Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
open
Total volume
$101,954
$1,586 in 24h
Trades
1,345
Unique wallets
295
Liquidity
$763
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-04-02
last 05-26 08:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+9.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1.8K
vs crowd: 91% YES on $79.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $48.5K | $444 | +$48.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 47 | $9.3K | $2.5K | +$6.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 112 | $13.7K | $4.0K | +$9.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 111 | $695 | $321 | +$375 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1.8K | — | +$1.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 23 | $8.0K | $904 | +$7.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 27 | $3.5K | $240 | +$3.3K |
| Median | 45 | $5.8K | $533 | +$5.3K |
| Below median | 75 | $1.5K | $526 | +$982 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 28 | $984 | $1.8K | $791 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 28 | $3.1K | $1.5K | +$1.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $296 | $783 | $487 |
| unranked | 57 | $47.2K | $927 | +$46.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | +44,319 | $43,459 | $44,085 | 37 | 05-26 08:18 |
| Unwelcome-Skywalk 0xab51…2473 | No | +20,959 | $424 | $424 | 3 | 05-26 06:20 |
| Unhappy-Deed 0x9f52…6f28 | Yes | +4,025 | $3,823 | $6,524 | 26 | 05-25 21:36 |
| Double-Conception 0x1096…0332 | No | +3,300 | $16 | $16 | 5 | 05-26 08:16 |
| Unsteady-Convert 0x389a…397d | No | +3,171 | $123 | $377 | 6 | 05-25 23:56 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-26 08:16 |
| Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | Yes | +2,772 | $1,998 | $1,998 | 16 | 05-14 01:07 |
| Fair-Apology-Bucket 0x3f48…e69b | No | +2,514 | $928 | $973 | 14 | 05-24 12:03 |
| Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-26 08:16 |
| Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | +1,833 | $1,811 | $1,811 | 2 | 05-26 07:24 |
| Super-Deck-Shipyard 0x15a9…ec4f | No | +1,677 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-25 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | +1,598 | $-14 | $103 | 17 | 05-26 08:03 |
| Milky-Codepage 0x3e26…3edf | No | +1,429 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-25 09:28 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +1,200 | $39 | $39 | 5 | 05-26 08:03 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +1,118 | $-19 | $161 | 24 | 05-26 08:16 |
| Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | No | +1,016 | $49 | $49 | 9 | 05-25 08:04 |
| Knowing-Bell 0x79f0…f465 | Yes | +1,000 | $981 | $981 | 1 | 05-25 19:23 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-26 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9d2…fb68 | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-26 08:16 |
| Masculine-Fault 0x81a6…762e | No | +915 | $-1 | $3 | 5 | 05-26 08:16 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | +904 | $-8 | $42 | 17 | 05-26 08:17 |
| Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | No | +784 | $32 | $35 | 10 | 05-26 06:54 |
| Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | No | +758 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-26 08:03 |
| Unruly-Variant 0x8103…4d0a | No | +579 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-25 18:40 |
| Shoddy-Cowbell 0x8aaf…7beb | No | +500 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-26 08:16 |
| Thoughtful-Union 0x21b8…0094 | No | +489 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-26 08:03 |
| Sad-Bouquet 0xd3c7…7070 | Yes | +453 | $451 | $451 | 2 | 05-25 13:32 |
| Normal-Mariachi 0xbb75…f496 | No | +375 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-25 08:04 |
| Blissful-Basket 0x9f7a…0e63 | Yes | +364 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 04-02 13:15 |
| hortikkk 0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | +343 | $153 | $972 | 21 | 05-25 11:36 |
| Overjoyed-Glee 0x032a…cf07 | No | +323 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-26 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x96d0…6003 | No | +322 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-25 13:00 |
| Warlike-Justice 0x3302…79c0 | No | +300 | $-3 | $21 | 8 | 05-26 07:24 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +201 | $-0 | $47 | 8 | 05-26 08:16 |
| Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | No | +200 | $-27 | $44 | 10 | 05-26 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8f7…ab46 | Yes | +200 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 05-18 09:53 |
| Flawless-Down 0xf6d2…7048 | No | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-25 18:21 |
| Naive-Vein 0x1927…92af | No | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-26 04:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +180 | $41 | $41 | 5 | 05-26 00:43 |
| Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | +174 | $173 | $173 | 3 | 05-25 16:14 |
| Grown-Billion 0x0da4…edde | Yes | +166 | $159 | $159 | 3 | 05-26 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xafc3…6878 | Yes | +151 | $96 | $167 | 5 | 05-25 07:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +140 | $91 | $91 | 5 | 05-25 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +113 | $84 | $84 | 4 | 04-26 08:29 |
| Warm-Vane 0x7d58…cfcc | Yes | +110 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 05-17 22:09 |
