Upbeat-Lemonade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

420

Trades

1,870

lifetime

Volume

$308

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-13 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

47% 48% +$9

Politics

26% 51% +$3

Sports

13% 49% +$4

Tech

8% 30% -$6

Crypto

6% 35% -$1

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	7	$6	200	200	+0	open	—	10-13 15:28
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-10 16:20
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$2	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	05-31 19:29
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	2	$2	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 18:21
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	6	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-13 15:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	9	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-12 16:35
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	11	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-22 20:46
Will Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	3	$2	200	200	+0	No	-$1	06-14 23:41
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?	16	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-27 14:01
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	4	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-07 07:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$2	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 02:58
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-01 07:08
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-27 03:48
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-26 06:54
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-02 17:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	2	$2	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 21:50
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 07:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-14 08:51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-25 04:18
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-25 23:49
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-11 18:03
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$2	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 09:45
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-11 19:02
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-03 05:33
will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-07 09:47
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	2	$2	200	200	+0	open	—	06-13 19:04
will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	4	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-13 07:25
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-09 19:19
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-03 15:25
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	3	$2	200	200	+0	SpaceX	+$1	06-08 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 15:28:32	Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x7bf73b…
10-13 15:28:28	Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x7db994…
10-13 15:28:17	Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0x820717…
07-10 21:04:32	Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x861ccd…
07-05 10:39:34	Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x2d7a7e…
07-05 10:39:31	Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	0¢	$0	0x1176a3…
07-04 20:48:11	Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Rams next?	Yes	SELL	137	0¢	$0	0x502e70…
07-01 00:52:40	Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xee7521…
06-30 09:03:32	Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0x02f5c8…
06-26 10:54:32	Will Dion Beljo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x87f057…
06-25 02:34:26	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xdacd3c…
06-24 06:28:05	Will Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x301d37…
06-24 02:48:37	Will Tai Baribo win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x919d21…
06-23 20:44:01	Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x685a8c…
06-23 00:08:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xf2db13…
06-22 21:41:35	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xa7ec2d…
06-22 20:21:13	Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x4279bc…
06-22 17:01:59	Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x6a954d…
06-22 16:23:04	Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xffbad5…
06-22 01:25:11	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x79309b…
06-21 22:02:50	Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xdbaa3a…
06-21 06:59:47	Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	0¢	$0	0x51c9f2…
06-20 02:20:19	Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x705610…
06-19 08:35:26	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x586601…
06-18 13:20:05	Will Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb19023…
06-16 17:13:41	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xa491ee…
06-16 13:48:26	Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x29f343…
06-16 12:35:37	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	187	0¢	$0	0x1a3dce…
06-15 13:27:31	Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T?	Yes	SELL	205	0¢	$0	0xe2b0b8…
06-15 08:15:43	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x56bfb5…
06-15 05:21:00	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x0cb117…
06-15 00:58:19	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xed6b03…
06-14 23:50:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0x62a912…
06-14 23:45:09	Theo James announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x46036d…
06-14 23:45:07	Will Paula Badosa be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1792dc…
06-14 23:45:06	Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x1a81e0…
06-14 23:45:01	Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xd6f9a4…
06-14 23:45:00	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x72e596…
06-14 23:44:57	Will Jonah Heim win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x9ee02c…
06-14 23:44:55	Will Maxx Crosby play for Kansas City Chiefs next?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x5d3a64…
06-14 23:44:52	Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x1d581c…
06-14 23:44:49	Will Royal Never Give Up win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xe874b4…
06-14 23:44:45	Will Sonay Kartal be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0xb2235e…
06-14 23:44:42	Will Kristen Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x990761…
06-14 23:44:39	Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x422c7e…
06-14 23:44:37	Will Ruben Amorim be the next manager of SSC Napoli?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x072502…
06-14 23:44:31	Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x6e4ce4…
06-14 23:44:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	No	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0x3f4726…
06-14 23:44:27	Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0x7658c1…
06-14 23:44:24	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	82	0¢	$0	0x288d16…
06-14 23:44:22	Will Tyreek Hill play for the Baltimore Ravens next?	Yes	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0x20d2d7…
06-14 23:44:19	Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0x4b0d01…
06-14 23:44:12	Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0x011ba4…
06-14 23:44:07	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0x946afe…
06-14 23:44:03	Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	147	0¢	$0	0x969205…
06-14 23:44:00	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	153	0¢	$0	0x54849c…
06-14 23:43:55	Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	0¢	$0	0x3d9a18…
06-14 23:43:54	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$0	0x10177f…
06-14 23:43:48	Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	0¢	$0	0x4ab6fe…
06-14 23:43:40	Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x7fdc85…
06-14 23:43:37	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x25a0be…
06-14 23:43:34	Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x936587…
06-14 23:43:30	Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0x932164…
06-14 23:43:24	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x160724…
06-14 23:43:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x57553a…
06-14 23:43:16	Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x5b4807…
06-14 23:43:15	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xf8aadf…
06-14 23:43:06	Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xa0c9c3…
06-14 23:43:03	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xf64623…
06-14 23:42:45	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x6f32f6…
06-14 23:42:40	Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xef7d62…
06-14 23:42:34	Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x5c4ba5…
06-14 23:42:15	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x8f941d…
06-14 23:42:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x54ff28…
06-14 23:41:54	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x8cc673…
06-14 23:41:52	Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x722d52…
06-14 23:41:40	Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x209424…
06-14 23:41:39	Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xe3a7ab…
06-14 23:41:36	Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xee3556…
06-14 23:41:34	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x224832…
06-14 23:41:31	Will Edin Džeko be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xac4368…
06-14 23:41:24	Will Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x1b6395…
06-14 23:41:21	Will George Pickens play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xfebd31…
06-14 23:41:13	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xc7236c…
06-14 23:41:10	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x902c47…
06-14 23:41:03	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x80c182…
06-14 23:41:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x28fd97…
06-14 23:40:52	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x270a14…
06-14 23:40:51	Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x7c7a77…
06-14 23:40:48	Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8a9401…
06-14 23:40:45	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x69f36a…
06-14 23:40:37	Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x0b75d7…
06-14 23:40:27	Will David Hughes win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3cb7b4…
06-14 23:37:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x1a9dc3…
06-14 23:37:12	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x5ad52a…
06-14 23:36:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0xd1022b…
06-14 23:17:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x9a8e28…
06-14 23:00:48	Will Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0xdd8ede…
06-14 22:31:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0xf63107…
06-14 22:29:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xbd35d4…