Healthy-Integer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$519

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

13.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,315

lifetime

Volume

$37.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$78

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-10 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-517

Politics

34% 0% $-9

Sports

11% 100% +$3

Crypto

8% 100% +$3

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+730	$68	10¢	$73	+$5	06-08 04:57
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes		+892	$17	1¢	$5	$-11	06-10 01:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
James Comey arrested by April 29?	3	$3.1K	8,696	0	+8,696	open	—	04-29 16:31
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	12	$1.8K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	04-29 18:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$1.7K	9,575	13,575	-4,000	open	—	05-11 19:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-22 03:11
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	15	$1.4K	1,083	885	+199	open	—	04-24 02:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	6	$1.3K	1,075	1,075	+0	open	—	04-22 03:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.3K	1,700	1,600	+100	open	—	05-28 16:39
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	17	$1.3K	4,161	0	+4,161	open	—	05-10 00:44
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$1.0K	1,572	0	+1,572	open	—	05-12 02:41
James Comey arrested by April 30?	1	$1000	4,709	0	+4,709	open	—	04-29 16:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	8	$990	3,160	2,560	+600	open	—	05-28 19:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	4	$866	908	908	+0	open	—	04-22 03:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	7	$768	657	657	+0	open	—	04-21 15:20
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	9	$673	1,217	1,217	-0	open	—	04-22 03:14
will iran strike uae again in march	16	$625	1,385	161	+1,224	open	—	04-06 00:21
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	7	$514	46,961	0	+46,961	open	—	04-23 15:10
will iran strike oman again in march	4	$486	372	372	+0	open	—	04-05 00:21
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$411	136,879	0	+136,879	open	—	06-07 23:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	3	$370	344	344	+0	open	—	04-22 03:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	3	$350	500	500	+0	open	—	06-06 22:02
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	14	$337	708	741	-33	open	—	05-17 18:06
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 total 216pt5	15	$318	460	455	+5	open	—	04-19 00:50
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	9	$308	7,096	0	+7,096	open	—	03-23 03:57
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$300	442	0	+442	open	—	05-10 02:21
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$298	422	0	+422	open	—	05-10 03:34
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$293	193	193	+0	open	—	05-25 18:55
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$291	442	0	+442	open	—	05-10 01:52
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	3	$278	210	205	+5	open	—	05-02 22:21
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$274	386	0	+386	open	—	05-10 03:38
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$272	829	0	+829	open	—	05-10 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:35:40	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x990c58…
06-10 00:16:00	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x032c3e…
06-09 23:03:40	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x0239d7…
06-09 22:10:48	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x36068a…
06-09 21:58:10	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x3dd3c8…
06-09 21:09:18	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x3f32a8…
06-09 20:43:49	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	357	3¢	$10	0xef8bbf…
06-09 20:40:40	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,250	1¢	$10	0x8717dd…
06-09 19:49:30	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x8191fb…
06-09 19:49:16	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x099cec…
06-09 19:15:22	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x6fe13f…
06-09 19:06:46	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xcab92d…
06-09 18:54:06	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xfa918a…
06-09 18:43:10	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0xb12f25…
06-09 18:33:52	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x4b4cf4…
06-09 18:21:28	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x494a34…
06-09 02:58:19	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,366	1¢	$18	0xb8680c…
06-09 02:58:07	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	1¢	$4	0xc1bd5e…
06-09 02:57:55	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	503	1¢	$6	0x174672…
06-09 02:57:00	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,102	8¢	$88	0x0b3816…
06-09 02:56:19	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,238	3¢	$100	0xaf5601…
06-08 04:57:52	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	10¢	$24	0x0320ac…
06-08 04:56:58	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	437	9¢	$39	0x5df49f…
06-08 04:56:49	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	8¢	$4	0x16e4f6…
06-07 23:37:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	70,213	0¢	$211	0xda1987…
06-07 23:23:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	66,667	0¢	$200	0xdc4c29…
06-06 22:02:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	105	36¢	$38	0x68e0bf…
06-06 21:36:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	395	36¢	$142	0x3eb9d1…
06-05 11:01:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	289	13¢	$38	0x473003…
06-05 10:59:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	SELL	600	5¢	$31	0xdd2fa5…
06-05 10:41:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	SELL	600	3¢	$18	0x8ebf10…
06-05 10:14:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0x293b17…
06-05 10:12:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	289	14¢	$40	0x9bdd04…
06-05 10:11:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	600	5¢	$31	0xec214f…
06-05 10:10:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	600	3¢	$20	0x7f7efd…
