Thrifty-Shoelace 0x364f93…16562c
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Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
69
Trades
4,008
lifetime
Volume
$41.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$59
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-11 06:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
70% 80% $-10
Politics
14% 67% $-2
Crypto
7% 80% +$0
Sports
6% 88% +$11
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 05-31 10:43
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 06-10 05:32
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 06-07 11:48
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-08 07:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-11 05:44
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-11 05:36
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-11 05:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 06-11 05:45
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 91¢ $-5 +$0 06-10 04:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +6 $5 55¢ $3 $-2 06-11 05:46