Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$252

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

878

Trades

23,747

lifetime

Volume

$9.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$102

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 05-15 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 34% +$372

Other

19% 49% -$626

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 25% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+103	$100	100¢	$102	+$2	05-15 07:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on february 3	127	$196	92,333	97,277	-4,944	No	+$11	02-03 10:33
bitcoin above 92k on january 31	146	$193	95,145	97,921	-2,776	No	+$3	01-31 07:00
bitcoin above 90k on february 4	109	$185	85,741	96,942	-11,200	No	+$13	02-04 05:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 29	44	$121	1,790	1,197	+593	No	+$118	01-29 15:52
bitcoin above 84k on february 7	121	$113	55,691	57,685	-1,994	No	+$2	02-07 07:53
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	05-15 07:25
ethereum above 3300 on february 3	61	$90	45,960	43,960	+2,000	No	-$2	02-03 05:44
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	180	$78	31,997	32,645	-648	No	+$14	02-01 02:00
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	77	$77	26,612	28,414	-1,802	Yes	+$24	01-31 19:52
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	216	$76	34,473	32,235	+2,238	No	+$7	01-31 17:20
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	186	$74	25,417	30,872	-5,455	No	+$24	02-08 10:55
bitcoin above 80k on january 28	55	$72	35,500	36,090	-590	Yes	+$1	01-28 16:50
will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	133	$71	27,859	26,708	+1,151	No	+$16	02-01 02:44
bitcoin above 80k on february 7	50	$67	34,651	32,051	+2,599	No	-$2	02-07 08:06
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	154	$65	32,029	28,203	+3,826	No	+$1	02-01 02:36
bitcoin above 76k on february 10	49	$65	31,878	30,786	+1,092	No	+$1	02-10 14:04
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	121	$64	29,592	30,062	-471	No	+$5	02-05 15:12
bitcoin above 78k on february 8	74	$64	30,556	31,035	-479	No	+$3	02-08 14:23
bitcoin above 94k on january 26	112	$63	29,835	28,641	+1,194	No	+$3	01-26 14:43
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	92	$58	19,689	20,828	-1,139	No	+$18	02-01 03:22
will bitcoin dip to 64k february 2 8	5	$55	3,042	3,042	+0	Yes	+$49	02-05 21:36
bitcoin above 94k on january 30	40	$53	24,425	26,213	-1,787	No	+$4	01-30 15:08
ethereum above 3500 on january 31	35	$52	25,775	26,000	-225	No	+$0	01-31 09:04
bitcoin above 82k on january 29	56	$51	23,841	24,760	-918	Yes	+$3	01-29 14:58
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	90	$50	18,700	17,274	+1,426	No	+$12	01-31 23:42
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	87	$49	20,977	24,766	-3,789	No	+$7	01-31 09:41
bitcoin above 78k on february 6	52	$48	22,402	23,947	-1,545	No	+$4	02-06 17:21
bitcoin above 80k on january 29	85	$47	17,892	18,184	-292	Yes	+$12	01-29 12:55
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 80 99	68	$45	22,066	21,992	+74	No	+$1	01-29 12:24
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	125	$44	20,543	22,116	-1,573	No	+$3	01-31 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:25:40	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x2666f5…
03-04 22:36:29	elon musk of tweets march 2026 280 299	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc1a5bc…
03-04 05:27:05	elon musk of tweets march 2026 520 539	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x5750ee…
03-03 13:46:09	elon musk of tweets march 2026 520 539	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd80336…
02-17 19:53:57	elon musk of tweets march 2026 300 319	Yes	SELL	782	0¢	$2	0xf5bac1…
02-15 15:38:09	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xcc71dc…
02-15 15:08:11	elon musk of tweets march 2026 300 319	Yes	SELL	1,218	0¢	$4	0xaf48eb…
02-15 15:05:29	elon musk of tweets march 2026 140 159	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0x1be329…
02-15 15:04:53	elon musk of tweets march 2026 80 99	Yes	SELL	262	0¢	$1	0xdb5010…
02-15 12:00:23	elon musk of tweets march 2026 260 279	Yes	SELL	1,674	0¢	$3	0xb19217…
02-15 12:00:03	elon musk of tweets march 2026 200 219	Yes	SELL	827	0¢	$2	0xe995b4…
02-14 16:47:39	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	940	0¢	$1	0x204a89…
02-13 21:58:21	elon musk of tweets march 2026 140 159	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0xf9a05f…
02-12 22:18:51	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaecc9f…
02-12 16:59:31	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf3f6fc…
02-12 16:57:45	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x109a9b…
02-12 16:57:03	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x665975…
02-12 16:53:39	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xb43195…
02-12 16:52:23	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x249514…
02-12 16:08:57	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xdf8449…
02-12 16:06:01	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xe8af0c…
02-12 15:32:19	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf9e4f1…
02-12 15:30:13	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9a4748…
02-12 15:29:45	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1998d4…
02-12 15:28:49	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x5c4211…
02-12 15:28:27	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x442b7e…
02-12 14:56:15	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 12	Yes	SELL	379	0¢	$0	0xe43de7…
02-12 14:00:55	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 12	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2fcca0…
02-12 07:02:51	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8b41ed…
02-12 07:02:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x217428…
02-12 07:00:47	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 12	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x38ccbd…