06-04 22:15:30	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x49b553…
06-04 22:05:31	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Jakub Mensik	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0x5a995f…
06-04 19:44:57	aapl close above 315 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0x8e3e69…
06-03 22:53:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	52	48¢	$25	0x22b666…
06-03 18:40:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in June?	Yes	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0x282066…
06-03 18:38:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x32bd1c…
06-03 18:37:28	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xe42849…
06-03 17:20:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in June?	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x7a630e…
06-03 05:25:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in June?	Yes	BUY	180	47¢	$85	0x6252a4…
06-03 05:07:28	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	85	33¢	$28	0x884795…
06-02 07:08:27	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	96	47¢	$45	0xd5c88f…
06-02 07:07:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x79441a…
05-31 20:56:23	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x8e07ff…
05-31 18:47:24	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x9c416f…
05-30 21:32:23	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x0b2e24…
05-30 20:48:01	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x3b0b98…
05-30 18:46:38	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0xdc177c…
05-30 18:46:01	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x7de86c…
05-30 17:44:00	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	205	61¢	$125	0xd072b5…
05-30 17:31:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x186838…
05-30 17:31:37	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	51	44¢	$23	0xcf5648…
05-30 17:31:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb6cb93…
05-30 17:31:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0x1c652b…
05-30 17:29:55	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x945618…
05-30 17:23:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf28ad8…
05-29 05:57:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x960f9a…
05-29 05:09:46	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x3c3e68…
05-29 04:18:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,638	4¢	$66	0x7d3177…
05-29 00:32:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	130	5¢	$6	0xe1050f…
05-28 23:07:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	949	7¢	$70	0x19ae13…
05-28 19:32:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$3	0x479218…
05-28 19:17:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0xb33cc7…
05-28 19:04:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	149	6¢	$10	0x46f301…
05-28 16:50:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	108	57¢	$61	0x65e5c7…
05-28 16:49:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xf23c74…
05-28 16:39:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x7070ba…
05-28 16:15:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	293	8¢	$25	0xd22531…
05-28 16:15:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x1abe58…
05-28 16:15:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0x11a80a…
05-28 15:35:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	670	13¢	$88	0x4e6bcd…
05-27 15:59:17	Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x9528f5…
05-27 04:25:52	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	53	32¢	$17	0x8d25c1…
05-27 04:24:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	122	59¢	$72	0x6b38e5…
05-27 04:05:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0x718a51…
05-27 03:46:33	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xda5198…
05-27 03:40:19	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	80	24¢	$19	0xbd3a6c…
05-27 03:37:32	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	205	35¢	$72	0x1f39b7…
05-25 18:55:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	193	93¢	$179	0x1c0f47…
05-23 10:52:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$119	0x5f6e7b…
05-22 04:19:11	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	80	33¢	$26	0xfe09dd…
05-22 04:06:54	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0xcc9d3b…
05-22 04:04:38	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xa13084…
05-22 03:35:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,600	48¢	$765	0xafc34a…
05-22 03:29:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,560	20¢	$512	0x8abafd…
05-21 06:30:48	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	SELL	61	86¢	$53	0xa55d9e…
05-21 04:14:39	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?	No	BUY	149	52¢	$77	0x4d2400…
05-21 04:14:16	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x467d68…
05-21 03:39:11	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.65B?	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x741643…
05-21 03:15:00	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xd8c3be…
05-21 03:11:54	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	SELL	82	87¢	$71	0xa1ac4b…
05-18 13:41:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	518	15¢	$78	0xc0e0c5…
05-18 13:38:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	193	59¢	$114	0x80601d…
05-18 13:32:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	961	15¢	$144	0x954c7a…
05-18 13:27:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	373	15¢	$56	0xd80ade…
05-18 13:22:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x06c7bc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	150	$275.7K	23,493	06-10 03:06
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	129	$197.3K	14,178	06-01 05:05
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	113	$559.6K	11,442	06-10 03:38
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	108	$9.46M	17,055	06-10 03:38
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	106	$12.5K	2,323	06-09 21:04
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	104	$26.0K	5,868	05-08 08:26
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	97	$51.1K	5,204	06-08 01:50
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	91	$589.1K	2,172	06-09 19:49