Windy-Lox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$142

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

106

Trades

350

lifetime

Volume

$56.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

$201

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-17 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

51% 88% +$85

Other

48% 100% +$56

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+205	$195	98¢	$201	+$6	09-17 18:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	23	$8.1K	4,091	4,091	+0	No	+$7	03-25 06:28
will trump visit china by march 31	19	$6.5K	2,929	3,678	-749	No	+$1	03-25 13:59
Trump out as President by April 30?	16	$6.4K	3,271	3,271	+0	No	+$22	04-05 05:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$3.9K	1,995	1,995	+0	No	+$2	03-23 15:03
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 9c	16	$3.4K	1,706	1,742	-36	Yes	+$2	03-26 13:33
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 26 2026 30corhigher	20	$2.1K	1,418	739	+679	No	+$8	03-26 15:13
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 15% and 20%?	2	$1.7K	850	850	+0	No	+$0	05-27 08:44
will trump say cheat cheater cheated cheating 10 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	2	$1.5K	753	753	+0	Yes	+$5	03-26 01:46
will bernie sanders say trump 15 times at the rally on saturday	9	$1.4K	810	549	+262	No	+$6	03-29 04:03
will trump say no no no at the nrcc dinner on march 25 766	1	$1.1K	1,092	0	+1,092	No	+$1	03-26 05:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 30corhigher	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	No	+$4	03-25 14:26
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,043	0	+1,043	Yes	+$1	03-23 15:03
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	5	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$1	05-29 23:52
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	11	$967	489	489	+0	No	+$1	03-27 03:41
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	10	$912	725	375	+350	No	+$3	05-26 13:36
will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	3	$796	400	400	+0	Yes	+$3	03-26 03:22
will trump say filibuster at the nrcc dinner on march 25 925	2	$732	367	367	+0	No	+$0	03-26 05:45
will iran successfully target shipping on march 24 2026 936	1	$720	721	0	+721	No	+$1	03-27 02:27
will trump say mental institution at the nrcc dinner on march 25 298	4	$706	358	352	+6	No	+$3	03-26 05:27
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$680	356	356	+0	Yes	+$1	04-11 13:11
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	3	$665	1,354	0	+1,354	No	+$1	05-27 07:07
will trump say job 10 times during executive order signing today	5	$654	357	304	+53	No	+$5	04-01 02:05
will bernie sanders say ice 4 times at the rally on saturday	5	$640	322	321	+1	No	+$3	03-29 03:56
will trump say israel israeli at the nrcc dinner on march 25 639	2	$608	307	307	+0	No	+$6	03-26 05:41
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	3	$594	400	200	+200	No	+$5	06-27 14:52
will trump say nato during executive order signing today 976	5	$502	333	176	+157	No	+$6	04-01 01:58
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 27c	1	$418	418	0	+418	Yes	+$1	03-24 12:45
will bernie sanders say industry at the rally on saturday	5	$396	199	199	+0	No	+$2	03-29 06:12
will trump say autopen during executive order signing today	3	$391	198	198	+0	No	+$4	04-01 01:21
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$379	192	192	+0	No	+$1	05-04 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 18:23:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	205	95¢	$195	0x3f53d2…
07-23 14:14:48	will wti dip to 55 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3664b7…
07-18 04:32:28	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9d3b50…
07-18 04:32:07	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf949ec…
07-09 13:21:10	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xade9e3…
07-06 09:36:02	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x423860…
06-27 14:52:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc91f9a…
06-27 12:17:38	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x6cfc68…
06-26 14:28:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xfe2664…
06-25 10:51:40	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x52af8f…
06-25 10:51:22	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe0d410…
06-18 13:54:38	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe5bdf1…
06-13 07:40:51	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	SELL	164	0¢	$0	0xaeef00…
06-12 12:02:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x278a9e…
06-06 13:43:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0xf57e8f…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	208	98¢	$203	0x6accc8…
06-03 03:45:04	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x13db13…
06-02 02:40:23	Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0x25c9ed…
06-02 02:40:11	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x8d4c1a…
05-30 12:43:39	Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0xfeb31e…
05-30 05:33:14	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3428eb…
05-30 03:18:19	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	132	33¢	$44	0xb501d7…
05-30 02:30:55	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x688454…
05-30 02:25:54	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xda2726…
05-30 02:20:44	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xab132b…
05-30 02:15:15	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	132	64¢	$84	0x98d762…
05-29 23:52:46	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xdaf989…
05-29 23:52:46	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0xb4df09…
05-29 23:52:46	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x41c4fe…
05-29 23:52:46	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x1bbe1b…
