$5,544
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-17 06:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $1.2K | $66 | +$1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 7 | $197 | $50 | +$146 |
| Below median | 5 | $937 | $11 | +$926 |
| unranked | 5 | $19 | $5 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Demand 0xcd54…733b | No | +1,121 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 15:56 |
| Cultured-Checkout 0xc0b6…febf | No | +622 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-16 08:01 |
| Young-Entertainment 0x8df4…86cb | Yes | +181 | $182 | $980 | 5 | 05-17 06:09 |
| Great-Back 0x50f8…de0d | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 16:52 |
| Alarmed-Reward 0x2724…6d08 | No | +97 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:35 |
| Prickly-Ramie 0x9e1e…2a7d | No | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 08:31 |
| Genuine-Sanctuary 0x46a7…fb23 | No | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 07:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6fe…4193 | No | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 00:25 |
| Ugly-Recorder 0x7cbb…505a | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-16 08:11 |
| Strange-Chorus 0xb9e2…209c | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 05:01 |
| Tattered-Recording 0x131e…b41b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 19:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 06:17:40 | Sorrowful-Bowler 0x97a9…241b | Yes | SELL | 192 | 99¢ | $190 | 0xf70f31… |
| 05-17 06:17:33 | Sorrowful-Bowler 0x97a9…241b | Yes | BUY | 192 | 100¢ | $191 | 0x533aeb… |
| 05-17 06:14:55 | Diligent-Squeegee 0x6c20…2f0b | Yes | SELL | 85 | 99¢ | $85 | 0x0b0676… |
| 05-17 06:14:48 | Diligent-Squeegee 0x6c20…2f0b | Yes | BUY | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x57ffae… |
| 05-17 06:12:44 | Diligent-Squeegee 0x6c20…2f0b | Yes | SELL | 87 | 99¢ | $87 | 0xcad63a… |
| 05-17 06:12:35 | Diligent-Squeegee 0x6c20…2f0b | Yes | BUY | 87 | 100¢ | $87 | 0x1415ee… |
| 05-17 06:12:19 | Diligent-Squeegee 0x6c20…2f0b | Yes | SELL | 88 | 99¢ | $88 | 0xee2d8c… |
| 05-17 06:09:40 | Young-Entertainment 0x8df4…86cb | Yes | SELL | 201 | 99¢ | $199 | 0x92652e… |
| 05-17 06:09:33 | Young-Entertainment 0x8df4…86cb | Yes | BUY | 201 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x1a5b96… |
| 05-17 06:09:12 | Young-Entertainment 0x8df4…86cb | Yes | SELL | 202 | 99¢ | $200 | 0x0c8a6a… |
| 05-17 06:09:05 | Young-Entertainment 0x8df4…86cb | Yes | BUY | 202 | 100¢ | $201 | 0xf23088… |
| 05-17 06:04:58 | Young-Entertainment 0x8df4…86cb | Yes | BUY | 181 | 100¢ | $180 | 0x0cfec6… |
| 05-17 06:00:01 | Scared-Real 0x8093…6e6c | Yes | SELL | 92 | 99¢ | $92 | 0xc0838c… |
| 05-17 05:59:52 | Scared-Real 0x8093…6e6c | Yes | BUY | 92 | 100¢ | $92 | 0xd6ff3e… |
| 05-17 05:59:36 | Scared-Real 0x8093…6e6c | Yes | SELL | 92 | 99¢ | $92 | 0xf1ad39… |
| 05-17 05:59:28 | Scared-Real 0x8093…6e6c | Yes | BUY | 92 | 100¢ | $92 | 0x48a3c9… |
| 05-17 05:52:22 | Grave-Buzzard 0xd94b…a523 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 99¢ | $87 | 0xab0ab7… |
| 05-16 18:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x672492… |
| 05-16 16:52:50 | Great-Back 0x50f8…de0d | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa4c5bc… |
| 05-16 15:56:24 | Prickly-Demand 0xcd54…733b | No | BUY | 1,121 | 1¢ | $11 | 0xdfe8a5… |
| 05-16 09:35:13 | Alarmed-Reward 0x2724…6d08 | No | BUY | 97 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd7847e… |
| 05-16 08:31:35 | Prickly-Ramie 0x9e1e…2a7d | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4a6697… |
| 05-16 08:11:15 | Ugly-Recorder 0x7cbb…505a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xd7288e… |
| 05-16 08:01:11 | Cultured-Checkout 0xc0b6…febf | No | BUY | 622 | 8¢ | $50 | 0x327d70… |
| 05-16 07:20:05 | Genuine-Sanctuary 0x46a7…fb23 | No | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc42bcc… |
| 05-16 05:01:08 | Strange-Chorus 0xb9e2…209c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8fc14f… |
| 05-16 03:33:47 | Dependable-Ant 0xa624…d8af | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf264a2… |
| 05-16 00:25:33 | (anonymous) 0xe6fe…4193 | No | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x915b10… |
| 05-13 19:52:50 | Tattered-Recording 0x131e…b41b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7f3772… |
| 05-08 10:09:54 | Grown-Oregano 0xd64a…5612 | No | SELL | 133 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6311b… |