Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?
No won
Total volume
$2,522,459
Trades
16,661
Unique wallets
6,277
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-02-01
First seen
2026-01-01
last 01-31 23:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $129.1K
vs crowd: 0% YES on $1.43M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 33 | $207 | $259.9K | $259.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 71 | $1.2K | $114.4K | $113.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 582 | $883 | $428.4K | $427.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5,591 | $1.1K | $622.4K | $621.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 101 | $570 | $128.6K | $128.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 147 | $577 | $205.8K | $205.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 195 | $29 | $47.5K | $47.4K |
| Median | 4,546 | $99 | $673.6K | $673.5K |
| Below median | 740 | $308 | $268.2K | $267.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 151 | $663 | $28.2K | $27.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 371 | $347 | $54.1K | $53.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 26 | $794 | $19.2K | $18.5K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numb-Right 0x115d…f608 | Yes | +190,301 | $16 | $781 | 2,093 | 01-29 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7fe3…eb49 | Yes | +146,035 | $500 | $502 | 2 | 01-29 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d6d…0a6c | Yes | +111,608 | $186 | $409 | 7 | 01-29 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x04fc…b9b1 | No | +48,683 | $48,537 | $48,537 | 107 | 01-14 05:56 |
| Portly-Carnation 0x9b0b…5e43 | Yes | +47,809 | -$181 | $569 | 1,048 | 01-16 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf29f…5cca | No | +39,062 | $38,749 | $38,749 | 1 | 01-29 16:50 |
| Prudent-Lid 0x25a7…a4c8 | No | +16,070 | $16,046 | $16,046 | 8 | 01-30 23:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0031…29f0 | Yes | +15,000 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 01-08 15:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9244…3d8a | No | +11,915 | $11,904 | $11,904 | 1 | 01-02 09:34 |
| Minty-Airplane 0xc7f5…8f80 | No | +10,078 | $10,068 | $10,068 | 2 | 01-30 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fde…8a94 | Yes | +10,000 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 01-29 00:28 |
| Hot-Bloomer 0xa88b…976c | No | +8,113 | $8,105 | $8,105 | 1 | 01-29 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b07…782b | No | +7,777 | $7,769 | $7,769 | 1 | 01-31 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8e9…d52d | Yes | +6,667 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 01-05 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x620d…17fb | Yes | +6,170 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 01-29 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +5,749 | $11 | $28 | 47 | 01-13 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | +5,501 | $5,469 | $5,469 | 5 | 01-29 17:56 |
| Tasty-Apartment 0x64f8…8cad | No | +5,020 | $5,015 | $5,015 | 2 | 01-30 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d0e…a684 | No | +5,010 | $5,000 | $5,000 | 1 | 01-26 12:41 |
| International-Freezer 0x7580…853d | Yes | +5,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-21 08:31 |
| Stormy-Specialty 0xd996…2aba | Yes | +5,000 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-31 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb63a…4064 | No | +4,320 | $4,316 | $4,316 | 4 | 01-20 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x85d7…3656 | No | +4,316 | $4,312 | $4,312 | 1 | 01-31 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8666…d7c7 | No | +3,756 | $3,749 | $3,749 | 2 | 01-26 10:12 |
| Average-Isogloss 0xe23a…8518 | No | +3,333 | $3,330 | $3,330 | 1 | 01-28 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e0d…a69d | Yes | +3,320 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 01-08 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x55cd…99d0 | No | +3,214 | $3,211 | $3,211 | 1 | 01-27 14:02 |
| Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | +3,167 | -$11 | $37 | 95 | 01-17 12:16 |
| Tremendous-Street 0x9a10…38d7 | No | +3,128 | $3,125 | $3,125 | 1 | 01-30 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x2794…de5e | No | +3,100 | $3,097 | $3,097 | 1 | 01-24 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7fb…f935 | No | +3,000 | $2,997 | $2,997 | 14 | 01-31 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9285…c19d | Yes | +2,596 | -$95 | $355 | 780 | 01-29 16:50 |
| Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | +2,551 | $2,530 | $13,698 | 31 | 01-10 09:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ce0…d8e2 | Yes | +2,500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-21 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4ac…efe9 | No | +2,424 | $2,422 | $2,422 | 1 | 01-15 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3aae…b2fb | No | +2,419 | $2,414 | $4,050 | 6 | 01-26 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd442…43f2 | No | +2,400 | $2,398 | $2,398 | 1 | 01-21 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x76a6…03cf | No | +2,089 | $2,085 | $4,174 | 5 | 01-26 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3dad…35bb | No | +2,056 | $2,052 | $3,163 | 10 | 01-26 12:41 |
| Vague-Rainmaker 0x4e53…5a39 | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 01-31 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x727d…6a87 | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 01-31 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3683…0805 | Yes | +1,953 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 01-20 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x33ca…61c1 | No | +1,805 | $1,803 | $1,803 | 1 | 01-31 17:31 |
| Impressive-Intelligence 0x9dcb…8716 | No | +1,763 | $1,762 | $1,762 | 1 | 01-31 23:41 |
| Double-Slider 0xf928…4ae7 | No | +1,761 | $1,760 | $1,760 | 2 | 01-31 23:42 |
| Canine-Bicycle 0x540a…ce41 | No | +1,756 | $1,754 | $1,754 | 1 | 01-31 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x6efc…9156 | Yes | +1,717 | $1 | $3 | 23 | 01-31 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x317c…3b3b | No | +1,702 | $1,700 | $1,700 | 1 | 01-24 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b40…5aea | No | +1,692 | $1,690 | $1,690 | 1 | 01-31 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0514…6fc8 | Yes | +1,667 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-02 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x285a…fd1b | Yes | +1,662 | -$12 | $53 | 151 | 01-31 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd29…fd24 | Yes | +1,651 | -$1 | $101 | 41 | 01-22 00:21 |
| Sudden-Crisis 0x71a6…6fa0 | Yes | +1,500 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 01-01 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3df9…71d8 | Yes | +1,426 | -$12 | $50 | 90 | 01-31 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x90bb…531f | Yes | +1,190 | -$11 | $44 | 109 | 01-31 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x959d…fe29 | Yes | +1,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 01-05 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x74c9…d064 | Yes | +1,000 | $2 | $6 | 3 | 01-25 19:48 |
| Healthy-Herring 0x2b35…650b | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 21:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc2d…9009 | Yes | +1,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 01-06 03:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b0e…138d | Yes | +682 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 23:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 23:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x90bb…531f | Yes | BUY | 890 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcac0b8… |
| 01-31 23:42:14 | Spirited-Breakpoint 0x64f1…397a | No | BUY | 890 | 100¢ | $889 | 0xcac0b8… |
| 01-31 23:42:12 | Double-Slider 0xf928…4ae7 | No | BUY | 1,580 | 100¢ | $1,579 | 0xd2d1e2… |
| 01-31 23:42:12 | (anonymous) 0x3df9…71d8 | Yes | BUY | 601 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd2d1e2… |
| 01-31 23:42:12 | Dual-Outrun 0x0628…bcd8 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xd2d1e2… |
| 01-31 23:42:12 | (anonymous) 0x90bb…531f | Yes | BUY | 929 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd2d1e2… |
| 01-31 23:42:12 | (anonymous) 0x90bb…531f | Yes | BUY | 181 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b13a9… |
| 01-31 23:42:12 | Double-Slider 0xf928…4ae7 | No | BUY | 181 | 100¢ | $181 | 0x8b13a9… |
| 01-31 23:42:02 | Automatic-Alder 0xd4a9…e77c | No | BUY | 1,071 | 100¢ | $1,070 | 0x90964b… |
| 01-31 23:42:02 | (anonymous) 0x90bb…531f | Yes | BUY | 1,071 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x90964b… |
| 01-31 23:41:44 | (anonymous) 0x3df9…71d8 | Yes | BUY | 1,399 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7afb29… |
| 01-31 23:41:44 | Canine-Bicycle 0x540a…ce41 | No | BUY | 1,756 | 100¢ | $1,754 | 0x7afb29… |
