Vague-Rainmaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$114

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

724

Trades

27,438

lifetime

Volume

$217.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 05-22 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

98% 33% +$184

Crypto

2% 27% -$70

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No		+54	$52	99¢	$53	+$1	05-22 06:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	744	$19.3K	24,968	17,104	+7,864	No	-$147	02-19 21:04
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	729	$16.0K	22,320	15,331	+6,989	Yes	+$833	02-19 21:07
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	360	$9.1K	11,793	8,363	+3,430	Yes	+$3	02-16 21:01
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 40 64	406	$8.5K	12,826	8,787	+4,040	No	+$172	02-15 20:55
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	384	$8.4K	13,700	11,657	+2,043	No	-$66	02-16 20:59
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	423	$8.4K	14,005	12,258	+1,747	No	-$62	02-19 21:49
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	356	$8.3K	9,741	7,318	+2,423	No	-$64	02-17 20:59
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	285	$7.5K	9,521	5,721	+3,799	Yes	+$10	02-15 21:01
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 90 114	344	$7.4K	9,274	6,311	+2,963	No	-$66	02-15 21:11
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	290	$7.4K	9,044	7,176	+1,868	Yes	-$236	02-17 21:06
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	228	$7.1K	8,339	7,047	+1,292	No	+$10	02-16 20:27
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	249	$6.8K	8,429	5,487	+2,942	No	-$38	02-20 21:03
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	252	$6.5K	8,788	4,538	+4,249	No	-$33	02-13 21:01
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	207	$5.6K	7,538	5,402	+2,137	No	+$37	02-12 23:20
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 65 89	281	$5.5K	7,981	6,276	+1,705	No	-$1	02-20 21:36
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 115 139	228	$5.3K	7,277	5,061	+2,216	Yes	-$12	02-20 21:01
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	149	$5.3K	5,742	4,335	+1,407	No	-$7	02-12 23:02
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	370	$4.5K	10,885	9,166	+1,719	No	+$15	02-19 21:02
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	208	$4.3K	7,600	6,804	+797	Yes	-$40	02-12 21:34
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	324	$4.2K	8,944	7,409	+1,535	No	-$8	02-16 21:01
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 40 64	265	$4.0K	7,024	5,784	+1,240	No	-$48	02-17 21:40
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	328	$3.5K	12,718	11,840	+878	No	+$79	02-19 18:21
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 280 299	208	$3.1K	6,085	5,296	+790	No	+$29	02-21 05:12
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 40 64	189	$3.0K	5,737	4,774	+962	No	+$87	02-20 15:02
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	122	$3.0K	5,300	4,963	+337	No	+$19	02-13 21:20
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	103	$2.8K	4,102	3,219	+883	No	-$63	02-13 01:42
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 440 459	113	$2.4K	3,805	3,032	+773	No	+$21	02-12 22:58
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	89	$2.2K	2,857	2,024	+833	Yes	-$81	02-13 21:46
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	165	$2.2K	4,428	3,692	+736	No	+$19	02-21 03:00
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	199	$2.1K	5,060	4,091	+968	No	-$13	02-21 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 06:53:49	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x9e47ba…
03-04 05:25:31	elon musk of tweets march 2026 540 559	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6746b0…
03-03 21:42:15	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	No	SELL	135	85¢	$114	0xe3d473…
03-03 21:37:31	elon musk of tweets march 2026 300 319	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5650c8…
03-03 20:02:57	elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x3c2b47…
03-03 18:46:35	elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x721b3f…
03-03 17:54:37	elon musk of tweets march 2026 560 579	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xe4c763…
03-03 12:46:53	elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x0629ab…
03-03 08:09:29	elon musk of tweets march 2026 580 599	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x573279…
03-02 19:02:35	elon musk of tweets march 2026 220 239	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x706ece…
03-01 01:02:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 640 679	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x9135e2…
02-28 05:12:23	elon musk of tweets march 2026 260 279	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0xd90244…
02-28 02:57:23	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1000 1039	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x6d2bcb…
02-27 23:50:15	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xb8c331…
02-24 09:38:18	elon musk of tweets march 2026 260 279	Yes	SELL	88	0¢	$0	0x96d4e5…
02-23 09:44:10	elon musk of tweets march 2026 800 839	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xa07836…
02-22 19:20:04	elon musk of tweets march 2026 0 19	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf3b415…
02-22 17:41:20	elon musk of tweets march 2026 840 879	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xc06936…
02-22 17:40:18	elon musk of tweets march 2026 720 759	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x1b9479…
02-22 12:03:22	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x3d861c…
02-21 07:45:02	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 520 539	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$1	0x3b12b2…
02-21 07:34:08	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xe91f93…
02-21 07:15:00	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x7c710d…
02-21 06:43:28	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 160 179	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9fb022…
02-21 06:25:26	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 540 559	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x95096d…
02-21 06:04:34	elon musk of tweets march 2026 20 39	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x453ac9…
02-21 05:38:06	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 115 139	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xdc150e…
02-21 05:35:26	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 215 239	Yes	SELL	124	1¢	$1	0x27c0a3…
02-21 05:34:44	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 240plus	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb65c0a…
02-21 05:34:04	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 180 199	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x142a0d…
02-21 05:29:12	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0xe53ae1…
02-21 05:28:06	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 460 479	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x01e209…
