Realized P&L (90d)
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$297
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved (90d)
9
Trades (90d)
5
1,769 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$40
$55.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$726
1 position
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-31 11:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
44%
24%
-$7,818
Politics
37%
28%
+$1,029
Sports
9%
41%
-$276
Crypto
9%
33%
+$512
Tech
2%
18%
-$73
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$91
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | -825 | -$428 | 88¢ | $-726 | -$297 | 05-01 03:35 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Comey arrested by April 29? | 3 | $3.1K | 8,696 | 0 | +8,696 | Yes | -$3,100 | 04-29 16:31 |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | 40 | $3.0K | 144,321 | 88,180 | +56,140 | No | -$335 | 05-15 03:06 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 6 | $2.2K | 14,575 | 13,575 | +1,000 | Yes | -$800 | 05-11 19:40 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 10 | $2.0K | 2,340 | 2,340 | +0 | No | +$684 | 05-28 15:35 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | 12 | $1.8K | 1,260 | 1,260 | +0 | No | +$615 | 04-29 18:44 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 4 | $1.5K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | No | +$917 | 04-22 03:11 |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30? | 38 | $1.5K | 29,636 | 1,956 | +27,680 | No | +$525 | 06-04 05:44 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | 15 | $1.4K | 1,083 | 885 | +199 | No | +$426 | 04-24 02:48 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 5 | $1.3K | 1,880 | 1,600 | +280 | Yes | +$213 | 05-31 22:07 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | 6 | $1.3K | 1,075 | 1,075 | +0 | No | +$785 | 04-22 03:07 |
| Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | 17 | $1.3K | 4,161 | 0 | +4,161 | No | -$1,257 | 05-10 00:44 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 5 | $1.2K | 1,262 | 1,262 | +0 | Yes | -$173 | 05-23 11:03 |
| Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | 10 | $1.0K | 1,572 | 0 | +1,572 | Yes | -$1,000 | 05-12 02:41 |
| James Comey arrested by April 30? | 1 | $1000 | 4,709 | 0 | +4,709 | Yes | -$1,000 | 04-29 16:15 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | 8 | $990 | 3,160 | 2,560 | +600 | Yes | +$35 | 05-28 19:17 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | 32 | $890 | 2,358 | 2,358 | +0 | No | +$198 | 06-02 12:17 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026 | 4 | $866 | 908 | 908 | +0 | No | +$623 | 04-22 03:10 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $776 | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | No | +$16 | 06-18 12:01 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026 | 7 | $768 | 657 | 657 | +0 | No | +$463 | 04-21 15:20 |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | 9 | $673 | 1,217 | 1,217 | -0 | No | +$164 | 04-22 03:14 |
| will iran strike uae again in march | 16 | $625 | 1,385 | 161 | +1,224 | Yes | -$502 | 04-06 00:21 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 2 | $616 | 400 | 400 | +0 | No | +$80 | 05-27 03:35 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 4 | $594 | 1,200 | 1,200 | +0 | open | — | 06-14 18:47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | 23 | $542 | 2,297 | 2,167 | +130 | Yes | -$70 | 06-02 13:25 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | 12 | $532 | 2,464 | 2,464 | +0 | No | +$305 | 06-19 01:18 |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 10 | $521 | 10,700 | 10,700 | +0 | No | +$117 | 05-17 15:27 |
| will iran strike oman again in march | 4 | $486 | 372 | 372 | +0 | No | +$257 | 04-05 00:21 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | 4 | $428 | 0 | 825 | -825 | open | — | 05-01 03:35 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 8 | 2 | $411 | 136,879 | 0 | +136,879 | Yes | -$411 | 06-07 23:37 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | 9 | $405 | 554 | 554 | +0 | Yes | -$24 | 06-19 09:24 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||