| 01-31 23:41:44 | (anonymous) 0x285a…fd1b | Yes | BUY | 357 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7afb29… |
| 01-31 23:41:36 | (anonymous) 0x285a…fd1b | Yes | BUY | 1,643 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x0288ea… |
| 01-31 23:41:36 | Vague-Rainmaker 0x4e53…5a39 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0288ea… |
| 01-31 23:41:36 | Impressive-Intelligence 0x9dcb…8716 | No | BUY | 1,763 | 100¢ | $1,762 | 0x0288ea… |
| 01-31 23:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x363c…cf7f | No | BUY | 1,065 | 100¢ | $1,064 | 0xc10546… |
| 01-31 23:39:26 | Vague-Rainmaker 0x4e53…5a39 | Yes | BUY | 815 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe399ac… |
| 01-31 23:39:26 | (anonymous) 0xb73f…4ed0 | No | BUY | 815 | 100¢ | $814 | 0xe399ac… |
| 01-31 23:39:26 | Vague-Rainmaker 0x4e53…5a39 | Yes | BUY | 1,065 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc10546… |
| 01-31 23:36:56 | (anonymous) 0x6efc…9156 | Yes | SELL | 267 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x000878… |
| 01-31 23:36:56 | Dual-Outrun 0x0628…bcd8 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x000878… |
| 01-31 23:36:56 | Good-Natured-Servant 0x8788…8aa8 | No | BUY | 365 | 100¢ | $365 | 0x000878… |
| 01-31 23:36:56 | (anonymous) 0x1b0e…138d | Yes | BUY | 682 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x000878… |
| 01-31 22:55:00 | Stormy-Specialty 0xd996…2aba | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x3a7775… |
| 01-31 22:55:00 | (anonymous) 0x285a…fd1b | Yes | SELL | 165 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a7775… |
| 01-31 22:55:00 | (anonymous) 0x3df9…71d8 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3a7775… |
| 01-31 22:55:00 | Good-Natured-Servant 0x8788…8aa8 | No | BUY | 235 | 100¢ | $235 | 0x3a7775… |
| 01-31 22:55:00 | (anonymous) 0x90bb…531f | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3a7775… |
| 01-31 22:55:00 | Dizzy-Indigence 0x296a…fb2f | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x3a7775… |
| 01-31 22:55:00 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x3a7775… |
| 01-31 21:15:22 | (anonymous) 0x285a…fd1b | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2b52ad… |
| 01-31 21:15:22 | Healthy-Herring 0x2b35…650b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2b52ad… |
| 01-31 17:31:38 | (anonymous) 0xebb3…0ddf | No | BUY | 162 | 100¢ | $162 | 0x65fa58… |
| 01-31 17:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x1946…f67a | No | BUY | 198 | 100¢ | $198 | 0x65fa58… |
| 01-31 17:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x285a…fd1b | Yes | SELL | 835 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x65fa58… |
| 01-31 17:31:38 | Flawless-Pinstripe 0x9339…ed6f | No | SELL | 3,000 | 100¢ | $2,997 | 0x65fa58… |
| 01-31 17:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x33ca…61c1 | No | BUY | 1,805 | 100¢ | $1,803 | 0x65fa58… |
| 01-31 16:11:10 | Wee-Comportment 0x4d9e…0261 | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xed9f68… |
| 01-31 16:11:10 | (anonymous) 0x0ed4…158e | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xed9f68… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x4639…4d57 | No | BUY | 148 | 100¢ | $148 | 0x60c0c8… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 163 | 100¢ | $163 | 0xa7adf3… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0xa63c…d2ab | No | BUY | 163 | 100¢ | $163 | 0xa7adf3… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 580 | 100¢ | $579 | 0x3062e8… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x0ed4…158e | No | BUY | 580 | 100¢ | $579 | 0x3062e8… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 143 | 100¢ | $143 | 0x286e52… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 141 | 100¢ | $141 | 0x77b7c9… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 148 | 100¢ | $148 | 0x60c0c8… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x9825…eff7 | No | BUY | 143 | 100¢ | $143 | 0x286e52… |
| 01-31 16:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x1101…b116 | No | BUY | 141 | 100¢ | $141 | 0x77b7c9… |
| 01-31 16:00:48 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 328 | 100¢ | $328 | 0x4f9bdc… |
| 01-31 16:00:48 | (anonymous) 0xfda0…f9e2 | No | BUY | 328 | 100¢ | $328 | 0x4f9bdc… |
| 01-31 16:00:48 | (anonymous) 0xad13…0fae | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x45a94e… |
| 01-31 16:00:48 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 453 | 100¢ | $453 | 0x6f6ecb… |