| Ruddy-Fob 0x36a7…1aea | Yes | +100 | $88 | $1,838 | 7 | 05-25 13:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +70 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-24 12:02 |
| Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | +70 | $68 | $95 | 5 | 05-25 14:25 |
| Annual-Minister 0x3f01…2284 | Yes | +57 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-25 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xca08…c267 | Yes | +56 | $54 | $54 | 9 | 05-26 08:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7b…2d1a | Yes | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 04-06 20:30 |
| Exemplary-Bet 0x977a…f2ca | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-26 05:50 |
| Frayed-Nougat 0xede3…e3f2 | Yes | +50 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-25 21:36 |
| Kindly-Quiche 0x4020…5b73 | Yes | +37 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-18 04:49 |
| Profitable-Feature 0x0e2e…db6a | Yes | +33 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-17 00:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f1b…bc10 | Yes | +30 | $28 | $29 | 4 | 05-25 08:06 |
| Lost-Output 0x2f0d…3fd3 | Yes | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 05:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 08:18:06 | cr1mean 0x197c…9b94 | Yes | SELL | 714 | 100¢ | $713 | 0x3d9908… |
| 05-26 08:18:06 | Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | BUY | 714 | 100¢ | $713 | 0x3d9908… |
| 05-26 08:17:04 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 777 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x26faa9… |
| 05-26 08:17:04 | Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | BUY | 777 | 100¢ | $775 | 0x26faa9… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | BUY | 13,225 | 100¢ | $13,210 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Muted-Percentage 0x3fec…728e | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | (anonymous) 0xb9d2…fb68 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Shoddy-Cowbell 0x8aaf…7beb | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Masculine-Fault 0x81a6…762e | No | BUY | 915 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Overjoyed-Glee 0x032a…cf07 | No | BUY | 323 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Double-Conception 0x1096…0332 | No | BUY | 975 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 201 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:16:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 1,111 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x891d97… |
| 05-26 08:14:09 | (anonymous) 0xca08…c267 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x488bc2… |
| 05-26 08:14:09 | Double-Conception 0x1096…0332 | No | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x488bc2… |
| 05-26 08:14:08 | Yellow-Reluctance 0x22b5…bdca | Yes | SELL | 1,447 | 100¢ | $1,442 | 0x8b92c5… |
| 05-26 08:14:08 | Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | BUY | 1,447 | 100¢ | $1,442 | 0x8b92c5… |
| 05-26 08:10:43 | Double-Conception 0x1096…0332 | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x6dfb04… |
| 05-26 08:10:43 | (anonymous) 0xca08…c267 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb83145… |
| 05-26 08:10:43 | Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $498 | 0x6dfb04… |
| 05-26 08:10:43 | Double-Conception 0x1096…0332 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb83145… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | BUY | 5,477 | 99¢ | $5,438 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | Jolly-Vision 0xdf01…c782 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | BUY | 1,599 | 1¢ | $14 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | No | BUY | 758 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | No | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | Double-Conception 0x1096…0332 | No | BUY | 1,800 | 1¢ | $11 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x22f1…6415 | No | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | No | BUY | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | Thoughtful-Union 0x21b8…0094 | No | BUY | 195 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 222 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 08:03:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 453 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x9734b8… |
| 05-26 07:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf08afe… |
| 05-26 07:55:47 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 707 | 1¢ | $11 | 0xf08afe… |
| 05-26 07:55:47 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | SELL | 1,305 | 98¢ | $1,285 | 0xf08afe… |
| 05-26 07:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x22f1…6415 | No | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf08afe… |
| 05-26 07:55:47 | Yellow-Reluctance 0x22b5…bdca | Yes | BUY | 456 | 98¢ | $449 | 0xf08afe… |
| 05-26 07:55:47 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | SELL | 117 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf08afe… |
| 05-26 07:24:29 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | No | BUY | 154 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x57a97b… |
| 05-26 07:24:29 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x57a97b… |
| 05-26 07:24:29 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 618 | 99¢ | $610 | 0x57a97b… |
| 05-26 07:24:29 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 117 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x57a97b… |
