Flawless-Pinstripe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.82K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

126

Trades

255

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-30 04:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 46% -$801

Politics

15% 47% -$936

Other

3% 50% -$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	3	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$4	01-31 17:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-30 04:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	14	$934	1,850	0	+1,850	Yes	-$934	09-08 20:51
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	5	$787	1,998	1,998	+0	80k	-$783	01-31 17:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	18	$329	177	177	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 09:30
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	14	$207	608	608	+0	open	—	08-28 20:21
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$192	100	100	+0	Yes	+$6	05-11 03:40
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$187	438	377	+61	No	$0	05-18 12:22
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	3	$183	100	100	+0	No	+$3	08-22 04:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$177	98	98	+0	No	+$1	08-26 09:30
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$107	63	63	+0	No	+$0	03-30 08:31
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$1	02-28 06:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$76	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-16 12:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$72	100	0	+100	Yes	-$72	08-21 13:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$64	43	43	+0	No	+$1	04-01 06:53
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$54	41	41	+0	No	+$0	03-30 08:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	3	$29	30	9	+21	No	+$7	04-13 13:07
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-21 03:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-25 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:40 UTC	4	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 14:43
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$13	300	300	+0	No	+$1	05-19 01:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 13:30
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 13:49
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-30 07:43
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	3	$10	500	500	+0	No	-$10	01-31 03:30
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$10	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-30 18:25
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	1	$10	83	0	+83	No	-$10	06-10 07:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$8	13	13	+0	Yes	-$4	04-18 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:15 UTC	2	$8	15	0	+15	Up	-$8	03-05 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:25 UTC	2	$6	11	10	+0	Up	-$5	03-05 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:55:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xcac1aa…
10-30 04:55:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	580	95¢	$550	0x20de69…
10-30 04:55:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	411	95¢	$391	0x6e5649…
10-23 11:18:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$946	0x825678…
09-08 20:51:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0xcb8de4…
09-08 20:10:46	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x64b94f…
09-04 23:26:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xa7f828…
09-04 22:26:49	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0xc81eb3…
09-04 22:25:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x05fd52…
09-04 21:26:49	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x51b10d…
09-04 20:26:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x34867e…
09-04 20:09:58	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb35ef9…
08-29 13:05:19	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0xd81da0…
08-29 13:05:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	171	50¢	$85	0x3d5eed…
08-29 13:04:58	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	185	50¢	$92	0xf42fb8…
08-29 13:04:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	96	50¢	$48	0x1f9cc0…
08-29 13:04:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	81	50¢	$40	0xc1e412…
08-28 20:21:43	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0xd84245…
08-28 20:12:13	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0x623431…
08-28 20:01:46	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0xd9e1b9…
08-28 19:52:34	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0xab0d4d…
08-28 19:42:39	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0xeac253…
08-28 19:32:37	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0xea5514…
08-28 19:26:27	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0x3fbabf…
08-28 19:26:25	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0xe6d96c…
08-28 19:02:37	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0x47e008…
08-28 18:51:43	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0x34c8d5…
08-28 13:54:30	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x7490b4…
08-28 05:06:27	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x80745c…
08-28 03:03:34	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0xebab29…
08-27 16:58:31	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	608	16¢	$97	0x502be6…
08-27 16:28:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0xed250e…
08-26 09:30:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	91¢	$89	0x16dad7…
08-22 04:42:49	Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	87	93¢	$81	0x5132e8…
08-22 04:41:57	Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$13	0x4aa8d2…
08-21 13:33:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x9fcd27…
08-21 10:09:06	Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xca38ca…
08-18 12:20:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	98	90¢	$88	0x27d59e…
06-10 07:30:04	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x5a5ac0…
05-30 18:25:11	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xeee8a1…
05-30 18:24:19	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x33a9a9…
05-30 18:23:02	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x2e2313…
05-30 18:21:03	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd85e74…
05-19 01:11:28	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf3cfd5…
05-18 15:14:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x69a14c…
05-18 15:10:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x2431d4…
05-18 12:22:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x64ef92…
05-18 08:19:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb771fb…
05-18 08:16:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9bd9c6…
05-18 08:08:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdba7af…
05-18 08:05:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x09728d…
05-18 08:02:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb813dc…
05-18 08:01:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x15ad50…
05-18 03:17:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x2be904…
05-16 13:41:07	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x0c69a1…
05-16 12:32:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xd59a8c…
05-16 12:21:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x655463…
05-16 12:04:56	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x552602…
05-16 12:03:27	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$3	0xb73597…
05-16 02:02:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	92	97¢	$90	0xff4e56…
05-16 01:55:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x64b81d…
05-16 01:54:46	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd926b7…
05-16 01:51:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x3ce486…
05-16 01:50:15	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xd668bc…
05-16 01:49:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf063f9…
05-11 03:40:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7a1c77…
05-09 14:51:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x1ee8e5…
04-18 15:29:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0x862aac…
04-13 13:40:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0xe242b6…
04-13 13:30:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x7207c9…
04-13 13:08:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x6c281e…
04-13 13:07:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xbce944…
04-11 06:50:53	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xaac607…
04-11 06:49:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x6fca98…
04-06 08:58:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x159bd7…
04-04 10:17:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4408c1…
04-03 08:26:19	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x23c551…
04-01 06:53:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xa0fd6f…
03-31 12:34:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x0fed97…
03-30 08:51:18	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	41	66¢	$27	0xc5d823…
03-30 08:44:40	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	41	66¢	$27	0x7599f8…
03-30 08:31:34	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0xb708ef…
03-30 08:31:18	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x8818e3…
03-30 08:30:34	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xe6ffe0…
03-30 08:29:02	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x522e62…
03-30 08:21:40	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0xe8eb08…
03-30 08:15:12	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	31	86¢	$27	0xe1b585…
03-30 07:43:32	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8f87e0…
03-25 13:50:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x89ddc2…
03-25 13:49:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xec9a03…
03-25 13:49:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x49ee29…
03-21 03:13:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4fe3e0…
03-17 12:18:09	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x05dbff…
03-17 12:16:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xeecce7…
03-17 12:12:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x59cf63…
03-17 12:06:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6a4c22…
03-17 11:54:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfe1b57…
03-07 14:44:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xc7cb5d…
03-07 14:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x500f5a…
03-07 14:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x894659…