Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,398
$16,230 in 24h
Trades
113
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$26,350
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-14 16:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $461
vs crowd: 2% YES on $3.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | — | $960 | $960 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $51 | $166 | $115 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $461 | $461 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 5 | — | $488 | $488 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $49 | $49 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $59 | $59 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $993 | $993 |
| unranked | 4 | $51 | $157 | $106 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarcastic-Dancing 0x6e82…a88d | Yes | +9,275 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 05-13 22:39 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +824 | $822 | $822 | 15 | 05-14 09:59 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +783 | $780 | $780 | 32 | 05-14 12:44 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +463 | $461 | $461 | 12 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +301 | $300 | $300 | 12 | 05-14 16:16 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +172 | $171 | $171 | 5 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Filthy-Broccoli 0x2956…d31b | No | +160 | $157 | $157 | 3 | 05-11 22:25 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +142 | $142 | $142 | 2 | 05-08 01:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +123 | $122 | $122 | 5 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 05-10 22:45 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-12 00:07 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +53 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-10 14:30 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 23:01 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 22:42 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 22:44 |
| Cautious-Blanket 0xd2ee…d685 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 06:06 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 21:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 16:54:16 | Cold-Badger 0xf040…3a86 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf71e67… |
| 05-14 16:16:38 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x9a3d40… |
| 05-14 13:10:30 | Filthy-Broccoli 0x2956…d31b | Yes | SELL | 825 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x43283a… |
| 05-14 12:44:27 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x30a762… |
| 05-14 12:20:48 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1f767b… |
| 05-14 12:15:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc977e9… |
| 05-14 12:15:47 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0xf3f473… |
| 05-14 12:15:41 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc9e0cb… |
| 05-14 12:15:41 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x8cf740… |
| 05-14 12:15:41 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7e99c7… |
| 05-14 12:15:40 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x114386… |
| 05-14 12:15:38 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xe55a7a… |
| 05-14 12:15:36 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x7dabcd… |
| 05-14 12:15:36 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe76a61… |
| 05-14 12:15:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xd010fe… |
| 05-14 12:15:31 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x124dd1… |
| 05-14 12:15:29 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x3a4f0f… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa469e6… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0xbc98ac… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x3cd94d… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xedc009… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xa8c8cb… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 54 | 100¢ | $53 | 0xd213ca… |
| 05-14 12:14:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x511d38… |
| 05-14 12:14:24 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x2c1f7f… |
| 05-14 12:14:23 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x9fc852… |
| 05-14 09:59:11 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x373c14… |
| 05-14 09:59:08 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6b2b4f… |
| 05-14 09:59:08 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x7f11a6… |
| 05-14 08:59:19 | Shocked-Kite 0xd184…c590 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xad2788… |
| 05-14 06:06:04 | Cautious-Blanket 0xd2ee…d685 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa7c960… |
| 05-14 05:41:16 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 381 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xee30a9… |
| 05-14 05:41:04 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x8f1b8e… |
| 05-14 05:39:49 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0xc0764e… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2a5892… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x462ff8… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xbd3730… |
| 05-13 22:44:09 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xdf5d8e… |
| 05-13 22:44:09 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x3f8760… |
| 05-13 22:42:03 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x27737b… |
| 05-13 22:42:03 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0x82556a… |
| 05-13 22:39:50 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xccf4e3… |
| 05-13 22:39:50 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xa37d9b… |
| 05-13 22:39:50 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x0860d7… |
| 05-13 22:39:36 | Sarcastic-Dancing 0x6e82…a88d | Yes | BUY | 8,738 | 0¢ | $36 | 0xdc4d41… |
| 05-13 20:05:52 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa564d1… |
| 05-13 19:57:39 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x4339e2… |
| 05-13 19:49:11 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3cfbb7… |
| 05-13 19:49:01 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0x4ecd9f… |
| 05-13 19:48:50 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x7a8e61… |
| 05-13 16:42:36 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x6dc226… |
| 05-13 14:13:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5dc6fe… |
| 05-13 13:13:29 | Barren-Left 0x41c0…165c | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd1ad8b… |
| 05-13 12:53:28 | Cold-Badger 0xf040…3a86 | Yes | SELL | 146 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x006d6d… |
| 05-13 12:38:18 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x8a69ed… |
| 05-13 11:23:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x042abb… |
| 05-13 11:18:16 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x41f4b0… |
| 05-13 11:18:06 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4f89b2… |
| 05-13 10:38:24 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x0572a8… |
| 05-12 17:52:27 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x2022b8… |
| 05-12 17:41:22 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xfd2d47… |
| 05-12 17:36:36 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xd572e8… |
| 05-12 17:32:26 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $34 | 0xa20b7a… |
| 05-12 12:37:51 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 92 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x4f40c6… |
| 05-12 12:37:49 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 91 | 100¢ | $91 | 0xf08b53… |
| 05-12 12:37:49 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x57bfc7… |
| 05-12 12:17:38 | Cold-Badger 0xf040…3a86 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x635395… |
| 05-12 08:27:22 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xb18a5e… |
| 05-12 05:39:31 | Unwritten-Smoking-Chin 0x443d…71bc | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xc5a289… |
| 05-12 00:07:41 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x3bb5a6… |
| 05-11 23:58:25 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x971838… |
| 05-11 23:13:23 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3ba94d… |
| 05-11 23:13:21 | Sarcastic-Dancing 0x6e82…a88d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4a578e… |
| 05-11 23:12:49 | Sarcastic-Dancing 0x6e82…a88d | Yes | BUY | 521 | 3¢ | $15 | 0x3d6b7f… |
| 05-11 23:12:44 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x994ad6… |
| 05-11 22:26:20 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xc07282… |
| 05-11 22:25:03 | Filthy-Broccoli 0x2956…d31b | No | BUY | 60 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x26e3fd… |
| 05-11 22:24:54 | Filthy-Broccoli 0x2956…d31b | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xa42c06… |
| 05-11 22:24:42 | Filthy-Broccoli 0x2956…d31b | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x871306… |
| 05-11 21:41:49 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x458dc3… |
| 05-11 19:13:31 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xc5a1f9… |
| 05-11 18:59:01 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xbb5cf8… |
| 05-11 18:58:03 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb35a4b… |
| 05-11 11:48:12 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x3bd55a… |
| 05-11 08:10:17 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x7b2232… |
| 05-11 08:10:17 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 73 | 100¢ | $73 | 0x401ef3… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x600ec7… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x333053… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe0ec76… |
| 05-11 08:10:14 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0x1ff5b4… |
| 05-10 23:36:07 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x4a74b0… |
| 05-10 23:26:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2f4503… |
| 05-10 23:22:43 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x74f0e6… |
| 05-10 23:22:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x64dbf1… |
| 05-10 23:21:14 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xba446c… |
| 05-10 22:45:53 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 47 | 100¢ | $47 | 0xbc9dfc… |
| 05-10 22:45:53 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd3d873… |
| 05-10 22:41:06 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x915aeb… |
| 05-10 15:55:53 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x1d0eee… |
| 05-10 15:55:53 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xf70ad3… |