| 01-31 16:00:48 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x45a94e… |
| 01-31 16:00:48 | (anonymous) 0xb393…4feb | No | BUY | 453 | 100¢ | $453 | 0x6f6ecb… |
| 01-31 16:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xc347…f02e | No | BUY | 330 | 100¢ | $330 | 0xe0bd09… |
| 01-31 16:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 292 | 100¢ | $292 | 0xc20d34… |
| 01-31 16:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xa9cd…53d8 | No | BUY | 292 | 100¢ | $292 | 0xc20d34… |
| 01-31 16:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 330 | 100¢ | $330 | 0xe0bd09… |
| 01-31 16:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 147 | 100¢ | $147 | 0x068a7a… |
| 01-31 16:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xf11a…7192 | No | BUY | 147 | 100¢ | $147 | 0x068a7a… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x31a1…ec9a | No | BUY | 386 | 100¢ | $386 | 0xb49b90… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x435d…dc94 | No | BUY | 358 | 100¢ | $358 | 0x11b299… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 337 | 100¢ | $337 | 0x06d7cd… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x7804…d2db | No | BUY | 182 | 100¢ | $182 | 0x2b1e8d… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 182 | 100¢ | $182 | 0x2b1e8d… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 386 | 100¢ | $386 | 0xb49b90… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x12bd…b77f | No | BUY | 184 | 100¢ | $184 | 0x9aa09c… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 358 | 100¢ | $358 | 0x11b299… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x85d7…3656 | No | BUY | 4,316 | 100¢ | $4,312 | 0x682039… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…fb4d | No | BUY | 283 | 100¢ | $283 | 0x48c09d… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 184 | 100¢ | $184 | 0x9aa09c… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x4988…5aee | No | BUY | 337 | 100¢ | $337 | 0x06d7cd… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 283 | 100¢ | $283 | 0x48c09d… |
| 01-31 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 4,316 | 100¢ | $4,312 | 0x682039… |
| 01-31 16:00:42 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 1,692 | 100¢ | $1,690 | 0xdc5380… |
| 01-31 16:00:42 | (anonymous) 0x6b40…5aea | No | BUY | 1,692 | 100¢ | $1,690 | 0xdc5380… |
| 01-31 16:00:40 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 156 | 100¢ | $156 | 0x5ee5b5… |
| 01-31 16:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x9b7e…1bb0 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x6c7991… |
| 01-31 16:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x7f3d…ed44 | No | BUY | 156 | 100¢ | $156 | 0x5ee5b5… |
| 01-31 16:00:40 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x6c7991… |
| 01-31 16:00:36 | (anonymous) 0xbd5f…6327 | No | BUY | 316 | 100¢ | $316 | 0xd2f3b4… |
| 01-31 16:00:36 | (anonymous) 0xc3f4…5e03 | No | BUY | 1,392 | 100¢ | $1,391 | 0x5a594a… |
| 01-31 16:00:36 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 316 | 100¢ | $316 | 0xd2f3b4… |
| 01-31 16:00:36 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 1,392 | 100¢ | $1,391 | 0x5a594a… |
| 01-31 16:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x3ec4…3486 | No | BUY | 225 | 100¢ | $225 | 0x19a260… |
| 01-31 16:00:34 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 225 | 100¢ | $225 | 0x19a260… |
| 01-31 16:00:32 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 377 | 100¢ | $377 | 0x073aaf… |
| 01-31 16:00:32 | Admired-Curd 0xda55…398d | No | BUY | 325 | 100¢ | $325 | 0x19bd38… |
| 01-31 16:00:32 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 356 | 100¢ | $356 | 0xeffe81… |
| 01-31 16:00:32 | (anonymous) 0x15b7…4b7b | No | BUY | 377 | 100¢ | $377 | 0x073aaf… |
| 01-31 16:00:32 | (anonymous) 0x3351…ce37 | No | BUY | 356 | 100¢ | $356 | 0xeffe81… |
| 01-31 16:00:32 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 325 | 100¢ | $325 | 0x19bd38… |
| 01-31 16:00:28 | (anonymous) 0xc9af…b799 | No | BUY | 154 | 100¢ | $154 | 0x0e4157… |
| 01-31 16:00:28 | (anonymous) 0xa2ab…1a71 | No | BUY | 132 | 100¢ | $132 | 0xa613c9… |
| 01-31 16:00:28 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 132 | 100¢ | $132 | 0xa613c9… |
| 01-31 16:00:28 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 154 | 100¢ | $154 | 0x0e4157… |
| 01-31 16:00:26 | (anonymous) 0xa309…e7be | No | SELL | 178 | 100¢ | $178 | 0xaff776… |
| 01-31 16:00:26 | (anonymous) 0x0422…ccba | No | BUY | 178 | 100¢ | $178 | 0xaff776… |