Portly-Carnation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

26,869

lifetime

Volume

$507.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 10:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% 33% $-68

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$200

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	119	$163.9K	91,000	75,334	+15,666	open	—	01-25 12:08
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	79	$51.9K	39,097	28,295	+10,802	open	—	01-10 13:06
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	29	$49.5K	30,130	20,050	+10,080	open	—	03-17 22:12
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	154	$23.6K	14,079	9,614	+4,464	open	—	07-30 20:03
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	25	$15.7K	9,899	6,000	+3,899	open	—	08-10 21:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$14.9K	7,552	7,552	+0	open	—	04-16 19:01
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	28	$13.2K	15,325	5,125	+10,200	open	—	01-10 15:51
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1,059	$10.2K	78,724	67,728	+10,996	open	—	01-30 18:04
over 15m committed to the ranger public sale	14	$6.7K	35,718	25,857	+9,861	open	—	01-10 12:05
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	91	$6.4K	2,713	3,671	-958	open	—	06-12 23:45
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	32	$6.1K	5,650	5,932	-281	open	—	03-20 15:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2,223	$5.9K	1,748,197	1,058,564	+689,634	open	—	02-24 12:45
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	56	$5.6K	5,539	5,940	-402	open	—	01-10 15:56
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	18	$5.5K	3,183	3,183	+0	open	—	02-07 18:19
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-18 21:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3,162	$4.9K	995,744	483,725	+512,019	open	—	04-15 08:31
over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	31	$4.8K	7,708	6,411	+1,297	open	—	01-10 14:32
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	32	$4.4K	4,373	4,173	+200	open	—	01-09 16:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	102	$4.3K	4,574	4,470	+104	open	—	01-06 08:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	25	$4.1K	6,000	7,000	-1,000	open	—	01-08 20:29
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$3.9K	3,921	0	+3,921	open	—	02-07 18:36
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	38	$3.9K	5,042	6,039	-998	open	—	01-11 21:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	27	$3.4K	3,282	1,583	+1,699	open	—	02-16 03:27
over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	3	$3.4K	1,733	1,733	+0	open	—	01-10 13:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	8	$3.1K	2,000	1,122	+878	open	—	06-12 19:45
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	4	$3.0K	3,100	0	+3,100	open	—	08-11 19:09
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	11	$3.0K	1,433	2,125	-692	open	—	01-31 09:54
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.0K	2,966	0	+2,966	open	—	03-18 21:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	23	$2.8K	4,000	3,836	+164	open	—	01-12 15:17
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	963	$2.5K	191,676	190,687	+989	open	—	04-05 10:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 19:09:12	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$974	0xfd1dd6…
08-11 10:01:51	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0x0b2d08…
08-11 07:02:12	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xfeb97d…
08-10 21:53:25	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$991	0x681205…
08-09 20:21:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0x74a204…
08-07 21:54:52	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$992	0x954c22…
08-06 17:01:15	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd6a07e…
08-05 20:38:27	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa1f280…
08-05 01:50:09	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	266	99¢	$264	0x937121…
08-05 00:42:06	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,101	0x161b0d…
08-05 00:29:56	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x22b00a…
08-04 21:48:57	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	511	99¢	$506	0x77017e…
08-04 21:44:23	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x02caf9…
08-04 18:42:56	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0x58d8b1…
08-03 19:12:59	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0x779869…
08-03 19:12:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0xdadd90…
08-03 05:05:50	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	321	99¢	$317	0xf8efaa…
08-03 00:09:44	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	315	99¢	$311	0x9a1f72…
08-02 20:08:54	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,322	99¢	$1,304	0x99d6a4…
08-02 11:04:03	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1,984	99¢	$1,964	0xb075ba…
08-02 10:56:45	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd3d85a…
08-02 10:41:12	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5c13c8…
08-02 01:27:41	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,944	0xfd75ca…
08-01 20:09:32	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,978	0x43e328…
07-31 19:47:00	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x90ca7e…
07-30 20:03:45	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x57f867…
07-30 11:10:53	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x7af614…
07-29 23:04:24	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xb9dec4…
07-28 03:56:33	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x6f2596…
07-27 19:49:18	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7f8d8f…
07-27 18:56:33	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x575b83…
07-27 18:25:27	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	379	98¢	$372	0x9b61de…
07-26 23:17:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	202	98¢	$198	0x4c5057…
07-26 19:50:40	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9e8882…
07-25 14:34:55	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x256816…
07-25 13:33:42	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	839	100¢	$837	0x59e56d…
07-25 09:45:49	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x98d212…
07-23 10:29:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x965f14…
07-23 02:29:51	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe89bfb…
07-23 01:23:00	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	467	100¢	$466	0xe6a95a…
07-22 23:49:15	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x055c56…
07-22 23:42:27	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9411fb…
07-22 21:30:52	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x019154…
07-22 21:15:22	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x24c820…
07-22 21:15:21	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1b2ef4…
07-22 20:09:13	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	424	100¢	$423	0x605c5c…
07-22 14:09:12	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0x76cd86…
07-22 14:02:58	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	334	100¢	$333	0x6140b4…
07-22 14:01:30	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x954d1c…
07-22 13:58:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x658ee6…
07-22 13:46:31	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0x753fe0…
07-22 11:59:37	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x28d2b5…
07-22 11:11:21	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x684c11…
07-22 10:49:48	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x991f74…
07-22 10:43:25	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	812	100¢	$809	0xac29e1…
07-22 10:11:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xb81664…
07-22 09:59:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2946a0…
07-22 09:47:06	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1de868…
07-22 09:47:03	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa19384…
07-22 09:32:31	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	163	100¢	$162	0x97afd5…
07-22 08:17:13	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x890798…
07-22 07:48:52	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1e72d5…
07-22 07:19:10	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x467b92…
07-22 07:07:15	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7cfe04…
07-22 07:07:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd39632…
07-22 06:46:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6d82bb…
07-22 06:46:00	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa6ee5e…
07-22 06:45:55	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x69ad19…
07-22 06:36:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8ff2d1…
07-22 05:57:18	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74f333…
07-22 05:46:34	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b5cfd…
07-22 05:19:28	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa3607b…
07-22 05:03:18	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xef0a4e…
07-22 04:48:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0883ed…
07-22 04:48:18	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x776b5b…
07-22 02:47:39	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd493cc…
07-22 02:41:58	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9d45b4…
07-22 02:31:57	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa1bfaa…
07-22 02:29:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3cdf8a…
07-22 02:16:30	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe6efef…
07-22 02:16:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x150ee1…
07-22 02:16:15	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x72a9e2…
07-22 01:51:39	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b23ee…
07-22 01:47:36	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x26f9d0…
07-22 01:43:48	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f08ad…
07-22 01:34:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7bb44d…
07-22 01:33:33	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8f22c6…
07-22 01:16:55	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xef298e…
07-22 01:16:43	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0e57e8…
07-22 00:45:04	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc14316…
07-22 00:32:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbd7780…
07-22 00:32:15	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xffbc89…
07-21 23:58:45	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf77b92…
07-21 23:12:16	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x97feca…
07-21 23:10:00	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x448a9a…
07-21 23:02:03	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x08d5fb…
07-21 22:48:30	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xd6d035…
07-21 22:16:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x62154c…
07-21 21:45:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab3bc6…
07-21 21:39:03	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x87f4e0…