Dual-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

19,715

lifetime

Volume

$956.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$2.97K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-06 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$60

Politics

24% 100% +$20

Crypto

17% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 539 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No		+3,000	$2,973	99¢	$3.0K	$-2	06-06 22:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	244	$15.7K	9,461	6,455	+3,006	open	—	04-25 02:25
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	240	$14.4K	8,340	6,222	+2,118	open	—	04-22 19:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	230	$13.0K	7,517	5,689	+1,827	open	—	04-30 05:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	178	$11.8K	6,557	5,426	+1,130	open	—	04-26 15:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	179	$11.6K	6,364	5,347	+1,017	open	—	04-27 23:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	151	$11.4K	7,515	4,033	+3,482	open	—	04-05 09:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	147	$11.3K	6,583	4,908	+1,674	open	—	04-15 11:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	162	$11.2K	6,133	5,219	+914	open	—	04-28 07:05
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	204	$11.0K	6,187	4,967	+1,220	open	—	04-12 22:32
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	204	$10.3K	6,759	3,695	+3,064	No	+$40	04-27 10:48
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	142	$9.3K	5,298	4,064	+1,234	open	—	03-31 20:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	123	$9.2K	5,368	3,982	+1,386	open	—	04-02 16:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	167	$8.8K	5,153	3,807	+1,346	open	—	04-30 00:45
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	132	$8.7K	4,659	4,190	+468	open	—	05-12 00:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	115	$8.6K	4,746	3,977	+769	open	—	04-30 07:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	110	$8.5K	4,703	4,014	+689	open	—	05-12 17:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	145	$8.4K	4,994	3,608	+1,386	open	—	05-13 21:41
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	120	$8.2K	5,072	3,282	+1,790	open	—	04-16 06:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	192	$8.1K	4,601	3,567	+1,035	open	—	03-24 13:49
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	93	$6.6K	4,093	2,784	+1,309	open	—	04-02 16:00
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	142	$6.6K	3,554	3,071	+483	open	—	04-24 20:00
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	113	$6.6K	3,792	2,830	+962	open	—	03-31 17:22
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	161	$6.5K	3,774	2,772	+1,002	open	—	03-30 17:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	153	$6.2K	3,849	2,433	+1,416	open	—	01-31 11:42
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	107	$6.1K	3,440	2,768	+671	open	—	04-05 16:03
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	114	$6.1K	3,363	2,799	+565	open	—	01-25 02:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	106	$6.0K	3,516	2,623	+893	open	—	04-27 16:00
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	100	$6.0K	3,367	2,737	+629	open	—	04-06 06:53
Netanyahu out by April 30?	89	$6.0K	3,516	2,585	+931	open	—	04-30 15:15
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	97	$6.0K	3,344	2,696	+647	open	—	04-12 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 22:00:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,973	0x401411…
05-20 09:41:54	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4b1668…
05-20 09:41:44	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	58	1¢	$1	0x199f4a…
05-14 06:53:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	307	97¢	$299	0xe3844d…
05-14 06:42:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x2d08eb…
05-14 05:59:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x3b976a…
05-14 01:55:49	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	179	98¢	$176	0xe8cb9a…
05-14 01:55:33	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	301	99¢	$297	0x4801e3…
05-14 01:54:42	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	301	99¢	$298	0x18ad70…
05-14 01:54:05	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	184	98¢	$181	0x00a646…
05-13 23:34:56	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x06d4ce…
05-13 21:41:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x02fe84…
05-13 21:03:58	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	204	98¢	$199	0x02372a…
05-13 19:33:28	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x28cfba…
05-13 17:52:54	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x06af1d…
05-13 17:46:03	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x89438a…
05-13 17:44:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb6e743…
05-13 17:40:39	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x18806c…
05-13 17:20:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa3d5f5…
05-13 17:11:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x12b2da…
05-13 16:18:06	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	147	99¢	$145	0x325b7d…
05-13 16:15:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0xef70c1…
05-13 16:08:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	204	29¢	$59	0x4347b8…
05-13 13:08:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x5b1efc…
05-13 10:32:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x397a8c…
05-13 10:32:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x233edd…
05-13 10:31:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xddd16a…
05-13 10:31:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x97333b…
05-13 10:27:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xcab5ac…
05-13 10:13:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x2a5902…
05-13 09:57:18	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0xb15d8c…
05-13 07:22:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x53e93c…
05-13 06:56:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xc32ce9…
05-13 06:04:54	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x2473a3…
05-13 05:40:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaaf53e…
05-13 05:10:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0xe97e60…
05-13 05:09:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$73	0xf29ee8…
05-13 05:09:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xe5407b…
05-13 05:00:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x683629…
05-13 04:45:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0xaa3c52…
05-13 04:45:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x043a3e…
05-13 04:44:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x73bc74…
05-13 04:41:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x013e57…
05-13 03:46:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xca92ad…
05-13 03:43:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x14b9d7…
05-13 03:39:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd07fc4…
05-13 03:38:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x72e9fb…
05-13 03:37:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$95	0x9512c0…
05-13 03:10:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xbf1df7…
05-13 03:07:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcf80f8…
05-13 02:39:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x85a363…
05-13 02:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdf186b…
05-13 02:39:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x44a64b…
05-13 02:39:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x50552e…
05-13 02:39:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x894a38…
05-13 02:26:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xdbf46c…
05-13 02:18:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd4b2a5…
05-13 02:11:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x0465f4…
05-13 02:09:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xbd3339…
05-13 02:07:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$100	0x07dd70…
05-13 02:05:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe158b8…
05-13 02:05:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x42736f…
05-13 02:05:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x275c04…
05-13 01:57:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2db2cf…
05-13 01:51:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xda870a…
05-13 01:39:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$100	0x219e50…
05-13 01:32:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$70	0x549e10…
05-13 00:43:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3be2dc…
05-12 23:10:46	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x447990…
05-12 23:09:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xe1997b…
05-12 23:08:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xea8b5e…
05-12 22:05:14	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x017b87…
05-12 21:50:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xc9fda8…
05-12 21:32:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x80fb07…
05-12 20:44:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$65	0x639bdc…
05-12 20:42:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x220fe5…
05-12 20:40:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xb150c2…
05-12 20:00:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xc1785a…
05-12 18:56:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x91cf4a…
05-12 18:56:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x3f6faa…
05-12 18:56:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x6ed2ba…
05-12 18:56:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x1e00d5…
05-12 18:56:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x1d3670…
05-12 18:23:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa15f13…
05-12 18:13:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x9a57d0…
05-12 18:04:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x506615…
05-12 17:37:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8193a5…
05-12 17:26:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x9ef9e9…
05-12 17:18:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xe34825…
05-12 17:12:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xca5d08…
05-12 16:49:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x009094…
05-12 16:44:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x763b0a…
05-12 16:44:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x23a7d5…
05-12 16:25:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x59f844…
05-12 16:17:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x3a5374…
05-12 15:50:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x39072a…
05-12 15:46:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb5ddb7…
05-12 15:45:31	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x61e211…
05-12 15:41:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5ea854…
05-12 15:41:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe58466…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	642	$225.9K	121,628	04-27 02:25
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	614	$3.55M	68,513	06-05 01:04
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	583	$100.9K	31,504	05-29 05:14
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	504	$21.7K	15,719	06-05 07:10
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	483	$465.9K	4,393	06-03 21:58
Insidious-Workhorse 0xa084…d389	478	$990.2K	13,969	06-04 19:23
(anonymous) 0x9e23…e609	457	$884.9K	12,313	06-04 19:23
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	457	$38.2K	28,784	06-01 11:12