| 05-26 07:24:29 | (anonymous) 0x22f1…6415 | No | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x57a97b… |
| 05-26 07:24:29 | Warlike-Justice 0x3302…79c0 | No | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x57a97b… |
| 05-26 07:24:29 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x57a97b… |
| 05-26 06:57:37 | Evergreen-Predecessor 0x1e34…8790 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0xbc8f83… |
| 05-26 06:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbc8f83… |
| 05-26 06:57:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xbc8f83… |
| 05-26 06:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbc8f83… |
| 05-26 06:54:41 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | No | BUY | 203 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x3bf588… |
| 05-26 06:54:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3bf588… |
| 05-26 06:54:41 | Unlined-Tower 0xc301…6760 | No | SELL | 1,205 | 1¢ | $15 | 0x3bf588… |
| 05-26 06:54:41 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3bf588… |
| 05-26 06:54:41 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | BUY | 707 | 1¢ | $8 | 0x3bf588… |
| 05-26 06:54:41 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x3bf588… |
| 05-26 06:54:41 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3bf588… |
| 05-26 06:54:41 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3bf588… |
| 05-26 06:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd43732… |
| 05-26 06:53:57 | Tired-Pear 0xf2d0…44b9 | No | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd43732… |
| 05-26 06:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd43732… |
| 05-26 06:39:41 | Stupendous-Major 0x42ac…9447 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe4af2a… |
| 05-26 06:39:41 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $57 | 0xe4af2a… |
| 05-26 06:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe4af2a… |
| 05-26 06:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe4af2a… |
| 05-26 06:20:30 | Yellow-Reluctance 0x22b5…bdca | Yes | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $490 | 0x3e56f0… |
| 05-26 06:20:30 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | SELL | 165 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x3e56f0… |
| 05-26 06:20:30 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | No | SELL | 147 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x3e56f0… |
| 05-26 06:20:30 | Warlike-Justice 0x3302…79c0 | No | SELL | 240 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x3e56f0… |
| 05-26 06:20:30 | Unwelcome-Skywalk 0xab51…2473 | No | BUY | 1,306 | 3¢ | $33 | 0x3e56f0… |
| 05-26 06:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3e56f0… |
| 05-26 06:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x7c40…3d64 | No | SELL | 229 | 5¢ | $11 | 0x3e56f0… |
| 05-26 06:14:41 | (anonymous) 0x096d…7026 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd2f5b1… |
| 05-26 06:14:41 | Yellow-Reluctance 0x22b5…bdca | Yes | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd2f5b1… |
| 05-26 05:50:17 | Exemplary-Bet 0x977a…f2ca | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x40fa1e… |
| 05-26 05:50:17 | Unlined-Tower 0xc301…6760 | No | BUY | 1,205 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x40fa1e… |
| 05-26 05:50:17 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x40fa1e… |
| 05-26 05:50:17 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 757 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x40fa1e… |
| 05-26 05:50:17 | (anonymous) 0x22f1…6415 | No | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x40fa1e… |
| 05-26 05:50:17 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 113 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x40fa1e… |
| 05-26 05:50:17 | Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | No | SELL | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x40fa1e… |
| 05-26 05:50:17 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x40fa1e… |
| 05-26 05:50:17 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | SELL | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x40fa1e… |
| 05-26 05:09:07 | Thrifty-Shoelace 0x364f…562c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb0d503… |
| 05-26 05:09:07 | Thoughtful-Union 0x21b8…0094 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0d503… |
| 05-26 04:33:06 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 285 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x72eb81… |
| 05-26 04:33:06 | Naive-Vein 0x1927…92af | No | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x72eb81… |
| 05-26 04:33:06 | Yellow-Reluctance 0x22b5…bdca | Yes | BUY | 485 | 99¢ | $482 | 0x72eb81… |
| 05-26 03:58:08 | Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | No | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ee022… |
| 05-26 03:58:08 | (anonymous) 0x22f1…6415 | No | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ee022… |
| 05-26 03:58:08 | Evergreen-Predecessor 0x1e34…8790 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x8ee022… |
| 05-26 03:33:17 | Suburban-Spokeswoman 0x7099…4daf | Yes | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x29534a… |
| 05-26 03:33:17 | (anonymous) 0x22f1…6415 | No | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x29534a… |
| 05-26 03:15:12 | (anonymous) 0xc337…a675 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xffd7da… |