Portly-Carnation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$132

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

26,781

lifetime

Volume

$483.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$623

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

80% 33% $-68

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

9% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$200

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+500	$450	92¢	$462	+$12	06-07 07:43
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	-300	$-147	49¢	$-147	+$0	07-07 05:57
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	+120	$15	11¢	$13	$-2	07-20 13:15
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	+7	$2	16¢	$1	$-1	07-09 21:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	119	$163.9K	91,000	75,334	+15,666	open	—	01-25 12:08
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	79	$51.9K	39,097	28,295	+10,802	open	—	01-10 13:06
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	29	$49.5K	30,130	20,050	+10,080	open	—	03-17 22:12
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	111	$18.2K	10,322	7,928	+2,394	open	—	07-22 02:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$14.9K	7,552	7,552	+0	open	—	04-16 19:01
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	28	$13.2K	15,325	5,125	+10,200	open	—	01-10 15:51
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1,059	$10.2K	78,724	67,728	+10,996	open	—	01-30 18:04
over 15m committed to the ranger public sale	14	$6.7K	35,718	25,857	+9,861	open	—	01-10 12:05
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	91	$6.4K	2,713	3,671	-958	open	—	06-12 23:45
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	32	$6.1K	5,650	5,932	-281	open	—	03-20 15:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2,223	$5.9K	1,748,197	1,058,564	+689,634	open	—	02-24 12:45
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	56	$5.6K	5,539	5,940	-402	open	—	01-10 15:56
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	18	$5.5K	3,183	3,183	+0	open	—	02-07 18:19
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-18 21:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3,162	$4.9K	995,744	483,725	+512,019	open	—	04-15 08:31
over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	31	$4.8K	7,708	6,411	+1,297	open	—	01-10 14:32
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	32	$4.4K	4,373	4,173	+200	open	—	01-09 16:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	102	$4.3K	4,574	4,470	+104	open	—	01-06 08:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	25	$4.1K	6,000	7,000	-1,000	open	—	01-08 20:29
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$3.9K	3,921	0	+3,921	open	—	02-07 18:36
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	38	$3.9K	5,042	6,039	-998	open	—	01-11 21:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	27	$3.4K	3,282	1,583	+1,699	open	—	02-16 03:27
over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	3	$3.4K	1,733	1,733	+0	open	—	01-10 13:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	8	$3.1K	2,000	1,122	+878	open	—	06-12 19:45
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	11	$3.0K	1,433	2,125	-692	open	—	01-31 09:54
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.0K	2,966	0	+2,966	open	—	03-18 21:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	23	$2.8K	4,000	3,836	+164	open	—	01-12 15:17
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	963	$2.5K	191,676	190,687	+989	open	—	04-05 10:36
will paradex launch a token on march 5	21	$2.4K	14,506	14,506	+0	open	—	03-05 20:27
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	53	$2.0K	400,000	400,000	+0	open	—	01-12 06:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 02:47:39	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd493cc…
07-22 02:41:58	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9d45b4…
07-22 02:31:57	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa1bfaa…
07-22 02:29:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3cdf8a…
07-22 02:16:30	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe6efef…
07-22 02:16:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x150ee1…
07-22 02:16:15	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x72a9e2…
07-22 01:51:39	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b23ee…
07-22 01:47:36	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x26f9d0…
07-22 01:43:48	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f08ad…
07-22 01:34:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7bb44d…
07-22 01:33:33	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8f22c6…
07-22 01:16:55	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xef298e…
07-22 01:16:43	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0e57e8…
07-22 00:45:04	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc14316…
07-22 00:32:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbd7780…
07-22 00:32:15	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xffbc89…
07-21 23:58:45	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf77b92…
07-21 23:12:16	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x97feca…
07-21 23:10:00	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x448a9a…
07-21 23:02:03	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x08d5fb…
07-21 22:48:30	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xd6d035…
07-21 22:16:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x62154c…
07-21 21:45:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab3bc6…
07-21 21:39:03	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x87f4e0…
07-21 21:31:37	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xfd71b1…
07-21 21:31:36	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdd9222…
07-21 21:15:13	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xca148c…
07-21 16:22:30	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x351158…
07-21 10:50:00	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9b35f4…
07-21 10:49:58	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x30d331…
07-21 09:47:39	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfcc562…
07-21 09:47:36	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcd438b…
07-21 07:47:09	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeee4a4…
07-21 07:14:51	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xccd9b7…
07-21 06:47:42	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x68eb5a…
07-21 06:47:31	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xafc901…
07-21 05:49:31	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9e632c…
07-21 02:15:25	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x16e292…
07-21 02:15:24	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x892112…
07-21 02:06:31	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd48be6…
07-21 02:05:52	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xcda250…
07-21 01:32:25	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd7f587…
07-21 01:32:24	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6bdbcf…
07-20 23:37:24	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf4e44f…
07-20 23:31:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0f9a4a…
07-20 23:31:00	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0eb9a4…
07-20 23:30:36	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x910a41…
07-20 23:27:36	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6dd129…
07-20 23:23:18	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdf531f…
07-20 23:21:42	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2b025d…
07-20 23:19:00	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf01815…
07-20 23:15:28	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x44ee56…
07-20 23:15:25	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcd80b0…
07-20 22:32:06	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb6b96…
07-20 22:32:06	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4dccb0…
07-20 22:32:04	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x158cf3…
07-20 22:32:03	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd0009b…
07-20 22:17:43	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2644a7…
07-20 22:17:40	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x47677e…
07-20 22:17:37	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb5dcab…
07-20 21:31:04	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0f543a…
07-20 21:31:03	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf20ae1…
07-20 21:30:46	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x624e27…
07-20 16:24:45	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x153b76…
07-20 15:20:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xba4980…
07-20 14:35:34	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x734f9a…
07-20 13:15:34	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x185793…
07-20 13:02:09	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x2c71cd…
07-20 12:40:39	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x79461c…
07-20 12:08:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbc82c2…
07-20 11:48:31	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,488	100¢	$1,484	0x1b3f8e…
07-20 11:48:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x2291a5…
07-19 22:37:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x7fe45e…
07-17 02:11:27	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	371	100¢	$369	0xda02a3…
07-17 00:16:46	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc6440a…
07-16 23:46:37	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0x8ac35b…
07-16 19:32:26	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,194	0xdacdfa…
07-16 17:23:23	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x51cfeb…
07-16 08:32:22	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x6e8207…
07-16 02:41:10	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xac8872…
07-15 23:56:53	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60da27…
07-15 23:49:05	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xedeca3…
07-15 23:43:05	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d70e8…
07-15 21:39:56	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xf91aac…
07-15 08:52:26	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2,167	100¢	$2,158	0x1a5850…
07-15 08:48:43	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe413ba…
07-15 08:48:34	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfb4cf1…
07-15 07:49:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9e795f…
07-15 07:49:16	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x88c1a3…
07-15 06:45:23	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc1326b…
07-15 06:41:10	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x096ace…
07-15 06:41:08	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xebaa56…
07-15 06:27:41	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0x2a01aa…
07-15 05:20:08	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	141	100¢	$140	0x47c4c0…
07-15 04:51:44	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,205	100¢	$1,200	0x831a72…
07-15 04:50:14	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,104	100¢	$1,100	0x60a4ef…
07-15 04:12:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8a18fe…
07-14 23:42:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9b881c…
07-14 20:47:14	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x556b8c…