Realized P&L
-$1.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
1,806
Trades
4,840
lifetime
Volume
$8.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$454
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 09-16 16:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 12% -$888
Other
31% 14% -$290
Politics
8% 19% -$88
Sports
3% 44% -$42
Tech
1% 23% +$47
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -7,609 -$60 2¢ $-114 -$54 09-14 07:48
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,000 -$60 1¢ $-68 -$8 06-14 04:02
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,834 -$71 2¢ $-51 +$20 06-08 04:32
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,273 -$79 1¢ $-40 +$39 09-14 07:48
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,983 -$45 1¢ $-37 +$7 08-06 05:32
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,910 -$49 1¢ $-36 +$13 09-12 22:33
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,467 -$26 2¢ $-25 +$1 07-27 18:07
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,667 -$25 1¢ $-20 +$5 09-14 07:48
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$36 0¢ $-10 +$26 06-14 04:03
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,500 -$11 0¢ $-8 +$3 09-14 07:48
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -48 $0 16¢ $-8 -$8 07-16 09:03
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -9 -$2 43¢ $-4 -$2 07-07 18:06
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -5 -$2 75¢ $-4 -$2 06-15 15:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -4 -$1 91¢ $-3 -$2 07-06 04:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -94 -$6 3¢ $-3 +$3 07-21 06:14
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -3 -$2 93¢ $-3 -$1 07-05 07:22
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -4 -$2 79¢ $-3 -$1 07-04 23:33
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -45 -$3 6¢ $-3 +$0 07-04 23:35
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$5 0¢ $-2 +$3 09-14 07:48
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -16 -$4 14¢ $-2 +$2 07-04 23:34
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 07-06 04:35
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -7 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 06:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 07-06 04:35
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -17 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$0 07-04 23:35
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 07-06 04:35
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -8 -$1 11¢ $-1 +$0 07-16 07:11
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No -3 -$1 25¢ $-1 $0 07-06 04:41
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No -3 -$1 24¢ $-1 +$0 07-06 04:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -132 -$3 1¢ $-1 +$2 08-28 17:24
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No -2 -$1 36¢ $-1 $0 07-06 04:41