Portly-Carnation 0x9b0b60…815e43 Create alert
whale cold 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$904
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved
244
Trades
29,620
lifetime
Volume
$899.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$17.7K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 15:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Other
66% 72% -$1,680
Politics
27% 71% +$1,421
Crypto
5% 60% +$529
Sports
1% 59% -$1,796
Tech
0% 50% -$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 703 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,074 $7,460 84¢ $7.6K +$185 11-02 20:34
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +4,000 $3,530 90¢ $3.6K +$90 10-31 17:18
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +2,000 $1,910 97¢ $1.9K +$28 11-01 08:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,500 -$1,575 98¢ $-1471 +$104 09-20 17:11
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,128 $706 16¢ $965 +$259 11-02 09:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +900 $855 98¢ $882 +$27 10-26 21:27
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +500 $450 95¢ $476 +$26 06-07 07:43
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +366 $296 86¢ $313 +$17 10-28 14:36
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +200 $149 81¢ $162 +$13 10-30 01:15
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No -100 -$90 94¢ $-93 -$3 11-01 02:27
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -11,033 -$222 0¢ $-39 +$183 09-11 21:11
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +30 $26 95¢ $28 +$2 08-01 18:42
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +1,000 $22 2¢ $20 -$2 11-01 04:42
No one announced as next James Bond? No +20 $15 87¢ $17 +$2 08-17 18:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $35 2¢ $10 -$25 08-30 10:45
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +278 $1 2¢ $6 +$5 10-04 20:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $3 2¢ $4 +$1 09-18 23:38
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +64 $9 3¢ $2 -$8 08-14 19:04
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +10 $3 13¢ $1 -$2 10-16 16:36
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -334 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$2 07-10 09:23
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +7 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 07-09 21:58