02-12 05:51:03	moltbook shutdown by feb 28	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x10b585…
02-12 05:49:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x538590…
02-12 05:49:05	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 12	Yes	SELL	611	0¢	$1	0x0e3923…
02-12 04:35:05	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x80cba3…
02-12 03:22:25	ethereum above 2500 on february 12	Yes	SELL	1,871	0¢	$2	0xaacfae…
02-12 03:21:15	ethereum above 2500 on february 12	Yes	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0x0ffc2c…
02-11 19:20:03	elon musk of tweets march 2026 520 539	Yes	SELL	248	0¢	$1	0x152d1f…
02-11 15:35:53	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	Yes	SELL	662	0¢	$1	0x54cd66…
02-11 14:53:49	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x7d6d96…
02-11 14:17:13	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb70468…
02-11 14:13:25	bitcoin above 78k on february 12	Yes	SELL	1,143	0¢	$1	0x26f559…
02-11 14:13:21	bitcoin above 78k on february 12	Yes	SELL	857	0¢	$1	0x11d2e0…
02-11 13:46:01	bitcoin above 78k on february 11	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xac5e32…
02-11 11:43:39	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	Yes	SELL	409	0¢	$0	0x8bfdce…
02-11 10:26:53	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	Yes	SELL	237	0¢	$0	0xf5f1ca…
02-11 09:00:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	Yes	SELL	506	0¢	$1	0x672876…
02-11 08:58:31	bitcoin above 80k on february 13	Yes	SELL	723	0¢	$1	0xd9a16c…
02-11 07:58:21	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	No	SELL	672	0¢	$1	0x16bd30…
02-11 07:48:59	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xefeb11…
02-11 06:42:07	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x95223b…
02-11 06:41:47	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	990	0¢	$1	0x9ccf3f…
02-11 06:34:17	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	Yes	SELL	729	0¢	$1	0xd71426…
02-11 06:17:49	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	No	SELL	328	0¢	$0	0x6d5926…
02-11 06:15:03	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x3ebe8b…
02-11 05:43:21	ethereum above 2600 on february 11	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb8131f…
02-11 05:36:11	ethereum above 2500 on february 11	Yes	SELL	2,061	0¢	$2	0x83264a…
02-11 05:34:41	ethereum above 2400 on february 11	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xcbac68…
02-11 05:31:33	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	SELL	137	0¢	$0	0x861e70…
02-11 05:24:49	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 0 19	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x933177…
02-11 04:51:51	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 11	Yes	SELL	691	0¢	$1	0x44c9ae…
02-11 04:51:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 100 119	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x19e9e6…
02-11 04:51:17	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4d6815…
02-11 04:51:03	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	Yes	SELL	841	0¢	$1	0xfb3134…
02-11 03:25:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xebb60f…
02-11 03:21:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 11	Yes	SELL	1,309	0¢	$1	0xc1d763…
02-11 03:20:41	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0x57eca8…
02-11 03:17:39	ethereum above 2400 on february 11	Yes	SELL	1,980	0¢	$2	0x450d65…
02-11 02:57:27	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfd99f8…
02-11 02:47:47	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x9b1af5…
02-11 02:45:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	Yes	SELL	493	0¢	$0	0x4f45f7…
02-11 02:39:27	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	SELL	354	0¢	$1	0x47f18c…
02-11 02:17:11	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe09245…
02-11 02:17:03	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xfdbdb4…
02-11 02:16:21	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4e1a50…
02-11 02:15:35	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x279b13…
02-11 02:14:41	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcd6f22…
02-11 02:13:53	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7a8d8d…
02-11 02:13:03	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x20a607…
02-11 02:12:01	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4cb4af…
02-11 02:11:07	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x593d62…
02-11 02:10:23	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xdaa582…
02-11 02:09:35	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd8c81e…
02-11 02:03:45	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xd8ef0a…
02-11 02:01:31	bitcoin above 78k on february 11	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa68694…
02-11 02:00:35	bitcoin above 76k on february 11	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9baa2e…
02-11 01:40:53	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xf53915…
02-11 01:40:49	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8a83b9…
02-11 01:40:47	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x3876f7…
02-11 01:39:45	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	Yes	BUY	570	0¢	$1	0xef2c3d…
02-11 01:39:39	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0x3ac6a5…
02-11 01:39:15	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 100 119	Yes	BUY	737	0¢	$1	0x89fd9a…
02-11 01:39:01	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	Yes	BUY	139	0¢	$0	0xa36471…
02-11 01:35:37	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$1	0x22ccd8…
02-11 01:35:17	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x07e93c…
02-11 01:34:15	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x11e516…
02-11 01:34:07	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x6a694e…
02-11 01:33:51	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	146	0¢	$0	0xe526d7…
02-11 01:33:41	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0x7744c2…
02-11 01:33:33	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x40ee5c…