05-28 03:50:36	Will Pete Aguilar advance from the CA-33 primary election?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x333919…
05-28 03:26:44	Will Pete Aguilar advance from the CA-33 primary election?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd4d5b8…
05-28 03:10:01	Will Pete Aguilar advance from the CA-33 primary election?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe0ace6…
05-27 20:14:38	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xf5f975…
05-27 08:44:33	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 15% and 20%?	No	SELL	850	100¢	$847	0x6375fe…
05-27 08:41:01	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 15% and 20%?	No	BUY	850	100¢	$847	0x09df02…
05-27 08:11:21	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7e0aa1…
05-27 07:07:08	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x8986a8…
05-27 07:06:49	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xb94187…
05-27 04:56:24	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	No	BUY	666	100¢	$665	0x86c909…
05-26 13:36:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$2	0xc38919…
05-26 13:23:11	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x21f88b…
05-26 13:22:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x17c460…
05-26 13:17:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x22f900…
05-26 13:02:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x620a60…
05-25 03:21:59	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x35cf79…
05-21 04:23:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	175	98¢	$172	0xd7864c…
05-19 02:43:12	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80ffba…
05-19 02:42:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$184	0xa0cf87…
05-18 00:49:38	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	187	98¢	$184	0xb70f5f…
05-17 03:32:05	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	188	98¢	$185	0xc5865c…
05-17 02:39:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	188	98¢	$184	0x54dfc8…
05-14 01:00:24	Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0x4f8fa9…
05-12 12:12:57	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	185	98¢	$181	0x266cbd…
05-09 12:04:40	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0x079cde…
05-08 13:54:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7a5379…
05-04 08:12:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	192	99¢	$190	0x81f3c5…
05-03 15:58:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	192	98¢	$189	0x7b8a01…
04-30 03:33:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x682af8…
04-30 03:33:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x727f30…
04-30 03:32:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xa7dcb7…
04-27 12:15:44	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0xa81a3a…
04-25 15:49:16	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$184	0x9464c0…
04-23 14:47:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$185	0xfe4700…
04-21 10:23:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$99	0xed84f0…
04-21 09:40:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x6df67d…
04-21 09:22:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x3dc4a3…
04-19 15:52:00	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x2000da…
04-19 14:47:32	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb92f1…
04-19 14:46:40	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xccad94…
04-19 12:47:30	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xce279f…
04-19 12:01:52	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x103739…
04-15 16:11:08	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x734d04…
04-15 15:54:06	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x6c5fb0…
04-15 13:57:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x3eb335…
04-12 14:41:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0x02bac2…
04-12 13:59:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xe77a5f…
04-12 08:31:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0xc60957…
04-12 01:54:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$65	0x10ee5d…
04-12 01:52:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xa3fa93…
04-11 13:34:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9fa0de…
04-11 13:32:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6bb059…
04-11 13:13:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xdb3e9a…
04-11 13:13:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x75fafc…
04-11 13:11:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	180	95¢	$170	0xfd4cd9…
04-10 13:21:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfd3db2…
04-10 13:01:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2eaa70…
04-09 21:51:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	180	94¢	$170	0xed9f75…
04-08 14:26:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x171e04…
04-08 14:20:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	159	97¢	$153	0x44eaec…
04-08 13:48:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x1b28dc…
04-08 10:04:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb037d2…
04-07 11:46:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xeeaee4…
04-05 07:12:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	176	96¢	$170	0x2ef46a…
04-05 05:05:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	219	98¢	$216	0x965800…
04-05 04:58:27	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	969	98¢	$954	0x10ab28…
04-05 04:50:53	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x71c869…
04-05 04:25:43	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x4335eb…
04-04 19:00:59	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1,226	98¢	$1,201	0x5d0d98…
04-01 08:11:13	will trump and melanias remarks not air 274 366	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb8aee6…