Unwritten-Smoking-Chin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$4.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-20 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

58% 40% $-2

Politics

37% 86% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	11	$237	120	120	+0	open	—	06-27 15:10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	6	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	06-26 12:53
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	6	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	06-27 16:36
meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	3	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	07-20 12:25
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?	3	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	06-25 21:17
will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	3	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	06-17 14:39
will scary movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	3	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	06-07 17:59
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	6	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	07-04 20:04
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	4	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	06-07 19:52
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	3	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	07-01 06:31
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	4	$95	60	60	+0	open	—	05-29 19:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	2	$89	30	60	-30	open	—	05-29 16:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$89	30	60	-30	open	—	05-29 16:34
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	4	$89	30	60	-30	open	—	05-29 23:01
Will Bessent say "Main Street" during Press Briefing?	4	$89	30	60	-30	open	—	05-28 21:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	3	$88	30	60	-30	open	—	05-29 16:34
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$88	30	60	-30	open	—	05-26 09:59
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$85	30	60	-30	open	—	05-24 19:38
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	2	$78	30	60	-30	open	—	06-01 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$77	21	57	-36	Yes	+$1	05-09 18:17
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	4	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	06-27 05:54
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$65	18	48	-30	open	—	05-06 10:57
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	2	$59	20	40	-20	open	—	05-22 04:45
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$59	24	36	-12	open	—	05-06 09:47
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	3	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	06-26 05:37
Anthropic CEO arrested?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	06-21 20:48
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	06-28 20:07
Will "Passenger" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	05-24 09:36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	2	$59	20	40	-20	open	—	05-22 21:51
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	06-18 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 12:25:24	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x39b843…
07-15 02:44:13	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x019d66…
07-15 02:43:53	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6459c1…
07-04 20:04:20	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xb3db84…
07-04 02:42:47	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x481a35…
07-04 01:22:16	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xeb18f4…
07-03 15:28:43	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb2e9c8…
07-01 06:31:34	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x4025e4…
06-30 19:25:23	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3f3dd2…
06-30 19:23:29	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe9bf67…
06-28 20:07:22	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf3745e…
06-28 19:18:17	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa135ea…
06-27 16:36:52	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xcdc6f9…
06-27 15:10:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xfe3706…
06-27 15:00:14	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0b377d…
06-27 14:52:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc91f9a…
06-27 12:37:34	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc99a28…
06-27 07:33:25	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb548d6…
06-27 07:33:19	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd3980a…
06-27 05:54:43	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x655426…
06-27 01:01:59	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x98bb24…
06-26 21:37:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd1edf1…
06-26 20:52:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1387d…
06-26 20:02:11	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8e2e44…
06-26 19:20:23	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd6ed0f…
06-26 19:17:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x462388…
06-26 15:01:25	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xd3f918…
06-26 12:53:20	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8be100…
06-26 05:37:34	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7e66bc…
06-26 05:36:13	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x1f92c0…
06-26 05:35:23	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd0120b…
06-25 21:17:52	Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x16475f…
06-25 20:23:40	Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9bce63…
06-25 11:57:05	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x07990c…
06-25 11:43:46	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5c8838…
06-25 11:30:14	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xedf806…
06-25 11:00:07	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x2a19a8…
06-25 02:22:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x4ce038…
06-25 01:00:05	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe2cb7c…
06-23 13:14:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x69abd5…
06-23 12:50:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xfb0d68…
06-21 20:48:40	Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe4b38e…
06-21 16:31:19	Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x622d96…
06-18 14:01:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1bd128…
06-18 13:39:02	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xf79537…
06-18 13:38:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9ea7e5…
06-18 12:12:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf6edc3…
06-18 12:11:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x30c161…
06-17 14:39:53	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xa474f8…
06-17 14:20:05	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9b83d4…
06-15 05:56:48	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb8d0c1…
06-14 20:37:54	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x77f5b0…
06-14 20:27:54	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x50b776…
06-13 22:13:36	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xafadf0…
06-13 18:55:39	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x5d1e33…
06-13 18:55:34	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x02de2c…
06-13 02:08:28	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd05903…
06-07 19:52:43	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x298f69…
06-07 19:52:07	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xd37339…
06-07 19:51:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x88d300…
06-07 17:59:10	will scary movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x0785ab…
06-07 17:18:19	will scary movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x36d391…
06-01 19:59:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	81¢	$48	0x454fbc…
06-01 19:58:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x73b109…
05-29 23:01:07	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x0edca9…
05-29 23:00:58	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x28b9f4…
05-29 23:00:39	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x982780…
05-29 22:40:39	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb492d5…
05-29 19:55:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x731546…
05-29 19:54:27	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x460a18…
05-29 19:51:23	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x1d77c2…
05-29 19:51:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xcd1936…
05-29 16:34:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xfc93b8…
05-29 16:34:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc60951…
05-29 16:34:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xd273eb…
05-29 16:24:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xccd746…
05-29 14:58:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x50f41b…
05-29 07:46:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x499594…
05-29 03:03:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x55da43…
05-28 21:26:55	Will Bessent say "Main Street" during Press Briefing?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xcb7e8e…
05-28 21:19:43	Will Bessent say "Main Street" during Press Briefing?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe83d4f…
05-28 21:15:07	Will Bessent say "Main Street" during Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xa9fe3b…
05-28 21:14:12	Will Bessent say "Main Street" during Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xc7d4b4…
05-26 09:59:08	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xc01c0b…
05-26 09:34:22	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x77794c…
05-24 19:38:00	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xc91f39…
05-24 09:37:08	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x1e7fb9…
05-24 09:36:45	Will "Passenger" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xa06e33…
05-24 09:35:58	Will "Passenger" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcfb0fa…
05-24 09:35:58	Will "Passenger" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x23ec3f…
05-23 08:52:28	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0xb55056…
05-23 07:36:52	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x232d2b…
05-22 21:51:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xc4c7ca…
05-22 21:50:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x58f1b9…
05-22 04:45:07	Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x81acac…
05-22 04:32:39	Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc25f4f…
05-20 21:53:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe03d26…
05-20 21:53:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd90f98…
05-20 10:00:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb1991a…
05-20 09:57:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x65810b…