Realized P&L
-$338
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
31.4%
Resolved
6,852
Trades
11,606
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$165
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 233 days
Categories
Crypto
90% 49% -$245
Other
8% 13% -$97
Tech
1% 29% +$0
Politics
1% 11% +$11
Pop-Culture
0% 35% $0
Sports
0% 7% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$88 98¢ $-98 -$10 04-29 02:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -68 -$53 97¢ $-66 -$13 04-29 02:36
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 06-15 01:54
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 07-13 11:06
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-05 00:58
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 05-28 11:36
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 05-27 07:13
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-13 05:29
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-18 12:46
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-12 04:44
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-26 15:10
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-02 12:48
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-27 18:01
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-27 12:08
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-09 09:35
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-23 15:46
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 05-26 15:01
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-26 08:38
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-17 11:13
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-29 04:42
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-03 13:44
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-13 06:16
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-13 11:04
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-13 09:14
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-17 22:42
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-13 11:29
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-11 08:18
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-28 07:31
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-08 02:54
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-13 05:41