Unwritten-Smoking-Chin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

339

Trades

1,309

lifetime

Volume

$26.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 08-14 13:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

63% 90% +$117

Politics

34% 92% +$42

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	15	$1.4K	800	800	+0	No	+$90	05-13 22:21
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	17	$473	240	240	+0	No	+$4	06-03 02:33
Will someone else advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	11	$245	124	124	+0	No	+$3	05-30 05:18
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	8	$237	120	120	+0	No	+$3	06-06 18:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	11	$237	120	120	+0	No	+$2	06-27 15:10
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	7	$191	100	100	+0	No	-$4	06-04 15:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	6	$178	90	90	+0	No	+$2	06-18 04:31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	7	$178	90	90	+0	No	+$2	06-20 05:23
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	7	$177	90	90	+0	No	+$2	06-17 11:38
43 million or more views	6	$177	90	90	+0	No	+$2	06-01 15:00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in May 2026?	9	$177	90	90	+0	No	+$2	05-10 03:18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	9	$177	90	90	+0	No	+$1	06-20 10:09
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	5	$158	80	80	+0	No	+$1	05-25 15:23
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	5	$148	75	75	+0	No	+$2	05-31 07:53
Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	9	$142	72	72	+0	No	+$1	06-07 06:06
Will "MOULIN by László NEMES" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	6	$133	68	68	+0	No	+$1	05-23 19:39
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$130	66	66	+0	open	—	08-14 13:15
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	7	$121	61	61	+0	No	+$1	07-21 17:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 37 million views on day 2?	3	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	06-15 05:25
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	4	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	08-05 06:11
Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	4	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	05-26 17:11
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	07-02 15:14
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	3	$118	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	06-26 12:52
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	3	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	07-10 19:58
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?	5	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	06-26 12:53
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	4	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	05-23 08:08
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	3	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	06-07 05:15
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	4	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	07-10 05:32
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	07-02 15:14
Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	5	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	05-31 09:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 13:15:12	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1c3cbb…
08-14 13:15:07	Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x9134eb…
08-14 13:15:06	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xd58d6f…
08-11 11:02:12	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xf82c6a…
08-10 19:36:06	Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xeaa05a…
08-10 19:05:15	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa5e552…
08-06 17:06:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe054c9…
08-06 17:06:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x84e495…
08-06 17:06:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbc27f9…
08-05 06:11:21	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9ec1c1…
08-04 23:15:41	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb2efaa…
08-04 23:15:02	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x934eca…
08-03 11:34:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xbaa6b3…
07-31 18:33:20	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x2f44af…
07-31 08:29:45	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x8a11f0…
07-31 01:46:08	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xcdeccb…
07-30 21:37:09	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x981267…
07-30 07:01:12	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x2a5278…
07-29 23:40:42	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x852dfb…
07-29 20:21:51	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xc0254e…
07-29 20:17:47	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xcb0793…
07-29 13:15:45	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ecad0…
07-28 07:39:04	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xab69fd…
07-27 06:28:12	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4528fd…
07-26 21:08:00	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf3e217…
07-26 21:03:51	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3ed898…
07-26 21:03:42	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8df99e…
07-26 21:03:19	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf5cc30…
07-26 21:02:31	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x91dfec…
07-24 08:25:16	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa301ad…
07-24 08:09:40	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x1e390b…
07-21 17:00:07	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0x5a3a9e…
07-21 15:28:39	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x8df01b…
07-20 12:25:24	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x39b843…
07-17 15:00:57	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xc70741…
07-16 14:47:56	Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x25911c…
07-16 11:52:05	Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc255f2…
07-15 12:30:40	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb76e1e…
07-15 12:29:16	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2dde77…
07-15 12:28:44	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf435f8…
07-15 12:28:41	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x7ef3ae…
07-15 12:28:31	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x72c795…
07-15 10:17:58	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xfa3d37…
07-15 10:00:38	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd17425…
07-15 02:44:13	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x019d66…
07-15 02:43:53	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6459c1…
07-15 02:04:16	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x763c46…
07-15 01:48:38	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd4b83d…
07-14 23:50:22	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0dad30…
07-14 13:07:58	Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb82727…
07-14 13:07:44	Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x83b366…
07-14 12:26:53	Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xce43b6…
07-14 10:23:08	Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c1783…
07-14 07:27:13	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc457c3…
07-14 07:27:13	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9d7a3e…
07-14 07:27:13	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x06f2a5…
07-14 05:50:28	Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xab4b84…
07-14 02:44:34	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x30f14d…
07-14 02:30:47	Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc2ef39…
07-14 02:20:16	Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9548f3…
07-13 13:30:17	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x35bb78…
07-13 06:09:02	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb8a989…
07-13 01:00:34	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x53cb18…
07-13 00:58:58	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf3eaf9…
07-12 19:29:32	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x19b1ba…
07-10 21:12:14	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe3bc6b…
07-10 19:59:26	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x15c182…
07-10 19:58:19	Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x888591…
07-10 16:08:05	Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x257a3b…
07-10 05:32:53	Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x569b4d…
07-10 05:32:41	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x9175ae…
07-10 01:06:59	Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xf77667…
07-09 23:48:59	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x031bf3…
07-09 16:21:19	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x7a0430…
07-09 16:21:05	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xbd11fb…
07-08 20:03:10	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x75932a…
07-08 19:13:59	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe85ed5…
07-08 15:45:49	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x853573…
07-08 10:59:32	Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x453ac1…
07-08 10:40:47	Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x8d3268…
07-06 17:22:59	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x098b76…
07-06 15:17:14	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xcbedb5…
07-06 09:59:08	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x78f8b2…
07-06 09:41:56	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x81957c…
07-06 06:41:28	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xbb874e…
07-06 02:19:02	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x2813e0…
07-05 16:03:05	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0xd1e277…
07-04 20:04:20	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xb3db84…
07-04 18:15:04	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe0d0a2…
07-04 17:15:20	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xcff4a2…
07-04 02:42:47	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x481a35…
07-04 01:22:16	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xeb18f4…
07-03 15:28:43	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb2e9c8…
07-03 14:03:47	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x8f656a…
07-02 15:14:55	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0af022…
07-02 15:14:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4b5541…
07-02 09:01:01	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8228ed…
07-02 09:00:23	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd1aa78…
07-02 09:00:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x5e061b…
07-02 08:37:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xce4c47…