02-21 05:27:08	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	No	SELL	67	86¢	$57	0xebeca5…
02-21 05:26:28	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5b82ee…
02-21 05:21:32	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0xc9809a…
02-21 05:20:14	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 580plus	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xa96d40…
02-21 05:18:40	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 580plus	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0x3bcc62…
02-21 05:18:34	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 180 199	Yes	SELL	87	1¢	$1	0x8519a4…
02-21 05:17:42	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 400 419	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x496982…
02-21 05:15:40	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xacf6d3…
02-21 05:15:32	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	SELL	25	82¢	$21	0x75d476…
02-21 05:15:32	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x6d15b7…
02-21 05:13:38	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	No	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0x3808fa…
02-21 05:12:06	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 280 299	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x5e757c…
02-21 05:07:54	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x839e30…
02-21 05:04:54	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	SELL	22	83¢	$18	0x64a971…
02-21 05:04:50	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x7cd209…
02-21 04:59:26	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb90464…
02-21 04:32:08	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	Yes	SELL	121	33¢	$40	0xb9dbe7…
02-21 04:22:52	elon musk of tweets march 2026 20 39	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x2cb3f3…
02-21 04:06:30	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 90 114	No	SELL	27	72¢	$19	0x1ce466…
02-21 03:50:48	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0xf2c141…
02-21 03:50:32	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xcba2ea…
02-21 03:48:06	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 90 114	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xf3776a…
02-21 03:28:10	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 140 164	Yes	SELL	195	8¢	$16	0x987015…
02-21 03:27:00	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 190 214	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0x9a517d…
02-21 03:26:44	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 165 189	Yes	SELL	69	3¢	$2	0x7ea3c3…
02-21 03:26:20	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 140 164	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xc934c5…
02-21 03:23:10	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 220 239	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xdb8610…
02-21 03:11:32	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 280 299	Yes	SELL	166	4¢	$6	0x9a5c27…
02-21 03:11:04	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9ee6a3…
02-21 03:01:44	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	Yes	SELL	77	13¢	$10	0x366f34…
02-21 03:01:28	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 520 539	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x4d11a3…
02-21 03:00:38	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	Yes	SELL	54	17¢	$9	0x4f9543…
02-21 02:58:56	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 300 319	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x73bd76…
02-21 02:53:24	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 220 239	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x5c20ad…
02-21 02:51:46	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	SELL	42	84¢	$35	0xb6bc5b…
02-21 02:48:44	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0xab35fa…
02-21 02:20:48	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x6f1f5e…
02-21 02:19:44	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x7ef66b…
02-21 02:11:26	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 540 559	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xb97c80…
02-21 02:10:44	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 140 164	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe024da…
02-21 02:09:32	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 115 139	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x125c51…
02-21 02:09:32	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 115 139	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x125c51…
02-21 02:09:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x9ae409…
02-21 02:09:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x9ae409…
02-21 02:03:46	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x564160…
02-21 02:03:32	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xcdb158…
02-21 02:03:22	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 540 559	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x4ae05a…
02-21 02:00:10	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 540 559	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xba224f…
02-21 01:56:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x8267cc…
02-21 01:55:50	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 360 379	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xfa55da…
02-21 01:55:08	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9312f4…
02-21 01:55:06	andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 130 159	Yes	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0xfe4ea2…
02-21 01:55:06	andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 280 309	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xedeeea…
02-21 01:55:06	andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 220 249	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xe8bf59…
02-21 01:55:06	andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 190 219	Yes	SELL	187	0¢	$0	0x1dec13…
02-21 01:54:46	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 540 559	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4b78bf…
02-21 01:54:06	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd81ba4…
02-21 01:53:50	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 540 559	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x256a8c…
02-21 01:50:44	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x14271c…
02-21 01:50:34	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xe98fea…
02-21 01:43:40	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xc51b7a…
02-21 01:43:40	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	56	15¢	$8	0xc51b7a…
02-21 01:36:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	41	15¢	$6	0x7c1dcf…
02-21 01:36:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$7	0x666877…
02-21 01:36:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4a86b5…
02-21 01:36:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4794b1…
02-21 01:36:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x3e365e…
02-21 01:36:12	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xb51143…